List of articles in my Debunking Doomsday blog to date

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For the most recent posts check: Debunking Doomsday - I make this list by hand every few posts - so it's often missing the most recent posts.

Newer posts (COVID19 not separated out for these)

. . KOSA is about genuine issues kids face on social media - similar to those who want to block out fake doomsdays and can’t - nothing to do with LGBT - only about genuinely harmful content in news feeds - not going to lead to content being taken down

. No the UK economy is NOT being hit by Brexit, it’s temporarily modest growth due to lingering effects of the COVID recession and energy effects from the Ukraine war

. Why the legal/ethical case for/against cluster munitions - a cluster of hand grenades fired at a target from the air - is different in Ukraine - Ukraine drops them on a battlefield already covered in unexploded Russian mines and cluster munitions

. Both sides exaggerating about the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant - no effect on you personally outside Ukraine - unless perhaps you are a farmer - raising pasture-fed sheep/cattle / milk - in most extremely unlikely scenario

. Looking for kindness - Far healthier than looking for hostility especially if easily scared

. Not likely Russia blow up nuclear reactor - IAEA see no explosives - on remote chance - effects local - even Chernobyl only 1st responders and locals at risk & test hill sheep / cows / milk for radioactivity - no way article 5

. All stories about secret bits of captured alien tech are crap - virtually impossible aliens less than a few thousand years ahead of us - no way space-ships would be captured - and not using the abundant resources in our solar system

. US student loans - Nobody is going to go homeless right away if at all - Biden has another way - slower but legally sound - meanwhile easier for the next year with 12 months easing in and no referral to credit agencies for 12 month

. Supreme court decision about affirmative action mainly affects universities - but rather than favour ethnic minorities between equally qualified candidates - they can go to the roots of the problem to recruitment etc and sort it out there

. Supreme court justices in the US are originalists and don’t decide by personal beliefs - but originalist decisions may tend to be more aligned with the values that Americans had long ago rather than present day values

. Highly unlikely Russia blow up Zaporizhzhia nuclear reactors because IAEA haven’t found explosives - if somehow they did - highly unlikely more than local within 100s of meters - if somehow enough explosives for a 2nd Chernobyl - still not article 5

. It does not make sense for Putin to use nukes at any point no matter how badly he is losing - he has effectively no defences against NATO now (and would be same for his successor if he is overthrown)

. Mutiny seems over - Prigozhin will move to exile in Belarus - charges against him dropped - soldiers who mutinied not prosecuted - other Wagner fighters can join Russian military - seems end of Wagner as a separate mercenary force

. Russian mutiny by Wagner DOES NOT INVOLVE NUKES IN ANY WAY - it is internal to Russia, domestic - and Prigozhin doesn’t want to be president or even chief of general staff

. Seems Prigozhin’s aim is to change leadership of the Ministry of Defence at the very top, Shoigu and Gerasimov- not to replace Putin - but Putin can only control the war now through cities and buildings controlled by Wagner

. Nothing to be scared of if there is a military coup in Russia - Ukraine and NATO not involved - would mean Ukraine wins faster - and Prigozhin says it isn’t legitimate - now has tanks in Rostov - but only asking to stop attacking his own troops

. Excellent summary of what's happening in Ukraine right now - and the reasons to expect slow progress in the very first stages.

. ZPP nuclear power plant can’t explode like a nuke - not much can happen if Russia just damages cooling ponds - if Russia manages to duplicate Chernobyl meltdown (hard) - means evacuations in nearby Ukraine and need to test food for some time

. Advice if you get caught in cycles of panic over bullshit in the Facebook newsfeed - its algorithm’s only purpose is to keep you on Facebook - click away / close the news feed as soon as you see a panic inducing post and it will soon stop doing this

. ChatGPT-style machine learning - is like a randomized auto-rewriting copy/paste - of text from around the internet - into a response to your prompt - but with no understanding - and will enhance not replace jobs

. No there is NO new nuclear threat from Russia - Biden’s remark as presidential candidate in 2024 for his donors not from official POTUS account as president - to show himself as a strong president for voters not about realities of Russia

. No we can’t have a runaway warming, and there is so much we are doing already to fight climate change

. Theory about expansion of the universe being a mirage actually changes nothing - the 3 degree background radiation for instance shows that there was a big bang

. Yes Trump can be convicted if even half these charges are true and can end up in prison - but one juror can lead to a hung jury = “not guilty”

. No, a young civilization like ours wouldn’t be able to capture alien UFOs and keep bits of one in a building - simplest explanation someone pulling his leg - or doing it deliberately as a smokescreen for drones or VTOL etc technology work

. You NEVER need to worry about temperature anomalies - this is normal and expected and the climate is NOT suddenly warming when you get a short term anomaly for a few days

. FALSE - PARODY - meme “<future date> heat death of the universe” - can’t happen until long after all stars in all the galaxies run out of fuel - unimaginably far future - this is just a dumb meme from auto generated ai_sponge_bob

. Maverikstar debunked - the Earth’s magnetic field is NOT about to flip - a magnetic pole shift takes centuries and is NOT happening - we have scientists who devote their life’s work to studying Earth’s magnetic field

. Collapse of Kakhova dam affects Southern Ukraine not other countries - Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant fine - Russians worst affected - Russia likely did it out of panic in case Ukraine crossed the dam - likely not much delay to counteroffensive

. Story about everything evaporating is harmless - if it is true - incredibly far future - not even so far future we are joined by creatures evolved from micro-organisms in present day puddles - not even trillions of years - much more

. Drone strikes in Moscow - may well be Russian separatists - nothing Russia can do - not going to use nukes - already escalating to their max

. US likely resolves its debt crisis in final hours as usual - on remote chance not - Treasury has Congressional authority to pay Social Security payments from their $2.8 trillion Social Security trust fund - and Biden might use 14th amendment

Yes the world may cross 1.5°C for one year - NOTHING TO DO WITH THE 1.5°C IN THE PARIS AGREEMENT - which is defined as an average over 20 years - year to year variability +- 0.25°C

. Fun example of how ChatGPT 4 doesn't understand ANYTHING - says some insect species are only found in the UK, for example bank vole, field vole and water vole [voles are small mammals not insects and they are widespread in Europe not only in the UK]

. No, Russia are not going to do a big escalation - for their big May 9 parade they had only one tank - a veteran from WW2 - first time ever with no modern tanks or infantry fighting vehicles

. Supposed drone attack on Kremlin by Ukraine - UPDATE - were two drones - not such a clear false flag - Ukraine deny involvement - may be Russia pretext for yet more missile attacks on Kyiv - Putin was never at risk

. Bing Chat / ChatGPT generates random long paragraphs from the internet - e.g. story about Bing Chat riding a wild horse - no evidence of intelligence - some mathematicians think AGI is impossible - superintelligence would have capacity for kindness

. Yes we likely get a strong El Nino in 2023–2024 - this has regional effects - many areas of the world not affected - warming is a global average

. Chaos GPT is just a twitter account using AutoGPT to generate a story - nothing there knows what any of it means

. G2 solar storm on April 24 is harmless - 600 every solar cycle of 11 years - only geeks even notice the four G8s per cycle - you never need to worry about solar storms!

. No major solar storms predicted for April 23 - aurora only visible far in high latitudes - only Alaska and Canada in the Americas - our grid is safe even from very strong solar storms - another nonsense date

. We are doing lots to stop and reverse biodiversity loss - BBC article is sharing negatives ignoring many positives and even the paper they share had many positive recommendations

. Ukraine war not likely to be much affected by the classified documents leak - but it likely means a delay to the start of the counteroffensive to liberate southern Ukraine - which will give Ukraine more time to train and prepare

. Aim of sanctions on Russia wasn’t to target ordinary civilians - but to make it harder for them to sustain the invasion - they have worked to some degree and even more so after the cap on oil prices in December

. Special forces in Ukraine are no surprise - things like protecting foreign embassy staff and overseeing weapons deliveries to Ukraine - not involved in combat and won’t be in combat - is not military involvement

. Only 3 cases of H3N8 in China - all with close contact with poultry - NO human to human spread - NOTHING to suggest public concern - bird flu hasn’t adapted to spread easily in humans in the past several decades

. Even the local people on the islands in the middle of China’s exercises aren't worried

. ChatGPT is rubbish at tic tac toe - example of how it is just word salad - nothing there understands anything - illegal moves - didn’t do a second move - didn’t detect I won with my third X - and declared a tie instead of blocking 2nd row of X’s

. You are at NO RISK from a VERY DISTANT black hole that is leaving a trail of NEWLY FORMED STARS - it is harmless even to this trail of stars in its own galaxy which it hasn’t yet left after traveling for 39 MILLION YEARS

. Marbug disease can NEVER produce a pandemic

. Answering someone scared of climate change - there’s a huge amount going on!

. Why we don’t need to worry about superintelligent chatbots - ChatGPT doesn’t really understand anything - it is just doing autocomplete and has no intention or purpose - but does need precautions for misinformation

. All blazars are harmless to us - a blazar is just a quasar pointing towards us - we are far too far from any galaxy to be harmed - couldn't be harmed even by an impossible blazar in the center of our own galaxy pointed right at us

. No way US “RESTRICT” act for TikTok and other apps gets passed in current form - don’t worry about people combing legal text - NOT EVEN been through ONE committee - many Democrats use TikTok as do friends / relatives / colleagues / voters

. Why so many exaggerate nukes: activists advocate - Governments deter - Putin bluffs - NATO countries motivate - Ukraine seeks help - Leaders promote - Media click bait - Video makers go viral - Trolls wind up - Scared panic & truth gets forgotten

. US is not likely to ban TikTok - they have been working with the parent company ByteDance for some time on Project Texas to wall of the data of American users from the parent company

. Ukrainians unlike Russia are strategic and careful with lives of solders and civilians - likely do their big counteroffensive mid to late April - ground dry enough for tanks - and completed training in the new equipment

. Putin’s announcement about tactical (battlefield) nukes in Belarus is just political - no change in nuclear preparedness or US alert level - may move some from Russia to storage in Belarus in July - no difference since launched from planes

. IPCC synthesis report based on projections BEFORE COP26 - widely shared graphic is based on policies by end 2020 - COP26 reduced projections by more than a degree since then - Suggestion: the IPCC should supplement with a living systematic review

. China and Russia are NOT in any military alliance or defence pact - it is a commercial and political alliance with Russia very much the junior partner - and China is not likely to sell Russia significant military equipment onlyr gray area drones

. Healthy people not at risk from the drug resistant fungus Candida auris - hospitals need to take care - it’s spreading mainly in hospitals

. Russia bluffing yet again about UK’s depleted uranium shells - their most advanced tank shells use depleted uranium too - radioactivity removed - less radioactive than the traces of uranium we breathe and eat every day - no use as a dirty bomb

. Nothing new in latest IPCC Report - can't even cover progress or new science since its cut off date in mid 2021 - before COP26 - which reduced projections by nearly 1°C - says we know what to do & how - says it's politically & socially feasible

. UK’s emergency alert test on Sunday 23 April is just a test of a system similar to the one already in use in the USA - they have only ever sent a UK wide alert once at the start of lockdowns for COVID to tell people to stay at home

. SVB bank collapsed not because of issues with tech companies, just because of run on SVB bank after loss of 7.5% of sale of $24 billion in bonds to Goldman Sachs - depositors covered 100% - no national debt increase - no reason for recession

. #PositiveNewsClimate First test flight of a 40 seater partially hydrogen fuel cell powered jet plane - should be in service by 2025 as a 56 seater flying in the USA

. Nothing will happen as a result of the ICC arrest warrant for Putin - but it will limit the countries that Putin can visit in the future and affect his reputation further

. A Russian fighter jet bumping accidentally into the propellor of a pilotless drone will not lead to anything, very minor incident - Russia CAN’T ESCALATE

.Your money is automatically insured up to $250,000 in US banks - and now up to infinity for the two failed banks

. Small asteroid 2023 DW should never have hit the news - 4 similar “Normal” asteroids in 2022, 2 in 2021, 4 in 2020 all quickly removed from the risk list - never even “of interest to astronomers” - and only like a large hurricane in effect if it hit

. Yes some people really are biologically trans or biologically gender fluid - may be XX males - XY females - intersex - have sexual organs that change gender as they mature - and minds and brains out of sync with their bodily gender

. Please don’t be scared by a silly idea about the Earth’s crust slipping that’s gone viral about called “The Adam and Eve” story - as daft for geology as a claim the Statue of Liberty is in London would be for map making

. Great news, Treaty to protect 30% of high seas (not belonging to anyone) and deep sea bed by 2030 - up from 1.2% - completes target of 30% of land, coasts, seas and inland waters managed sustainably by 2030 - ready to be ratified

. Flowerpot? Or General? Putin has many reasons to BLUFF about nukes - to use them would mean he has lost his ability to reason coherently or to distinguish the imaginary from the real

. Why you can’t combine flu with rabies and ebola to make a new virus - like combining Concorde with a paddle steamer!

. If the US approves the Alaska oil drilling Willow project, it makes no significant difference to global emissions - someone has to produce the oil, and it is consistent with Biden’s manifesto and bills passed

. NATO will NOT attack Russia - US continues to say NO CHANGE in nuclear deterrence posture (no change since before war started - likely least alert level) and NO SIGNS of Russia making any preparations to use nukes

. #PositiveNews Expedition to save four land snail species on Deserta Grande island in Madiera - snails generally NOT at risk - snails adapted to particular islands often vulnerable to invasive species - Many care about tiny snails on remote islands

. Why we should ignore the US’s latest claim about origins of COVID - you can’t spy on a virus from a distant country to find the origin of a pandemic - Spies are not epidemiologists - ALL published evidence so far points AWAY from a lab leak

. Minor shortages of tomatoes, raspberries and a few other unseasonal fruits and veg in the UK - NOTHING to do with either climate change or Brexit - because of energy prices and flooding in Spain and Morocco

. How nuclear deterrents work - like a bodyguard - their job is to prevent fights

. Cambodia brid flu case from a different strain never associated with sustained human to human transmission - daughter died, father tested positive but asymptomatic - likely from the family poultry flock - everyone else tested -ve

. Why Ukraine will win and there is NO RISK of nuclear war in Ukraine from Putin’s posturing - the same precautions in place as always to prevent - and nuclear deterrence is like a bodyguard whose job is to PREVENT AN ATTACK by just standing there

. New video about why Putin bluffs and why you don't need to worry about him using nukes.

. Why Ukraine has to fight to win this war - and YES a major nuclear power can lose a war & never use nukes - war ends when Ukraine pushes Russia out - and they always stop at the international border

. Biden on Putin suspending New START: “I'm confident we'll be able to work it out” - we've not seen [any] change in his posture - and the upgrade to Sarnat later this year is a nothingburger

. Examples of 16 species mix of forage for cattle and mixing trees with agriculture #positivenews Climate, Biodiversity, Agriculture

. No change in Russia’s nuclear posture - suspending NEW START Treaty not exiting it - he wants nukes of UK and France to be counted alongside US nukes for the 1,550 limit - and repeated Russia will not do a first strike

. China is not going to join Russia’s war and Wang Yi says he is trying to find a path to peace not to help Russia continue the war

. Putin’s bluffs are just bluffs - no change in his nuclear defense posture - even the Soviet Union (far stronger than Russia) lost against Afghanistan (far weaker than Ukraine)

. Did the US fighter jet shoot down a picoballoon off Alaska weighing 11 grams, less than half an ounce and 32″ diameter? Might well have - not confirmed but White House do say they are likely balloons - and may never recover such tiny debris

. UPDATE on Ohio derailment - air, groundwater and wells clear - small creek still contaminated - 3,500 minnow sized fish killed in day or two after accident not unusual as fish are very senstive to chemicals - no harm to humans or animals found

. Part of the sun “breaking away” is normal just a coronal mass ejection - this time it harmlessly circled the poles - nothing to worry about and why you never need to worry about “space hurricanes” either

. Eno Alaric is a present day BULLSHITTER not a TIME TRAVELER from 2671

. Why it makes sense for aliens to be kind - and more so the more advanced their civilization

. US statement about the balloons - they are NOT aliens “MR. KIRBY: I don’t think the American people need to worry about aliens, with respect to these craft” - and they are seeing more because they dialed up sensitivity of their radar

. Nothing to worry about extinction rate - we have the same number of millions of species today as 1000 years ago - not in a mass extinction, - doing a lot to stop what would be a mass extinction if it continued for 1000 years

. The reason US is spotting so many balloons and shooting them down is that they dialed up the sensitivity of their radar system NORAD - likely harmless weather balloons

. Why can write about the Ukraine war as a Buddhist who took the vow of not killing - to help scared people - not military advice to help Ukraine win battles - also point of clarity - over 6000 UK Buddhist soldiers e.g. Gurkas

. No the US is NOT shooting down aliens - defies logic for aliens to travel interstellar for 1st contact in slow moving helium balloons :) - likely just weather balloons - UFO means unidentified often later changed to IFO, Identified flying objects

. Ohio Train derailment effects only local - only first responders at risk from vinyl chloride - authorities gave all clear to return - ignore viral sharing of coincident human and animal sickness as any small community has dozens of cases a day

. Why it is no big deal for NATO to supply newer fighter jets to Ukraine who already have > 150 - Russia gradually gets used to them as for HiMARS etc - Russia already moving to next stage - not nukes - just claiming FALSELY they are rubbish

. No 2005 YY128 can’t “hit Earth’s orbit” - Earth’s orbit isn’t a physical thing - and actually it has never been in the Sentry table - and NASA never issued any asteroid warning - not even for Apophis

. Ukraine already has 150+ fighter jets - pilots of new jets will be Ukrainian - NOT a war with NATO - last thing Russia really wants - helping with self defence - Russia is already moving on by claiming falsely that the UK jets are rubbish

. Bird flu (such as H5N1) can’t jump to mammals easily - and if it adapts to humans it likely becomes much less severe - we have antivirals and vaccines that can be quickly adapted to the latest bird flu variant -but so far public health risk is low

. Legal details of why the USA was within its rights shooting down an unauthorized balloon - even if it was a civilian flight China should have applied for an international TSA waiver to let it fly over US space

. Chinese possible spy balloon may have been blown off course - or it may be intentional - either way it is no big deal, it can’t learn much and the Pentagon aren’t concerned

. No we are NOT headed for a magnetic pole shift - both magnetic dip poles are near the geographic poles - and no the Earth’s crust is NOT able to slip around suddenly, it is solid to a depth of 3000 km

. Putin has many rational reasons to bluff about escalation and nukes - NO rational reasons to use them - nothing to suggest he is completely delusional and insane - not even used weapons of mass destruction to try to take Bakhmut

. There were lots of good outcomes from COP27 for climate and the environment

. Why Russia can't escalate its war in Ukraine

. Why teachers shouldn’t rely on ChatGPT even as a teaching assistant and would likely need more supervision and correction than it is worth on many topics

. “Unwritten policy” to slowly get Putin used to more advanced systems in Ukraine - Russia can’t escalate - just claim tanks are useless and move to next “red line” - been going on since war started - longer range missiles and fighter jets next

. NATO countries are NOT combatants and the Ukraine war is NOT a proxy war - very clear case - other countries are supplying weapons to support Ukraine’s right to self defense as a sovereign country - by article 51 of the UN charter

. Ukraine will win - tanks help win faster - may not need to win every inch - Russia retreated fast in battle of Kyiv once they saw no chance of success - defending against Russia not attacking Russia - NATO not fighting - NOT reason for a world war

. Slightly changing spin of Earth’s solid core - inside liquid - almost no effect on surface and is harmless - NOT spinning backwards - was at one extra rotation every 3,600 years - then in sync with surface - now perhaps slightly slower

. “Doomsday clock” - time totally meaningless - activist scientists trying to influence decision makers - arbitrary numbers with no scientific method to them - this year it repeatedly FAILS MOST BASIC FACT CHECK

. COP15 very encouraging outcomes - agreement for effective conservation and management of 30% of land, coastal waters and inland waters by many countries - and action to stop and redirect subsidies that harm nature

. Russia can’t repeat Feb 24, 2022 advance on Kyiv - worst time of year - Ukraine far stronger - Russia far weaker - beaver unexpected ally - Belarus’s active army tiny with no real combat experience - mainly suppress protests in Belarus and similar

. You can also ignore Volodin’s statements - he just said Russia’s nukes are a deterrent to prevent attacks on Russian cities - NOT what Ukraine would use NATO tanks for - but to liberate Ukraine

. Comet C/2022 E is totally harmless - passes by 43 million kiliometers away - not likely to see it at all without at least binoculars - technically naked eye but only for very experienced observers at very dark sites probably

. Why it is impossible for a big asteroid like Ceres or Vesta to harm us in any way - we know them all - the movies are just fiction

. Why weak AI, ChatGPT3, programs that generate art from prompts etc will enhance not replace human creativity

. Why you shouldn’t believe everyone who shouts anything on TikTok

. Nothing will happen no matter what position they set the “doomsday clock” - not a clock - nothing to do with doom - just a media event by activist scientists trying to influence decision makers

. You can ignore Medvedev’s statements about a risk of nuclear war - he has been saying things like this all the way through, hyperbolic and out of touch with the reality of the war

. Nothing major in Ukraine - likely because a spring counteroffensive is safer and more effective - Russia gets weaker every day and Ukraine stronger - ideal weather for a winter counteroffensive in Luhansk but with risk of frostbite & hypothermia

. Earth’s crust is solid to great depth - using earthquakes like “ultrasound” - surface layers can’t shift and there is NO POSSIBILITY of your country sliding suddenly to the opposite hemisphere with the pole star swapped with the Southern Cross

. Omicron BF.7 spreading in China seems MILDER but we COULD have a MORE SEVERE variant of COVID - WHO has warned all year - some countries are stepping up gene sequencing so we detect it sooner and act faster - much we can do - NOT LOCKDOWN

. China has many reasons to BLUFF it can invade Taiwan easily but it’s not true, many reasons NOT to try it - the most expert sources say an invasion that needs four hours of sea journey to supply the front line almost certainly fails in a modern war

. No, the US population is NOT going to collapse, projected to increase to the end of the century through immigration - global population may peak 2050 and end century similar to 2010 at around the lowest projection

. No, Russia is NOT able to invade Moldova and yes they could TRY to attack Ukraine (not Moldova) from the north but they would never get anywhere near Kyiv if they tried

. NATO has FAR BETTER MILITARY EQUIPMENT it hasn’t sent to Ukraine - its F-35 jets would be like an INVISIBLE TEAM in a game of football against Russia

. OpenAI’s ChatGPT is just a very sophisticated auto-complete - not in any way sentient and not dangerous

. This is your opportunity to tell NASA you want to keep Earth extra safe during their samples from Mars mission

. No the Patriot defence system is NOT escalatory - it is only useful for defence to shoot down ballistic missiles that Russia is shooting to hit power stations and other civilian targets throughout Ukraine

. With Ukraine with only the 2nd best NATO weapons, Russia is still the second best military in Ukraine, NATO is just way out of their league

. The Catholic pope is NOT a prophet - and he only rarely says something infallible - last time in 1950 - time before that in 1854 - Catholics think on those rare occasions he is protected by the Holy Spirit

. NATO chief Stoltenberg misquoted - he said he is confident that we will AVOID a major war with Russia

. Putin was misquoted about first use of nukes and whatever he says he is definitely NOT preparing for a world war which Russia would lose so fast and end his regime

. It is normal for confined animals to walk in circles or back and forth - stereotypic behaviour and ants have got stuck in circles since before humans - this won’t end the world

. Strategic nukes are a deterrent - no sense or logic in a “surprise” nuclear attack - as delusive as if Putin thought Russia was attacked by spiders the size of the Empire state building - Putin isn’t mad - he is a bully who runs away when challenged

. Putin: Russia won’t use nukes first - confirms assessment by Institute for Study of War: “Russian officials have no intention of actually using nukes on the battlefield” - they may do nuclear saber-rattling to try to undermine Western support

. We are at no risk from ancient diseases of amoebas that have remained frozen for thousands of years - harmless “Zombie viruses” - just a virus - never was alive in that sense

. Why winter favours Ukraine - Russia can’t escalate , no chance, but Ukraine is liberating thousands or tens of thousands of square kilometers often in 2–3 days every few weeks and winter is an ideal time for this once it’s really cold

. You are safe from: black holes, rogue stars, rogue planets, supernovae, our sun, gamma ray bursts, big asteroids, comets and anything cosmological

. A SMALL number of Netherlands livestock farms near nature reserves have to close down because of pollution by manure - NOTHING TO DO WITH MEAT EATING - cattle rearing in Netherlands is very sustainable using a lot of reprocessed food waste

. No way that Russia wants to fight NATO - the entire might of the Russian army can’t even capture the small city of Bakhmut, 70,000 which they tried to capture since early August often dozens of attacks a day

. A 50 meter asteroid is like a very rare type of hurricane that happens every few thousand years - that we can predict to the minute and within 100 meters - and that we can also stop given enough time

. Not surprising Ukraine and Poland have different views about who fired the missile that hit Poland - early stage in investigation and they need to share information before they come to a final conclusion

. UPDATE The president of Poland says it's highly probable the missile that hit a farm in Poland was from a Ukrainian air defence system [i.e. one that was trying to shoot down Russian cruise missiles]

. Polish farm and tractor surely hit by a stray missile knocked off course or misfired - NOT world war risk - everyone will be working to de-escalate - lines of communication open - Poland may use article 4 to ask for consultation (not 5)

. House race may be a single seat majority either way - never happened before - closest is 2 seats in 1930 - could lead to House majority flipping between parties due to deaths, retirements, etc. though speaker is selected only once

. CO2 levels in the atmosphere rise until we reach zero emissions - and continue to rise faster each year until emissions peak and start to fall - this is expected and happens on all paths including the 1.5 C path

. UPDATE: Democrats got Senate seats in Nevada and Arizona making senate 50–50 or 49:51 if they get Georgia on Dec 6 - House very close slightly leaning Republican

. Likely Democrats get the Senate seat in Nevada - Arizona also likely making senate 50–50 or 49:51 if they get Georgia on Dec 6 - House very close slightly leaning Republican

. Victory for democracy in the USA - ALL the “America first” potentially rogue secretaries of state in battleground states lost their bid

. More Kherson liberation videos

. Big win for Ukraine, may end invasion faster - liberated Kherson city

. Russia has decided to withdraw from the right bank of the Dnipro immediately - the NW side including Kherson city - Major win for Ukraine - only Oblast capital Russia captured since Feb 24 and 2nd largest captured city after Mariupol

. Black hole in a binary system with a distant star 1,600 light years away is harmless to Earth - and why you never need to be scared of anything cosmological

. The red or orange of a lunar eclipse is from the light of all the sunrises and sunsets at the time - nothing to do with blood and not in any way supernatural or a sign

. Please comment on this post with any public questions unrelated to blog posts - thanks! - also to help answer questions, look at comments here

Russia doing less nuclear rhetoric - though never any realistic possibility of nukes - Ukraine war slowed because of mud season - Russia doing controlled withdrawal from Kherson - apparently almost deserted but no Ukrainian army yet

. Mid terms could go either way - but normal for a president to lose the House - and half the time they lose the Senate - Republicans can’t win enough seats to override Biden’s veto or elect enough Trump loyalists to override the popular vote in 2025

. Pocket forests - making a small forest very quickly by using lots of small saplings and shrubs - reaches a full fledged forest in just 40 years - and small circular gardens as part of the Great Green Wall in Africa #positivenewsclimate

. China HUGELY over achieves on EVERY climate change promise - few seem to know that + MEGA renewables - largest renewables power plants in the world are in China or India

. China and India both telling Russia not to use nukes - and many others saying they don’t expect Putin to use nukes - including full transcript of Boris Johnson’s remarks about how it would make Russia a rogue nation

. Why you NEVER need to worry about North Korea starting a world war - they have nukes just for reassurance because of fear of decapitation strikes on their government and can’t even fight a world war if they wanted to - MID EDIT

. If best masks are as good as physical modeling suggest - should be obvious in a randomized trial of masks in households - let China keep to zero COVID without quarantine or lockdowns - even eliminate COVID

. Some of the main points to expect from COP27 - which are very encouraging for a just transition and to reach close to 1.5 C - John Kerry giving a preview based on his discussions with countries behind the scenes

. No, UNEP did NOT say “No credible pathway to 1.5°C”. They said no credible pathway IN PLACE yet - but we are getting there - John Kerry, one of the architects of Paris, thinks we can get close to 1.6°C maybe better

. Not a “Planet Killer”, 2022 AP7 was removed from the risk list 2nd Feb 2022 - never reached public warning levels - your risk from asteroids is very low, far less than lightning or even very rare death by a hailstone

, No you are NOT going to be forced to be vegetarian or to eat bugs for Climate - it CAN help to reduce meat use OR reduce meat waste OR make intelligent meat choices based on climate impacts

. Dr Mike Ryan (WHO): why nasal spray vaccines could be a game changer if they can indeed stop COVID transmission - could they be China’s way out of Zero COVID or even eliminate COVID locally similarly to measles vaccines?

. Elon Musk didn't pay $44 billion to turn Twitter into a Parler clone - may experiment with a setting in preferences to morph between Twitter and Parler experiences? Only posts by people glorifying violence if dialed all the way to Parler?

. Why UNEP (and CAT) predict high temperatures - uses global CO2 for just 2015 & 2030 (est) + ignores zero pledges - this underestimates reductions for rapidly industrializing economies with fast exponential renewables growth like India & China

. COP27 likely to focus more on HOW we get to below 2 C - with climate justice, sustainable development, preserving biodiversity - IEA says headed for 1.7 C with announced pledges, 2.5 C with current policies - John Kerry says 1.5 C still within reach

. Why Zelensky no longer has a basis under Russian law to negotiate with Putin: Putin illegally annexed a large part of Ukraine - this can't be reversed - Zelensky prepared to negotiate with Russia but not Putin - But they can end the war - will WIN

Got my COVID booster yesterday hurray! I got the Pfizer original / BA.1 and the flu vaccine.

. Putin NOT likely to use dirty bomb - NOT false flag just propaganda like claim of weaponized migratory birds - dirty bombs aren’t nukes and NOT unusually dangerous to civilians - main risk from dirty bomb as for conventional bomb is explosive itself

. Putin like a bully - escalates against a weaker or uncommitted opponent, backs down if he meets someone stronger and more committed - and when he backs down pretends nothing ever happened

. Mississippi low level is just a dry anomaly happens every decade or so - MIDEDIT

. Zelensky says Russia preparing to blow up Nova Kahkhova dam above Kherson to slow Ukrainian counteroffensive - many civilians would need rescue - Zekensky says need to stop it happening - nuclear power plant okay - UPDATE: Budanov thinks unlikely

. No we do NOT have to escape from Earth to Mars - Earth is where we evolved and is a wonderful planet and our home and we need to preserve and save it

. No need to freak out about BQ.1 or BQ.1.1. or BF.1 or whatever the latest COVID variant - it’s all COVID, vaccines help - also masks, distancing etc - longer term next gen vaccines will help

. Why Putin can’t use nukes against NATO - and is exceedingly unlikely to use a tactical nuke in Ukraine - in 23 points and my other recent Ukraine nukes debunks and videos

. Yes snow crab fishing in the Bering sea has been stopped for one year in 2022–3 to let the stocks recover - NOT an extinction risk, lots of snow crabs in the world

. Ignore story about wildlife rapidly declining by the WWF - their Living Planet Index doesn’t mean anything about the actual numbers and e.g. mammals in Europe see a big recovery - we have much to do, but conservation works!

. Most people don’t know: fallout is HEAVY dust - NOT fog - falls to the ground after 15 mins - and fallout gets MUCH less radioactive in hours - so you CAN protect yourself - if authorities thought there was a real risk we’d be told these things

. US likely at least alert nuclear defence posture, DEFCON 5, possibly DEFCON 4 - no sign of Russia preparing to use nukes - no change in nuclear defence posture since before war - definitely NOT DEFCON 2 or 3 - and nothing like Cuban missile crisis

. Strategy can take patience - Some western officials expect Ukraine to liberate Kherson city next week - Kerch bridge was a “shaping operation” - prepared way for big counteroffensives in Kherson or Zaporizhia oblasts - may have started in Kherson

. Putin is not preparing to use nukes against NATO - despite his bluffs - and exceedingly unlikely to use a tactical nuke against Ukraine - to make sure, US told him privately what happens next - one likely response, his entire Black sea fleet sinks

. No way that Russia wins using attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure - indeed as usual, opposite effect, Ukraine will be better protected by the new air defence systems with the German IRIS system already working in Ukraine

. This IS Putin’s “counterterrorism” attack on Ukraine - tried to damage a glass pedestrian bridge and missed and using over 80 expensive missiles on other targets of no military value - at a total cost to Russia of $400 to $700 million

. This is who the Ukrainians are fighting for

. Stories about iodine pills are nothing to do with nukes - they are regular purchases for nuclear power plant accidents

. Some of the high quality sources on Twitter for information about the Ukraine war

. UUkraine cut through Kerch bridge with either a truck explosion or some say with missiles as for Saky -perhaps ATACMS - Putin’s response - “Bravely run Away” - NOT nukes as that would make Putin’s bad situation even worse for Russia and himsel

. No change in nuclear defence posture - Biden’s comparison with Cuban Missile crisis is political rhetoric for a fund raiser for the Democrat mid terms campaign

. Tactical nuke train story is MEDIA NONSENSE - traveling away from depot with minimal perimeter security - ZERO CHANCE NUKES - likely removing vehicles and trained security teams from tactical nukes guard duty to the war

[duplicate post]

. Why 300,000 or even a million “worse than shitty” reservists will not help Putin to keep the occupied territory in Ukraine - he would only lose faster - MID EDIT

. Putin does NOT expect world war with NATO or he would protect Russia as top priority (short version)

. Putin has massively reduced Russia’s ability to defend against NATO to feed his invasion of Ukraine - so Putin does NOT expect world war with NATO or he would protect Russia as top priority.

. Kadyrov is just the leader of Chechens not Russia - yes he did an emotional rant about nukes - he can’t use them himself- he often says hawkish things - such as saying he is ready to invade Poland - of course Russia didn’t invade Poland

. No Russia’s new sub is NOT going to fire nukes - MAY test a torpedo (without nuke) - close to ICBM in range but underwater - hours to cross Atlantic and NOT able to make a tsunami - bafflingly if used with nuke would be 1/100th effect of airburst

. Russia about to lose most of Kherson oblast over the next day or two according to military analysts - Russia retreating very fast - and why you don’t need to worry Russia will escalate - it can’t

. Another Media storm over nothing - Putin is NOT sending tactical nukes to Ukraine on a train and NOT firing nuclear torpedoes - and US Ministry of Defence continues to say NO CHANGE in nuclear defence posture since before the war

. Putin backs down frequently - he creates an illusion of someone who never backs down but he is rather the opposite - more like someone who almost always backs down - and continues to lose big time in Ukraine

. Update, Ukraine now taken Lyman - which leaves large areas of Luhansk vulnerable - meanwhile areas near Kherson also vulnerable - sad stories though that large numbers of Russians fled Lyman and were killed or injured rather than surrender

. No Putin can’t make things better for Russia or himself with nukes - and his bluffs ARE bluffs - all my recent debunks on this topic

. Russia about to lose strategically important city of Lyman in Donetsk - leaving Severodonetstk and Lysychansk and much of Luhansk oblast vulnerable for another counteroffensive - and why Russia can’t escalate - go into many details

. Ebola in the Uganda outbreak is NOT vaccine resistant - it’s a different virus, the Sudan Ebola virus - and as for all Ebola outbreaks, can be stopped by contact tracing - with three experimental vaccines to help stop the outbreak faster

. Putin speech misleadingly clipped - said nukes against civilians are BAD - did NOT say bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki are a precedent for Russia to follow - said US / UK used carpet bombing in Germany as a precedent - for nuclear bombs in Japan

. Russia can’t escalate against Ukraine never mind NATO - 300,000 raw recruits do nothing - sent much of their capability to defend against NATO to war in Ukraine - nukes won’t help - Putin often backs down

. Ukraine applying to join NATO is NOT an escalation - a country can’t join NATO during a territorial dispute - it’s a symbolic response to Putin’s earlier demands that Ukraine never joins NATO

. Photos and video of the DART impact - way above expectations, big harmless dust cloud - good news - means it is easier to deflect an asteroid than expected

. Nord stream explosions are a puzzle so far - but not an act of war - most likely Russia sabotaging its own pipeline for reasons obscure - NOT Biden - and climate impact < 0.1% of total fossil fuel methane emissions for a year

. Why Putin can’t win the Ukraine war by declaring he has won - no way he expects Ukraine / NATO to take his bluffs seriously - why even mobilize if saying you have won is all it takes to win a war?

. DART asteroid redirect spacecraft is tiny - and astronomers carefully selected asteroid so no harm to Earth is possible - like a human trying to deflect a tanker by running into it or a mosquito to change direction of a runner by flying into them

. Why so many countries play along with Putin’s nuclear bluffs even while US military see nothing new of concern - political simplification makes it easier to argue for policies such as more weapons for Ukraine

. Putin’s speech set up his defence Ministry as a scapegoat to blame for losing the war - and his mobilization will do little to stop Ukraine’s counter offensives this fall and winter

. Institute for Study of War Analysis of Putin’s speech - Putin did NOT say Russia’s nuclear umbrella covers annexed Ukraine - and US’s General Ryder says they monitor the rhetoric and see no reason to change their nuclear defence posture

. Putin’s “not a bluff” IS a bluff - ISW say he has NOT commited to extend nuclear umbrella to annexed regions of Ukraine - Russia is losing - mobilization will make loss more humiliating for Russia - but Putin has a scapegoat - his Defense Ministry

. Putin is just using his nuclear bluff yet again - surprising now if he did a major speech WITHOUT a nuclear bluff in it - vanishingly unlikely he really uses tactical nukes against Ukraine and no way he attacks NATO

. uBlacklist - plugin to block sites in Google search results in Firefox, Chrome or Safari

. How to find a debunk - Facebook group - help if suicidal - permission to re-use - about me - and other details from old space description

. 24th September date is just about a German legislator Friedrich Merz who meant to say “24th February” the date of the Ukraine invasion - mischievous people clipped it just before “when I got the news of the war in Ukraine”

. No the world is NOT “headed in wrong direction” - yet another UN report based on negative framing - we are doing so much that’s right and if we focus on our successes this leads to more, not less action on climate change

. Whether what we do is determistic, probabilistic, computable, non computable we are our bit of the universe doing whatever it does the way it does - we have free will in any meaningful sense, nobody and nothing else is coercing us to make decisions

. My answer for the question on Quora “Is there life after death?”

. Rail strike in the US wouldn’t lead to bare shelves in supermrkets - and close to an agreement main sticking point left - members don’t want to lose points for time off work for doctor’s appointments

. Swedish government is NOT going to be far right - it might be moderate right with such a slim majority it can only pass laws with broad agreement from every legislator in the coalition

. Russia can’t win this war with nukes - it’s just losing - same as when the USSR lost its war with Afghanistan - there is no way to use nukes to win a war

. Ukraine war might (??) end sooner than expected - Russian reinforcements refuse to go to Ukraine - thousands of soldiers in Kherson may be negotiating surrender - and reports Putin cuts off communications with his military staff (?!)

. Putin’s resignation demanded by Deputies in Moscow and St Petersburg (Putin's birth place) saying his actions harm the future of Russia and its citizens - and Ukraine’s momentum continues in Kherson, Luhansk and elsewhere

. Russia have decided to withdraw from the whole of the Karkhiv oblast according to @wartranslated who follows Russian sources - and the Ukrainian Luhansk governor says parts of Luhansk are also liberated, some even back to before 2014 lines

, Ukraine took Izyum overnight - this is a stunning success for them - and no reason to suppose this is the last - they have likely used only half their spare combat troops with the rest in reserve for some other offensive

. Ukraine’s counteroffensive is succeeding far better than anyone expected - astonishingly fast, almost like the end of the battle of Kyiv - and more secret operations happening today

. Reason for hope for corals that many more survive at 2 C than previously thought - much quoted figure of 99% lost at 2 C based on study from 2016 - recent research suggests many corals may be more resilient

. Most of the multiple climate tipping points unfold over thousands of years or are very localized - no risk of temperature tipping point

. Ukraine continues their astonishing advance, 1000 square kilometers liberated since 1st Sept and not stopping yet - not the end of the war but a big blow for Russia - and must increase chance of early end to the war

. With Queen’s death - no big changes, Prince Charles has already done many ceremonies standing in for her, including reading the Queen’s speech (which is written by the government)

, Why Germany can’t become a fascist country - “Basic Law” prevents it - and what they are doing about gas crisis

. Liz Truss is sure to continue with net zero - legally obliged to, in the conservative manifesto, she personally committed to it and her top ministers are committed

. Kids waving to tanks as they come to liberate their village - human side to Ukraine’s big advance today in Karkhiv Oblast

, New space to ask questions about topics unrelated to the blog posts - Questions for Doomsday Debunked - try-out for now.

. Mystery Argentina disease confirmed to be Legionnaire’s disease which has almost no human to human transmission - expect clusters of pneumonia of unknown origin in flu season

. Yes China has lower crop yields in the south near the Yangtse river - but higher in the north - and has end of year stocks enough to feed its population for an entire year even if it had no crop harvest this year

, Ukrainian big counteroffensive may be starting, to retake weakened Kherson Oblast and other Southern regions of Ukraine, - but Ukraine won’t share details until it’s over - let’s hope this encourages Putin to consider retreat and a peace treaty

. No need to panic over perfectly normal sunspot growing in size - this is what they do! Over time normally they grow, go through stages and then decay

. The PM has many ways to pay for energy bills in the UK to support the lower income households - and will have to do so once they become PM

. Planetary boundaries idea is NOT used by the IPCC and widely criticised - not even a North American fresh water "boundary", as it costs too much to pipe water from e.g. MIssissipi (increasing water flow) to Colorado (decreasing flow)

. Cautiously optimistic about recent progress in Iran deal - they may be able to conclude before the mid-terms - would need to be more than 30 days before to allow time for Congress to respond but not likely they can stop it

. Liz Truss isn’t really a hawk - a PM can never use a nuke in peace time - no literal button and was only asked about letters of last resort for submarine commmanders if she was killed - standard deterrent theory

. Why you never need to be scared of Jesus return- and tips to reduce false prophecies you see - most people never see a false prophecy in social media or on Google and if they do pay no attention

. Yes Ukraine is wining against Russian invasion - they are far inferior in technology now - but it’s a war of corrosion - likely Russia loses Kherson soon but may be like battle of Kyiv rather than big counteroffensive - MID EDIT

. An attack on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant would NOT lead to article 5 - defensive not retaliatory, voluntary not triggered, nobody dies or even gets radiation sickness in worst case if they can evacuate a small region of Ukraine

. Yes wind and water turbines work as a power source - and solar power - do NOT need more energy to make than they produce - and a hypothetical alien civilization could have an industrial revolution without fossil fuels

. Nobody wants a world war and nobody can win a nuclear war - China, Russia, US, NATO, all know that - nukes are a deterrent never to be used and a nuclear war can never be won

. If Russia stage a nuclear accident in the Zaporizhzhia plant - very worst case is like Fukushima NOT Chernobyl - people in Zaporizhzhia may need to move out - but in Fukushima nobody died or got sick from radiation

. Megafloods, atmospheric rivers and “Aarkstorm” can be used to help collect water for drier years - but California needs to be ready for flooding as well as drought

. Most of the summer drought stories happen every year or most years - most of Europe has high rainfall - we can collect winter water for summer, and produce lots of food and globally no shortage

. How pandemics happen and how we stop them - and how a 95% effective vaccine could stop COVID not just let us “live with it” - many next gen. vaccines already in clinical trials, many funded by CEPI

. Time for a healthy dose of skepticism - try to get a feeling for which of the sources you use are reliable or unreliable - you can’t believe anything you read online but some sources ARE reliable

. Langya virus has NO risk of starting a pandemic - only 35 cases since 2018 and most likely ALL 35 got it from animals - NO human to human transmission found - most viruses don’t spread after jumping to human

. YES safe to drink drinking water - including well designed rainwater supplies - ultra low levels of PFAS in rainwater not a cancer risk - some vaccines may be SLIGHTLY less effective in kids who drink LOTS of rainwater before age 5 - NOT PROVEN

. Our sun is not getting hotter or whiter, can’t go supernova (wrong kind of star) and can’t do a superflare

. Great, U.S. senate have now passed the U.S. Climate bill (the inflation reduction act) :)

. Yes China has suspended some contacts with US including on climate - not too surprising - won’t change all the actions China and the US do on climate change - and lines are still open on military cooperation

. #positivenewsclimate China continues to add more renewables each year than it did the previous year, since 2019 - world leader on renewables

. Curent global outbreak of monkeypox coming under control in Europe and most places - shows we know how to control it - can’t spread as a pandemic in its current form and evolves very slowly

. Deserts + water = good soil often - Sahara desert was grassland 5000 years ago due to Earth’s axial precession - and will be in the future - but we can make it somewhat greener right now - Great Green wall

. Normal for the Moon to seem to tilt back and forth - called libration - not really tilting

. China’s live drills are political defiance after Pelosi’s visit not military preparation - to regain credibility, save face, and try to undermine Taiwan’s claims of sovereignty - and short explanation of why China can’t invade Taiwan

. Please don’t be scared by story about a “climate end game” - ultra low quality research - authors criticise IPCC heavily - don’t seem to know their claims are debunked in chapters 5 and 7 of IPCC AR6 / WG1 report - fails basic fact check

. Yes Earth sets new record for shortest day - since atomic clocks began - but only by a fraction of a ms - was 28 ms shorter 1500 years ago - long term day is getting longer - was 23 hours for dinosaurs - harmless!

. Pelosi landed in Taiwan without incident - and no way China escalates - Newt Gingrich, who visited China and Taiwan as speaker in 1997 thinks Chinese Communists will then calm down

. If you want to ask questions about unrelated topics publicly please respond to this post for now - thanks! (short term solution) - also if you want to help answer questions you can look at comments here

. What is HiMARS - Not dangerous except to soldiers - lets Ukraine corrode Russian logistics from a distance with minimal risk to civilians similarly to the way they won the battle of Kyiv

. Why US constitution can’t be amended by Republican controlled legislatures on their own

. No, solar storms won’t destroy our satellite systems - SpaceX satellites lost weren’t yet in final orbit and Swarm satellites have already lasted longer than design life - and our grids are safe too

. When to expect Ukraine counter-offensive - mid-August - Almost no change in Ukraine war front line since July 6 - but Ukraine is disrupting logistics with HiMARS and Russia is getting weaker with every week and Ukraine stronger

. China bluffs - most likely they do a military exercise or its jets fly into Taiwan’s AZID as many times before - can’t invade Taiwan and no risk of nuclear war and to assassinate a legislator is a major war crime

. New research published in Science gives close to rock solid proof COVID jumped to humans from live animals in Wuhan market

, To my followers - please keep comments on blog posts relevant to the topic of the post. If what you want to ask is unrelated, do send me a PM or email - Thanks!

. Lower flow rates in Euphrates happen when Turkey holds back more than half water flow to green its desert - enough water in Ataturk dam to supply river continuously for 3 years - not supernatural and not predicted by the Biblel

. #PositiveNewsClimate Manchin has agreed to a climate bill before COP27 and before the mid terms

. #PositiveNews: Ocean Cleanup removed 100 metric tons of plastics from the Great Pacific Garbage Patch in 2021–2 - larger net should remove a million metric tons in 2023 - ten large nets should remove a fifth of the patch every year

. WHO did NOT say monkeypox is a pandemic - main risk still for men who have sex with MANY MEN - no deaths outside Africa - and declared a PHEIC to help control it - most public health emergencies of intenational concern aren’t pandemics

. Biden’s risk of dying of COVID is very low with 4th dose booster vaccine and Paxlovid reduces risk more - when Trump and Johnson got it risk was more like 1 in 100 - main risk now is long COVID but vast majority don’t get that either

. Could Ukraine hit the Kerch bridge connecting Russia to Crimea? It is a legitimate defensive target but right now beyond their range and they would be very careful

. Greenland ice always melts a lot in summer - but it gains ice in winter - and overall it’s adding 0.6 mm a year to sea level rise or about 6 cms a century - but will slow down as we go to zero emissions

. Yes we can rebuild after a war - one day all Ukraine's cities damaged by the war will be restored - and the economies of Ukraine - and Russia too - rebuilt and renewed

. Russia not escalating in Ukraine - can’t - hardly moved since 6th April after losing area the size of Bulgaria or Pennsylvania in battle of Kyiv - minor gains Russian media make a song and dance about

. . New York Nuclear preparedness video is just informational like many such videos produced over the years and nothing to do with any current events or information - they didn’t even tweet about it

. The high temperatures in Europe are just local heat anomalies and are NOT global warming - other places are cooler than normal and world is within normal range for our climate

. Comparison of forecast for today with fictional forecast for 2050 does NOT mean rapid climate change - warming is as expected just a rare weather event

. How to stay safe at 40 C in the heat wave in London and some other places in the UK - take care - not the kind of weather to go out and play in the sun

. UK 35°C - 40°C red alert on Monday in the UK is just a heat wave not even a natural disaster if you take care - similar to snow / ice warnings in winter - only covers some areas - other places have temperatures even below 20 C

. US Emissions are already falling - already in the middle of a major transition to renewables and clean energy - Biden’s job is far easier than it seems because most of what he wants to achieve will happen anyway - the aim is to speed it up a bit

. Worldometers oil reserves page should show “oil left” INCREASING not decreasing - proven oil reserves increase and their figure is now too low by 229.1 billion barrels

, If US doesn’t pass its climate bill by COP27 - embarrassing for USA - but only adds a minute fraction of a degree - 5 US states committed to zero emissions, billions of dollars funding in infrastructure bill and rapid transition happening already

. Added the “Flag of the wonderful Russia of the future” to my profile photo in support of the many Russians who want an end to this war and who want to rebuild a new peaceful law abiding Russia

. Be especially careful with dogs in heat waves - 75% of cases of heat stroke in dogs are from owners exercising them when it’s too hot - dog’s can’t sweat like humans, only pant and need lots of water to drink

. UK’s 40°C heat wave is not life threatening IF you take precautions - many places are far warmer - sweating keeps us cool like natural inbuilt fridges - and it's just a heat anomaly - we can’t have sudden warming, so, no temperature tipping point

. Plenty of oil in the ground - the main problem is how fast we pump it out - can increase the flow - but producers worry about falling prices - and there is a delay

. Ukraine Russia Peace Support - most Russians as anywhere else are kind and most of those who know what is going on have been against the war since it started - and kindness is the way forward

. Penny Mordaunt, current favourite for next UK PM has decent green credentials for action on climate change and net zero

. Bad Empada’s video looks scientific as he quotes from papers and highlights them - but it is scientific nonsense, he doesn’t know what he’s talking about

. Kurzgesagt’s “We will fix climate change!” has a good title - but the video itself fails fact check in almost every sentence falsely scares you with impossible scenarios - yes it is fixable and much we ARE doing and no we were never “doomed”

. Corals only vanish from oceans above 3°C - replaced by sponge reefs not deserts - but we stopped them from vanishing - need to slow down warming to help them more - corals are the only ecosystem that can vanish due to warming - often did in the past

. Yes Russia will lose this war - let’s hope they go for a peace treaty soon - running into massive problems of logistics at present similarly to just before they lost the battle for Kyiv

. Should we burn wood pellets and other biomass in power stations as for Drax - answer is YES it can help us reach genuine zero or even -ve carbon - but it’s important to do it properly with carbon capture and sustainably managed biomass

. . CERN minor upgrade of Large Hadron Collider from 13 to 13.6 TeV is harmless - collisions milions of times more energetic happen thousands of times a day in our atmosphere - upgrade is mainly for more detailed information about collisions

. Biden’s climate plans won’t be significantly affected by Supreme Court ruling on EPA - rather surprising they took it on as it was a case about the now repealed Obama Clean Power Act.

. Supreme Court case Moore v. Harper on “independent legislature theory” is for state oversight of redistricting and gerrymandering for Federal elections - whatever Supreme Court decide, Congress have power to make gerrymandering illegal countrywide

. World Bank projects continued economic growth - and sees an end to stagflation - risk is of a double dip recession but after detailed analysis don’t see it likely to happen - this is not about a depression or the US economy collapsing - MID EDIT

. Lots of click bait scary headlines about sunspot with two tiny harmless disappearing solar filaments - this is totally normal and not dangerous - not even minor solar storms forecast

. Biden’s climate plans won’t be affected by what SCOTUS (US Supreme Court) decides on whether EPA can regulate CO2 as a pollutant under section 7411 - it is about Obama’s repealed Clean Power Act

. . Main risk from the Cascadia fault is as tsunami in low lying parts of Seattle and other places along that coast - and much you can do to reduce your risk - risk is 8+ rather than 9 because it’s not stuck enough for a 9

. Supreme court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade does NOT mean the US supreme court will overturn gay marriage, right for contraception, or interracial marriage - and leaves decisions about abortion to the American voters

. Group rules for the Doomsday Debunked group on Facebook

. With Roe v. Wade overturned, abortion is now an election issue for the mid terms - and the Supreme Court are saying “get out and vote for what you want” - also make it clear it doesn’t cast doubt on any other issues except abortion

. Polio cluster in London is low risk and normal for weaker economies that use live attenuated vaccines - not a polio pandemic - if left to circulate for two years could revert to severe disease in unvaccinated, no sign of that yet

. Even the highest sea level rise if the ice melts far faster than expected is less than 2 meters (6 feet) by 2150 on the 1.4°C path and 5 meters (16 feet) on the now impossible 4.4°C path - IPCC

. All that happens in Kaliningrad from Lithuania ban is Russia needs to send its steel, coal etc by ship instead of rail which takes a little over 2 days - passengers not affected - and of course lots of diplomatic guestures and words

. Media attention focuses on small region of Donbas of no military or economic value, purely symbolic - Russia stalled and advancing kilometers a day - barely mentions Kherson where Ukraine is making significant advances in the last few days

. Congo Basin peat bank - NOT lungs - no impact on breathing - one of the most intact tropical rainforests and we can save it - please don't be scared by BBC factoids

. Why US and Ukraine reject resolution against glorification of Nazis at UN - though both condemn religious and ethnic intolerance or hatred - US 1st amendment freedom of speech and Ukrainian independence fighters

. When are we going to reach Peak X? Never - we have enough resources for this century at least for everything

, Why we aren’t at risk of falling into any black hole - they can’t suck things in from a distance and you can even fly past a black hole safely in a spaceship

. We can’t run out of oil - problem is stranded assets - Hubert’s theory of peak oil isn’t valid because we keep discovering more oil or learning how to extract it better

, Why Putin keeps bluffing about a nuclear war he can never fight - he has successfully stopped NATO from supplying advanced weapons and systems to Ukraine for months - so he gets feedback that it works

. Gas prices in the USA may go over $6 per gallon in summer, worst case - but then fall to below $4 later the year - but to put in context, Norway, Finland and Denmark already pay over $10 per gallon

. Degrowth works at community level to fight climate change while macroeconomic degrowth is theoretical - IPCC & IPBES scenarios show economic growth as a tool with quality of life as aim, at 1.5 C ~0.1% impact on yearly GDP growth paid by co-benefits

. Very unlikely we cease to exist when we die - personal view to help scared people

. Russia may seem strong in Ukraine - but actually very weak and some military analysts think Severdonetsk, a small city of no military significance - may be their last big offensive then Ukraine slowly fights back

. USA powergrid issue is just a risk of peak demand in July and most likely no blackouts - if there are any it is just like blackouts you get anyway

. US and UK supplying middle range precision GPS guided missiles - distance of 70 km - Ukraine promises not to use them against targets in Russia - Russia is in no position to escalate anyway

. Water restrictions during drought in California is a normal enough response - and won’t lead to conflict - main problem is water plan was drawn up when the 7 states covered had access to lots of water so they aren’t use to economizing

. Severdonetsk has no military value - this is probably Russia’s last big battle too - then its a war of attrition and then Ukraine on the offensive with new weapons and a million new soldiers later this summer

. #positivenewsclimate - one in 10 of all cars sold globally are electric

. Yes the USA has more homicides and mass shootings than other advanced economies - but your personal risk remains low and past centuries had far higher rates

, Sorry everyone - Quora no longer shows me a reply function for your comments on my posts - submitted a bug report - please check top level comments or message me - SORTED NOW - just got confused by the interface

. Am going to upload videos to my original channel for a while - and then a new one - because YouTube did a mistaken warning about medical misinformation which I was actually DEBUNKING

. NOT headed for global famine - clickbait Daily Telegraph article - excess wheat 39% more than we need for year, enough for an extra 20 weeks - excess grain could feed 2.8 billion for a year

. The WHO pandemic treaty proposal is a way to be better prepared and respond faster in a future pandemic - it is NOT a way for the WHO or the UN to control the world - it is whatever the member governments of the World Health Assembly want it to be

. We can control monkeypox - endemic in African monkeys and infects humans there - more cases than usual exported to other countries recently - under investigation but human to human transmission needs close contact easily stopped with contact tracing

. For those worried about Putin escalating - it's the opposite. He has tried very hard to escalate in Donbas but the war keeps getting smaller not larger.

. Not clear Biden loses Congress at the mid -terms - and whatever he happens - no way Republicans can legislate an abortion ban country wide or anti LGBT legislation - it needs a supermajority to override a president

. First request for public comments on NASA’s draft plans to keep Earth safe for its Mars sample return in 2033 - many laws protect Earth’s biosphere and your comments are part of the process to make sure Earth is kept safe - now closed for comments

. Finland and Sweden joining NATO is expected - and will make them safer from Russian aggression - though there was no real risk right now

. Ukraine war will not encourage China to invade Taiwan - the opposite - highlights how risky it would be for China internationally and also militarily

. Why Russia failed to get control of the skies of Ukraine - one of the main reasons Ukraine is holding its ground and even winning back against Russia

. What a peace treaty could look like - Russia back to behind pre-invasion contact line, genuine ceasefire, Ukraine has security guarantees from UK, US, Israel, Turkey etc, and US / Russia agree INF treaty

. Putin Victory Day speech - no major announcements - leaves door open for peace treaty - doesn’t try to annex any of Ukraine - Russia sure to lose soon (at most weeks or months)

. What do we expect for May 9? Best guess low key - Russia has been dialing back expectations and their army is performing really badly - never made sense to try to start a nuclear war!

. IMF projections: NOT a recession even in Europe as a result of the Ukraine war - only in Russia, Belarus, and obviously Ukraine because damage from the war greatly reduces their GDP

. If the Supreme Court does overturn Roe v. Wade - Alito’s draft says clearly that their conclusion does NOT undermine the right to gay marriage, to contraception etc.

. 49 C in Jacobabad, Pakistan, on April 30 is not a record for Jacobabad in April and does NOT mean sudden warming - it’s just a heat wave - well within limits for humans to stay cool with sweating

. If you comment on my posts here PLEASE DON’T BLOCK ME or I will DELETE YOUR COMMENTS as I CAN’T REPLY

. Russian radioactive tsunami is a fantasy weapon Russian propagandists use to scare people - not real - defies physics - nothing we have has anything like enough energy to generate a tsunami only a big splash

. Supreme Court may overturn US Roe v. Wade abortion rights protection (50 /50?) - Congress can legislate if Democrats do well in mid-terms - and pro choice states can assist women from pro life states

. Russia is seen as more of a paper tiger than a Russian bear by the Pentagon - no sign of any nuclear escalation and they haven’t changed their nuclear alert status in two months of war

. UPDATE: Russia say they won’t do anything special on May 9 - not mobilizing for a long war with Ukraine - this helps keep the window open for a future peace treaty

. News story about “Putin declaring war” is just that Putin may admit he is at war with UKRAINE on May 9 - lets him legally use conscripts to fight in Ukraine - still NO RISK OF NUKES - just BLUFFS and he will NOT DECLARE WAR WITH NATO

. Yes war may continue in Ukraine after May 9 - Russia may want to dig in for a frozen war with fewer casualties per day - but NATO and Ukraine think Ukraine can win against Russia with NATO weapons and force it to sue for peace

. Elon Musk is the richest man in the world so he spends a third of his vast fortune on … Twitter ?! It’s rather puzzling but not too likely to turn it into a clone of 4chann or Parler - he will want to keep it viable - mid edit

. Why US think Ukraine can win the war and push Russia back to the preinvasion contact lines - Russia losing many soldiers, tanks and other equipment to stay still in Ukraine - if Putin saw this the same way he’d sue for peace today

. New study - insects for the most part benefit from warming in natural habitas but intensive agriculture is a challenge for insects in a warming world - much we can do to help

. [Past date] Ridiculous hoax hacked page said Russia knows it will be attacked by NATO with nukes on April 24th 2022 and hides this from its people - gone viral but not in mainstream news as it is too ridiculous for them to even fact check

. It is impossible to win with a nuclear first strike - and NATO’s article 5 is defensive not retaliatory - IMHO much of the Twitter / social media panic is based on not understanding these points

. Exceptionally unlikely that Russia uses a very small tactical nuke against Ukraine and no risk of them attacking NATO - CIA director Burns said the CIA do NOT see practical evidence for concern about nukes, just Russian rhetoric (bluffs)

. Yes Finland and Sweden can join NATO if they want to - Russia is making EMPTY BLUFFS - it ALREADY HAS nukes near those countries in subs and in Kaliningrad - BEEN THERE FOR DECADES - deployed just means positioned as a deterrent - don’t do anything

. Yes we CAN stay within 1.5 C, if we go over it’s not a disaster, zero emissions by 2050 is a reasonable goal - no sudden temperature tipping points - Peter Kalmus does NOT represent the IPCC and his views on this matter are not founded on science

. You do NOT need to delete emails to fight climate change - viral misinformation - emails are zero carbon already or will be by the 2030s - but there is much you CAN do easily - and nothing happens in 2025

. Ukraine war local to South and East far from NATO - Putin likely plans a big offensive to try to capture Donbas and Azov sea coast with 2–3 weeks of fighting before serious peace talks - but negotiators still talking and peace framework to build on

. IPCC - “action now can move us towards a fairer, more sustainable world” and 2025 is just the year emissions need to start to fall for the easiest path for 1.5 C and to net zero by the 2050s - MID EDIT

. Most people are kind - war crimes were conducted by specific Russian soldiers at specific times - others refused orders - and stories hit the news precisely because it is normal for humans to be kind

. Ukraine war is getting smaller - but still intense - and may be headed for a peace agreement in days to weeks - but Putin does seem to be moving troops to the Donbas area, probably to attempt some limited objectives first - MID EDIT

. Putin bluffs, and everyone talks about how NOT to have a world war - nobody wants a world war for the same reason you don't want it - and no increased risk

. No increased risk of world war - and nobody wants a world war for the same reason you don't want it - video which I’ll make into a blog post soon

. No military advantage for Russia with chemical, or biological weapons or tactical nukes - but could use chemical or biological weapons as false flag claiming Ukraine responsible to justify their invasion - US prebunking with aim to stop this

. Russia is probing US websites - but cyber expert says difficult to imagine an attack despite what the president said - do need to continue to take standard measures to protect your website - MID EDIT

. Russia is probing US websites - but cyber expert says difficult to imagine an attack despite what the president said - do need to continue to take standard measures to protect your website - MID EDIT

. Possibility of a peace treaty between Ukraine and Russia for the first time - and perhaps Putin is getting better information now from the war

. 94 violinists play a Ukrainian folk song in support

. Russia is bluffing again - NATO weapons are ALREADY going into Ukraine in convoys driven by Ukrainian drivers or pilots - Russia may attack them but it won’t be an attack on NATO

. Worst case from Ukraine conflict is a food crisis like the one in 2007–8 and 500 million extra people facing acute hunger - but we can prevent this

. Several Experts: Ukraine will win - eventually - stagnating with Russian supply and morale issues - but may continue for weeks sadly - risk continuing to escalate to more destruction WITHIN Ukraine

. Oil prices will stimulate more oil production - plenty of oil in the world - so price rises should recover - but hard to say how soon it ramps up - some relief on timescale of months at least - same for other economic effects and food prices

. NATO can’t do a no-fly zone - helps Russia’s artillery - unless they join the war with Ukraine with a no-fly zone as part of a larger operation - but CAN supply anti-aircraft and anti-missile systems and jet fighters to UKRAINE

. From Tass - many Russians don’t believe that Russia invaded Ukraine - they think the sanctions are a response to Russia’s choice to recognize republics in Eastern Donbas and that it hasn’t targeted any civilian structures

. Big humanitarian crisis in Ukraine - you can donate to help

. Amazon tipping point is gradual - not sudden - and at high emissions maybe around 3 C - low confidence it happens at all - new research doesn’t change this - DRAFT mid edit

. Putin wasn't insane - he was badly informed and miscalculated - and his nuclear threat is a bluff - Andrei Kozyrev, former foreign minister for the Russian Federation from 1990 to 1996

. NATO see NO SIGNS of any path towards nuclear escalation and maintain a calmness and responsibility - Admiral Sir Tony Radakin - also about no fly zone and nuclear plants

. Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Station fire is contained - but great care needed - risk of the likes of Fukushima in 2011 happening again - nuclear power stations are not designed to fail safely if shelled by tanks

. Russia’s invasion into Ukraine is an illegal war - very clear case - to counter infodemic

. Ukraine conflict won’t lead to major food shortages

. Fake news - Putin has NOT moved his family to a nuclear bunker - red top tabloid story by a hoaxer / conspiracy theorist

. UK and US intelligence sees no change in Russia’s readiness to deploy nukes - quotes

. No Putin is not going to nuke the EU! How his Defense minister might react

. Interesting analysis - why Putin’s invasion is likely to fail - only the first echelon of a Blitzkrieg - Putin’s error was to try to do a special op to invade a country

. The Russian “high alert” does NOT mean nuclear war is imminent - you don’t need a high level of alert to deter economic sanctions - not clear what it means - vague threat and mind games - nothing to be scared of

. No Putin will NOT start a world war or use nukes - difference between rational ruthless - and not of sound mind - even rational ruthless “yes men” have a limit - not robots - we can all help in small ways

. These are all my debunks since the war started. Main points - no risk of WW3, Russia won't attack NATO and NATO won't attack Russia.

. Russian tanks running out of fuel on Ukrainian highways - amusing encounter with Ukrainian driver offering tow back to Russia - Moscow didn’t supply commanders with enough gas

. An expert on Ukraine Russian relations expects Putin to be removed as president of Russia in a "palace coup" because of his irrational decisions in the Ukraine war

. Russian tennis star writes “no war please” on camera

. At dawn (in Kyiv), Kyiv is still in Ukrainian hands as sun rises and birds sing - and two hours before dawn a lone trumpeter plays the Ukrainian national anthem and everyone shouts “glory to ukraine”

. Chernobyl reactor is safe - the radioactive metal from the reactor core is covered in thick layers of concrete - may be release of some small amounts of radioactivity from the soil disturbed by trucks

. NATO Secretary General General says Russia will not attack NATO as long as they know it will trigger a response from the whole alliance - and NATO has no intentions or plans to send any NATO troops to Ukraine

. Is Putin not insane or illogical but just surrounded by “yes men” who give him very bad advice - the advice they know he wants to hear instead of what he needs to hear?

. Russia has now attacked Ukraine - precision bombing over much of Ukraine - Not WW3, not Russia fighting NATO - puzzling why Putin would do this - sorry I got things wrong - went with Zelensky and Ukrainian government assessment

. Russia has declared war on Ukraine and artillery fire outside Donbas region - PRECISION attacks will hit MILITARY targets such as military aerodromes - not CIVILIAN targets (though some civilians will die) - doesn’t involve NATO - not WW3

. Worst case in Ukraine - a long running regional conflict like the Yugoslav wars in the 1990s - but with precision strikes and few deaths of civilians - not WW3, not nukes - not Russia fighting NATO - and Putin out of a job

. Russia has declared war on Ukraine and artillery fire outside Donbas region - PRECISION attacks will hit MILITARY targets such as military airdromes - not CIVILIANS - doesn’t involve NATO - not WW3

. Worst case in Ukraine - a long running regional conflict like the Yugoslav wars in the 1990s - but with precision strikes and few deaths of civilians - not WW3, not nukes - not Russia fighting NATO - and Putin out of a job

. Putin’s decision to declare Donestk and Luhansk independent is symbolic as Russia already controls them - ends the Minsk protocol - not WW3, similar to Crimea crisis in 2014, NATO not directly involved

. Ukraine is not part of NATO and doesn’t have nukes - and the Russian ICBM tests are routine and targeted at Russia

. No way that Putin could plan to invade Kyiv - and any attack very unlikely - based on Ukrainian Center for Defence Strategies analysis [sadly they did - but the analysis here was spot on about the consequences for Russia]

. Russian army did NOT shell a kindergarten - ethnic Russian separatists in Ukraine shelled it - many incidents a day - "military technical" does NOT mean invasion - ICBM test routine - and a pontoon bridge can be constructed in hours

. Graphics and videos from my Ukraine debunks

. Feb 16: What is really happening in Ukraine - day of celebration of unity with lots of flag waving and singing the Ukrainian national anthe

. Storm in a teacup - Russia won’t invade Ukraine - expect celebration, flag waving, national anthems and day of unity - Centre for Defense Strategies in Ukraine don’t see large scale invasion as credible ever

. All this talk of Russia invading Ukraine is NOT going to happen - a “storm in a teacup” - a big fuss about nothing much - and Ukraine experts say a major invasion would need 100s of 1000s of troops

. Why so few Western media challenge the narrative of a Russian invasion of Ukraine - not a priority for journalists to fact check for scared people - comparison with my fact check in 2018 for claims US would attack North Korea in “Fire and Fury”

. What would a full scale invasion of Ukraine would look like? no easy quick win from the air! - this also is why Putin can’t really be planning to do this

. No Putin did NOT threaten nuclear war with NATO - he asked for reassurances about Crimea if Ukraine joins NATO - significant softening of their negotiating position

. Ignore clickbait stories saying Putin decided to invade Ukraine - no logical reason, would harm Russia, completely out of character, and Jake Sullivan said to be crystal clear they do NOT have evidence he has made this decision

. Macron’s initiative a good starting point for deescalation and diplomacy and hopefully a lasting solution to security issues in Europe for everyone - NATO, Russia and non aligned states - MID EDIT

. EARN IT bill nothing to be scared of - won’t introduce an encryption backdoor and won’t require platforms to ban LGBTQ or NSFW materials - narrowly focused on child sexual abuse materials - already illegal and against all platform’s terms of use

. No way Russia invades Ukraine - especially not in Winter Olympics with many Russian athletes aiming for gold through to 20th February - then quagmire of spring thaw (“time without roads”) early March - likely aim is a new INF-like treaty

. No the UK is not going to have a referendum on net zero - net zero target passed into law in 2019 without objection

. The Russian military exercise of Ireland is NOT a secret plan to cut the new Amitie internet cable off Ireland - Amitie is not yet in use, could be repaired in days and is one of many connecting Europe to USA

. Why a vaccine triggers your immune system to make a mugshot to capture virus thieves quickly - and how we will end this pandemic with good vaccines + #DOITALL

. Harmless distant slowly spinning pulsar / magnetar - radio signals a bit stronger than expected

. SpaceX Falcon booster rocket to hit far side of moon - this does nothing to its orbit

. No there won't be any WW3 - Ukraine is not part of NATO - Very unlikely Russia invades Ukraine either

. Something cool and cheerful - An Orang Utan driving a golf cart :)

. Omicron is NOT the last variant and we can't count on it tot tame itself but we can TAME it and MAKE it mild

. What happens with COVID is up to us still - we can end it in 2022 if we make that choice - or it may continue to 2023 as now seems more likeley - but this pandemic will end

. Absurdly flawed UK intelligence. NO WAY Putin wants to install Muryayev in a Ukraine puppet government. Muryayev is banned from Russia!

. NATO and the US are NOT preparing to fight Russia - these movements of troops and ships are symbolic gestures - and nobody wants to fight a WW3 for the same reason you don’t want them to do it

. Tonga hasn’t harmed the world at all - a large volcanic eruption could help cool it slightly in a beneficial way but it didn’t release enough ash to do much of that either.

. WHO live Q/A on vaccines - how we know vaccines are safe for long term side effects - so far all vaccines with rare long term side effects show them within 8 weeks

. Doomsday clock is neither a clock nor is it about doomsday - and there is much positive going on

. No way Russia wants to attack NATO - never any risk of World War 3 - and Russia said many times they won’t attack the Ukraine at all - this is credible as an actual attack wouldn’t benefit Russia

. We begin to see the other side of the Omicron peak in many countries - rapid falls and reduced mortality compared to previous waves - but need to be careful about a plateau or even 2nd peak as cases go down

. Good news: Russia willing to negotiate and be flexible about Ukraine - only want short term reassurance that Ukraine won't be admitted to NATO now

. Yes we need to vaccinate to end this pandemic - not just let everyone get COVID - no evidence Omicron has evolved to be milder or will continue to get milder

. Analogy of the Russian “invasion army” with a queen in a game of chess - if he uses it he loses the game but by not using it he achieves his objectives

. The astronomy in “don’t look up” is as satirical as the president - not meant to be taken seriously - we are not really at risk of a comet like that

. Masks show kindness to others ��: let others see your smile or ��: save others from �� - Eyes can smile too

. Why extraterrestrials are likely to be kind and we don’t need to be scared of the “dark forest” hypothesis as it can’t be true

. New map showing scale of vaccine inequity - 3.2 billion not received a first dose yet - but we are changing this - the stronger economies could do a lot to accelerate this and vaccinate the world faster

. No, Nostradamus did NOT predict 1994 PC1 and this is a harmless asteroid that can’t hit us this century

. Earth can’t have a warming tipping point - Earth radiates away so much extra heat with each extra degree - not enough can be trapped or absorbed for a tipping point - including all possible feedbacks (virtually certain - IPCC AR6 / WG1 Chapter 7)

. COVID is indeed serious for us, used to modern medicine - however it is far less deadly than infectious diseases for a non pandemic year in 1900

. Nuclear fusion is a safe way to clean energy in the second half of this century - almost no radioactive waste, all short lived - and no military application - and almost no resemblance to how the sun does it

. Most of New Years day warmth in Europe is local weather - e.g. Canada is 10 C COLDER - global warming is an average over the world for 30 years and is continuing as normal

. Omicron surges - projections of worst part over in ~month - less severe in communities with high levels of vaccination or previous infection - surge may make it hard for all to get best healthcare at peak - #DOITALL to protect others

. Affirmation that a nuclear war can never be won and must never be fought - by all five permanent members of the UN security council

. Tik Tok videos of Alexa saying scary things are pranks or jokes - you can program her to say anything!

. Joe Manchin’s objection to the “Build Back Better” bill is not about climate change action - it’s concern about the cost of it - willing to support everything except child tax credit

. No PI does NOT start 3.44 instead of 3.14 and NASA ARE using the correct value of PI in orbital calculations and Apophis HAS been removed from the risk list

. Amazing vaccines for 2022 - Why WHO are so optimistic we can end the pandemic later in 2022 after the Omicron surges

. WHO approves Novavax - hurray! Helps weaker economies vaccinate faster - and so - the world - first of many novel vaccines to prioritize COVAX - approved for COVAX before strong economies

. Latest on Omicron - concerning - but vaccines still help, and #DOITALL - better protected individually than in previous waves if vaccinated - but the rapid surge will challenge health systems

. The Thwaites “doomsday glacier” in the news could add a couple of centimeters sea level rise by 2100

. Be very careful over Christmas - many things to make it safer - a rough few months but amazing science - with vaccine equity WHO say 2022 is the year we can end this pandemic - WHO Live Q/A on Omicron

. Quasars are harmless to us - too far away - even if the black hole at the center of our galaxy became a quasar - which is impossible - it would be harmless

. Russia wants the US and NATO to JOIN its moratorium on Intermediate Nuclear Forces - any article that doesn’t mention this is click bait - and as usual nobody wants a nuclear war

. No NFTs don’t contribute to global warming - and cryptocoin mining does - but only a small % of global emissions

. Be careful over XMas, Omicron surging fast - may be fewer serious cases - but full spectrum including hospitalization and death - and far higher chance to get it

. Good news about omicron, first antibody results found only partial vaccine evasion - likely vaccines still have significant protection for severe disease - as expected but nice to be confirmed.

. The asteroid 4660 Nereus is harmless - distant flyby on 11th December by 4660 Nereus, or 1982 DB (original name) - and an asteroid can’t “hit Earth’s orbit”

. WHO on the new report suggesting that the Omicron variant does three times as much re-infection of previous COVID cases compared to Delta - this doesn't mean that it is more severe.

. There is no way that the US or NATO fight Russia directly - and though vague threats distract away from domestic problems, an actual attack wouldn’t play so well with Russian sympathizers in Eastern Europe

. Story in New Scientist about a risk from vacuum space bubbles is CLICKBAIT JOURNALISTIC TRIPE

. Milder? wild Omicron ≠ Live vaccine engineered as mild - Opens �� to new ��️ of mutations - Vaccines + �� + #DOITALL to end ��

. Could Omicron + the new German government be the tipping point that leads to the wealthy countries finally letting weaker economies make the vaccines themselves at cost for other weaker economies?

. Omicron is very transmissible - but many cases are mild - hopeful it’s no more serious than Delta - and vaccines expected to remain very effective - WHO say to continue to #DOITALL as much as you can

. “NO plausible scenario where Omicron takes us back to square one” - “IGNORE the media right now for your mental health” - Chise, vaccine researcher

. New COVID variant of concern Omicron - detected fast - vaccines still work and continue to #DOITALL with public health measures

. Pfizer booster seems to give very high levels of COVID protection - if so it will make a big difference once everyone can get three doses including weaker economies and is promising for 2nd and 3rd generation boosters

. Yes we are headed for 1.8 C if countries fulfill their NDC pledges - for countries that peak in the 2020s it’s natural to plateau before falling so their zero emissions goals are credible - but if they can fall earlier that’s great!

. Already down to 1.8 C with the pledges to COP26 so far according to the IEA assessment - from 2.7 C earlier this year (COP26, 2021), nearly a degree reduction.

. Inflation in the US due to supply shortages is temporary - example of lumber

. Another even more effective treatment for COVID - Pfizer’s new COVID drug Paxlovid 89% effective at preventing hospitalization or death - and no deaths in treated group, 7 in placebo group

. G3 storm for Oct 30 - 31 is harmless - opportunity to see the aurora if far north - and X-class flare already happened and hardly anyone will notice a solar flare - never need to worry about solar storms

. Yes COP26 is a success already - look at all the countries that have commited to zero emissions - as well as aviation industry and the cement industry

. Supply chain issues temporary - shortages in stronger economies due to fast recovery - global recovery delayed because drug companies aren’t delivering many vaccines to weaker economies - finding innovative solutions but will take some months

. Yes China tested a very maneuverable “space shuttle” hypersonic glide vehicle returning from orbit - this is our future and we need treaties etc to make such technology safe

. No COP26 would NOT fail if the USA removes one of its climate measures from the reconciliation bill - COP26 and the Paris agreement is already a success with or without the USA

. IPCC: steel and cement industries can both be carbon zero - unavoidable CO2 emissions with current technology - but we can capture it at source - already being done

. COP26 already a success before it starts - 2°C with optimistic targets and well below 2°C now in reach

. Why Trump can’t be elected president in 2024 - because a significant minority of Republicans would campaign against him

.Fact Check: IPCC's Transformative Change Maximises GOOD QUALITY OF LIFE With GROWTH In Everything We Value, Not COLLAPSE

. Apologies to anyone waiting for me to reply via direct messages on Quora PLEASE MESSAGE ME ON TWITTER OR VIA EMAIL FROM NOW ON - Quora new anti-spam measures mean I can only answer one direct message from one person a day! - UPDATE - is now fixed

. Yes we can rise to the resource challenges of mining minerals for renewables for the green revolution - with climate smart mining

. Facebook off-line - not a hack - unofficial reports suggest a configuration issue that hid the entire Facebook network from the rest of the internet (Border Gateway Protocols)

. Yes today’s youth will see more heat waves - but fewer cold waves - and more disasters - but on low emissions there may well be fewer deaths due to disasters as we are getting better at preventing them

. #positivenewscovid PROMISING potential new tablet, molnupiravir, halves risk of COVID hospitalization and greatly reduces risk of death if taken when COVID symptoms start

. Example of Portugal at 98% of 15+ vaccinated shows our future - how COVID vaccines eventually can completely control Delta and other COVID variants - like we do for measles

. Drama of US national debt issue will surely be resolved - Democrats have two ways of doing it without Republican support - - another of these nail-biting Congress dramas

. Plenty of fuel and food in UK - not supply issue - temporary shortage of lorry drivers to drive them around - because of our immigration policy after Brexit

. COVID - HUGELY OPTIMISTIC to get mild in months - but can MAKE IT MILD with vaccines and #DOITALL and end the Global Public Health Emergency

. Please don’t be scared by simulation from "Discovery channel" of a ridiculously large 500 km asteroid hitting Earth - it’s impossible

. NO RISK AT ALL from giant comet Bernardinelli-Bernstein - steers far clear of Earth outside of Saturn’s orbit - way beyond Mars, the asteroid belt or even Jupiter

. Humans are heat adapted and more at risk of dying of cold than heat - in a warming world cold related deaths go down when heat related deaths go up - both are preventable

. It is normal to have some earthquakes far from plate boundaries - even big ones - like the one in Australia

. There is NO possibility of a megatsunami from La Palma - it was debunked many years ago. Many volcanologists on Twitter today reassuring scared people - viral nonsense on social media

. Impact on Jupiter was harmless - and Jupiter protects us from the very largest asteroids and comets - for smaller ones it sends some towards us, some away - but only on timescales of hundreds of thousands of years

. Australian nuclear subs will only be nuclear powered - Australia is in a nuclear free zone and they won’t carry nukes

. Short term at least, withdrawal of US from Afghanistan doesn’t incresae risk from ISIS or Al Queda - probably reduces it - and the withdrawal was bipartisan - agreement originally by Trump

. The FDA made the CORRECT decision about boosters - not to allow them yet on limited data - shows that they are evidence based and independent of pressure from the government or CDC - MID EDIT

. How humans can be good for biodiversity in desert regions - example of Al Bayda

. Yes CO2 emissions rise by 2 ppm per year on all scenarios for a few years - this is EXPECTED - on 1.5 C path by 2030 it falls to 1 ppm per year and zero by 2050

. World bank report is to HELP countries plan for INTERNAL migration as parts of their country get more fertile and other parts get less fertile as the climate changes - while total crop yields increase globally

. Two easily preventable causes of death from mild COVID in young people - home treating breathlessness due to lack of oxygen - and vigorous exercise in athletes with heart irregularities caused by COVID

. Yes Biden does have a constitutional right to mandate vaccines for federal employers and for commerce - but not for all US citizens - and why vaccination is far better than COVID

. Let’s appreciate Chinese health workers for their fast effective response to stop COVID in Jan / Feb 2020 - not blame the first victims - building bridges like this helps not hinders efforts to get China to improve its human rights record

. NOT “Internet Apocalypse” - IS actually about EVERYTHING NORMAL but possibly losing connectivity of some long distance cables connecting continents in a major solar storm - most subsea cables are fine as are all cables on land

. Comparison of 1970s MIT “supercomputer” “Limits to growth” with present day projections and data

. How to protect against delta - #DOITALL - as well as vaccination or if your doctor advises against vaccination

. Yes we have photos of the virus for COVID - and gene sequences - and now 3D images too - ignore the quacks who say it isn’t a real virus - and why COVID infodemic posts are not permitted in Doomsday Debunked unless scared and needing help

. Yes the Colorado river is low and lake Powell levels are low - but they have a plan

. Easy to tweak COVID vaccines to stop variants - doesn’t work like antibiotic resistance - WHO say “we already have tools to drive transmission down so low” - endemic is not a permanent state - New Zealand aims to use vaccines to stay COVID free

. No risk of Taliban starting WWIII or attacking the US - no nukes in Afghanistan - main issue is human rights in Afghanistan especially for women

. IPCC report on tipping points and CO2 feedbacks: permafrost could add tenths of a degree - gas clathrates unlikely to have detectable effect - on low emissions ALL non greenhouse forcers add 0.1°C to 0.2°C, uncertainty ±0.1°C mitigation ±0.1°C

. Worst possible impacts of climate change? Using IPCC’s example worst case scenario from 2018 - NOT billions will die - NOT collapse of civilization - NOWHERE NEAR human extinction

. Humans do not go extinct on any climate scenario - you can ignore all the activists and doomists who use the IPCC report to get attention for their junk science - listen to the scientists themselves

. 1st response to IPCC report: confirms predictions of previous reports, minor changes, able to be more exact.

. How to watch the IPCC press briefing on Monday 9th August - and strongly recommend ignoring any stories about it before then

. The WHO don’t see the Lambda variant as of special concern - it is just a variant of interest - they say it is not very competitive with most of the other variants

. Can we remember this life after we die?

. New paper doesn’t mean the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Gulf Stream is about to shut down

. Holdover fires in the Arctic - or “Zombie fires” - are nothing new - and research can help firefighters stop them

. Yes we can still stop COVID with the variants using vaccines + #DOITALL - Swiss Cheese model to show how it works

. Why you don’t need to worry about the US increasing the national debt to pay for the recovery from COVID - did you know it owes most of the debt to US citizens?

. Methane emissions paper is about small amounts of methane that MAY be leaking from subsurface methane capped by permafrost

. Emperor Penguins are not going to go extinct under any realistic climate scenario - the headlines are about “Business as usual” which is no longer realistic

. Hyperbole alert for articles about Republicans plotting to steal the 2024 election

. MDPI paper about safest places to survive collapse of civilization cites “deep adaptation” and “Avoiding a ghastly future” - just ignore it

. What to expect from the new IPCC report from “spoiler free preview” - nothing to be scared of and this is a great time to take a week’s break from reading about climate change

, Yes we can end this pandemic very fast if we choose to - and optimistically we will be in a much better place this time next year whatever happens

, If most COVID deaths are fully vaccinated - it means we are SUCCESSFUL at getting the vaccines to the people who most need them - example of seatbelts

.Why we can’t have a global flood - so religious prophecies of a global flood are impossible - suppose impossibly that all humidity in the atmosphere was extracted and poured onto the land, the total depth would be 8.6 cms

. “Vital signs” paper is confusing and low quality - might as well be a paper by illustrious professor Mickey Mouse - one of the original 11,000 signatures until noticed

. Earth overshoot day confusing: on 1.5 C path in 2050 when we hit zero emissions and stop biodiversity loss they calculate NO OVERSHOOT

. MIT “supercomputer” from 1972 less powerful than mobile phone models entire world as a single “pixel” shouldn’t be used to predict anything

. Cole asks his mother and Dr Mike Ryan: “When will COVID end?” Dr Mike Ryan - sooner if we protect ourselves & others, share vaccines & science, & have stronger hospitals

. The “billion animals baked” in Canada are mussels in mussel beds, not literally cooked, a die off and that happens often to mussels - recover in 1–2 years

. Main risk for kids from COVID is long COVID (7–8%) - death very rare and hospitalization rare

. We will end this pandemic. Wonderful developments in science. But we have to stick the course a few more months.

. We can protect ourselves from floods like the ones in Europe - example of Oxford city (where I used to live)

. Positive framing - we have seen an extraordinary pace of science development - we have never had such advanced capabilities to control a pandemic before

. Experts hold international COVID summit on UK’s “Freedom day” - no public health officer would recognize this as a strategy

. Vaccination does NOT break the link with hospitalizations - it’s a smaller % but a small % of a large number can be large - states need to keep cases low even if well vaccinated

. An “exit wave” is “only inevitable if we're not going to do anything about it," - Professor Christina Pagel - and a wave of hospitalizations in summer does NOT relieve pressure on the NHS

. Headlines about solar storm headed for Earth are fake news. There was an X-class flare that caused some over the horizon radio blackouts on July 3 - few people use long wave radio now.

. Increase in sea flooding in 2030s is part of normal sea level rise - total of 10 inches rise in Florida by 2050 - and it’s about orbits not moon wobble

. Why the “business as usual” 4.9 C path is impossible

. May be useful to share this tweet for any of you trying to spread awareness of what is happening in the UK.

. Dr Mike Ryan: this is a moment for extreme caution on COVID for countries right now so we don’t lose the gains we have made

. WHO urging extreme caution opening up in regions of high transmission - on a personal level protect yourself - and try to influence your government to listen to the science

. How science is developing new vaccines to continually defeat COVID variants - marvellous 2nd and 3rd generation vaccines on the horizon - keep transmission low and we can stop the pandemic faster

. Medics and Scientists ask UK government to delay July 19 lift all restrictions until most vaccinated

. WHO warn now is not the time to rush back to normal - very premature - not enough people vaccinated yet - new variants surging - need to turn it around and bring cases down - or headed for trouble yet again

. Light at the end of the tunnel - we will get out of this pandemic, how quickly we get there is up to us - case of “vaccines and” not “vaccines only”

. SAGE to UK gov: What is plan B for for new more deadly COVID variant spreading at 100,000 cases per day? Warned 2 months ago

. Please don't be scared by viral article claiming we have to live in small houses and fly only once every 3 years - it's nonsense

. Why is the UK government lifting the few remaining protective restrictions for COVID with rapidly rising cases per day? - no economic reason - just populist and non scientific

. Do continue to wear masks after 19th July, the UK “freedom day” - be a superhero and protect those around you and protect yourself - for many of the unvaccinated your risk has never been higher than today

. Eye of Fire in gulf of Mexico is a methane leak from under the sea - harmless and now put out - no oil spill

. How to recognize junk science and why you listen to real experts and regulatory authorities instead - and especially so if your future health or your life is at stake or those close to you

. The spike proteins in vaccines are harmless, they are not “cytotoxic” - infodemic post by Robert Malone who claims to be “inventor of mRNA vaccines” - not even mentioned in histories - main inventor is Katalin Kariko

. Can an asteroid, comet or Centaur change direction unexpectedly and hit Earth? Or an asteroid change the orbit of Earth? Answer No to all of those

. Yes fully vaccinated people can still end up in hospital - very effective against severe disease, hospitalization and death, but no vaccine is 100% effective - continue to wear a mask and #DOITALL to protect yourself and stop transmission

. Take the right precautions in the heat wave and you will be okay - check out the American Red Cross advice.

. Heat waves in Canada not as surprising as it seems - previous max of 45 C in 1933 - you won’t die of it if you take the right precautions, and climate won’t get too hot for humans on any realistic scenario

. Yes, scientists would warn you about asteroids - just as weather forecasters warn you about hurricanes

. Yes it’s expected to have a large fraction of deaths amongst fully vaccinated elderly people from the delta variant - vaccination still greatly reduces your risk of dying

. Why WHO say we need to suppress COVID globally to slow down evolution of variants of concern - this is not charity

. It’s GOOD IDEA to PROTECT YOURSELF from COVID more than your government recommends - you also have responsibilities to your family, loved ones, and friends

. US new UFO report is about unidentified flying things, not aliens - why they can’t be alienss

. We should continue to use the previous IPCC reports for 2018 and 2019 - ignore news stories with unauthorized cherry picked quotes from early confidential draft of one part of next IPCC report

. Could the UK feed itself with crops grown and animals raised only in the UK? Answer seems to be Yes

. Letter warning about asteroid 2021 GD99 is fake word processor document using letterhead downloaded from internet - it’s a harmless main belt asteroid orbiting permanently between Mars and Jupiter.

. California and other US states need to adjust to lower water levels - and are already doing so

. Not too surprising that Earth’s energy imbalance has doubled - climate is warming faster right now because we are in the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation - makes no difference to long term projections.

. Nothing to worry about in geeky paper suggesting the temperature of the atmosphere higher than satellite measurements - not how global warming is defined - techy issue with understanding new atmosphere models

. #positivenewscovid Good news that the UK is rolling out the "Bolton" model across many other areas now

. #positivenewscovid Novavax 90% effective phase 3 trials for COVID - have helped weaker economies make their vaccine like AstraZeneca

. US cases per day flattening out - and delta variant increasing rapidly - US states with low vaccination rates likely to have another COVID wave - #DOITALL to protect your community

. Arctic sea ice does not have tipping point, after ice free summers, next summer is likely not ice free and if we get back to 1 C current ice levels are restored - Greenland ice has tipping point but only on vast timescales

. SAGE model for 3rd wave in UK - roughly half number of hospitalizations in 1st wave - assumes no new variants, and July 19 move to step 4 - but we can reduce this with public health action

. Cyberpolygon “attack” is exercise like fire drill simulating cyberattack on supply chain of a business in yearly cyberconference - nobody is really attacked

. . Vaccines strongly protective against hospitalization for delta variant ~20-fold reduction for Pfizer, and ~10-fold reduction for AstraZeneca after 2 doses also significant protection after 1 dose - wide error margins

. Why the UK and other well vaccinated countries are likely over worst of pandemic in 2021 with vaccines + test trace isolate - no 4th wave + what % do we need to vaccinate to stop it with vaccines alone?

. Scotland figures looking better now - the 3rd wave is somewhat getting under control already - rising but not so fast - this post is mid edit

. Yes Jeff Bezos is going into space for a short time as first space tourist - but NOT to escape from Earth. He sees Earth as a jewel - and space as where we can grow into, protecting Earth

. In the US continue to #DOITALL - vaccination is helping a lot - and it is okay to wear masks even if double vaccinated though you don’t have to

. NASA simulation 2021 PDC was NOT REAL - like a fire drill has no fire - and vastly improbable - and still - a scenario where nobody dies like a rare and unusual hurricane - message is to increase surveillance to find these objects quickly

. US doing very well with COVID - shows how vaccination makes it so much easier to control - but needs to be careful of the delta variant

. So COVID vaccination does NOT cause thousands of deaths - VAERS and MRHA in UK are raw data - experts analyse this data and say the vaccines are very safe - you can’t prove cause and effect through anecdote

. An “exit wave” is NOT inevitable as we open up as COVID cases go down - Israel didn’t get an exit wave at only 60% fully vaccinated

. #positivenewscovid - Bolton with surge testing and enhanced contact tracing has reducing hospitalizations per day with delta variant

. #positivenews Fewer flu variants because of COVID precautions

. Scotland opens up further as cases and hospitalizations both rise - how is this data not dates - Scotland as “canary in the coal mine” for the UK if we are facing a delta variant surge

. Debunking some vaccine infodemic claims that scare people

. WHO Q/A about the global situation and the variants

. Independent SAGE on UK situation with the new delta variant

. Discussion in UK shouldn't be about moving to step 4 but about whether to urgently go back to step 2 according to Independent SAGE - because of new delta variant - continue to #DOITALL

. US first vaccine for animals

. IMF proposing a new $50 billion fund to make vaccines available to defeat the COVID pandemic worldwide

. The new alpha beta gamma delta naming system for COVID variants

. Let's be COVID superheroes, wear masks, and #DOITALL

. #positivenewscovid Positive news from India - lowest COVID cases per day for 45 days.

. Why we need to stop politicizing research into the origins of COVID - and lab leak idea is not about a human created virus - and is one of the less likely of three main hypotheses

. #positivenews Pigmy hogs 10″ high - once thought to be extinct - return to the wild

. Ghost forests are being drowned - but we can protect them or help them transition to salt marshes

. Communism is NOT better for climate change than capitalism and economic growth is NOT bad for the environment or climate change - transformative change is about embracing diversity and finding local solutions

. Yes we will likely cross 1.5 °C average for a year some time in the next decade for the first time - this is normal and this is NOT what is meant by 1.5 °C in the Paris agreement

. UFO’s not advanced enough for aliens and too advanced for humans - likely radar glitches etc

. No NIH didn’t pay the Chinese to “make” COVID - rated by Washington Post as “Two Pinochios”

. White and black fungus in India is because of not using medications properly - untrained doctors or people at home using prescription drugs without monitoring of effects

. Taiwan’s recent surge is because they reduced quarantine for pilots down to only 3 days - but they are very good at quarantine and isolation so have a decent chance of controlling it fast

. Light at the end of the tunnel for COVID, cases falling in most WHO regions, meanwhile continue to be a superhero and #DOITALL as we vaccinate fast and control the variants worldwide

. Everyone in the UK - please be careful - the UK government is ignoring scientific advice yet again with its latest lockdown easing

. This won’t turn into a larger war - Israel targets civilian buildings - not deliberately civilians - still potentially war crimes on both sides - only between Israel and the Gaza strip - will NOT involve nukes — not “last times”

. We are smarter than this virus - Dr Maria van Kerkchove, WHO COVID-19 technical lead

. Conflict between Palestine and Israel is more like the “troubles” in Northern Ireland than a war, by full scale war they mean the possiblity of return to the conflicts of 2014

. Yes it DOES help to answer the same question over and over again - usually not OCD or excessive reassurance seeking - many other reasons for it - if you need help we answer - don’t second guess you with an amateur diagnosis of why you asked

. How to follow the progression of vaccination around the world

. Chinese rocket has now landed harmlessly in the middle of the Indian ocean - risk was always minute far less than for death by lightning or even the very rare death by a hailstone

. NASA asteroid simulation 2021 PDC was vastly improbable - and still - nobody dies - message is to increase surveillance to find these objects quickly - like a firedrill and unlikely to the point of unrealistic

. Pfizer vaccine is very effective against variants - and other #positivenewscovid

. Far less risk from space debris like Long March Chinese rocket than death from a hailstone

. How to care for someone else or yourself sick with COVID at home

. Wow, US supports TRIPS waiver of intellectual patent rights for COVID vaccines for weaker economies during the pandemic

. Hope reef - word “hope” spelt out on Google Earth as restored coral reef

. No the Large Hadron Collider will NOT open a “portal to another dimension” - the collisions it studies happen millions of times every day already in our atmosphere

. COVID in India - a tough few months but will be able to get through it with vaccination later this year - meanwhile oxygen, ventilators and PPE is their top priority with many countries and large companies sending help

. Russian dispute in the Ukraine is local and no party will want a larger war - especially Putin

. Example of Taiwan - never had a lockdown and only 10 deaths ever from COVID

. Muvuka seed project - regrowing the Amazon rainforest

. Ukraine situation is NOT WWIII, is NOT any war, NOT involving nukes, it's sanctions and military exercises

. Most people don’t know these things about test, trace, isolate and how it protects your own household - we can use this knowledge to eliminate COVID in countries far faster than we can with just a vaccine

. Risk of blood clots from Astrazeneca or J & J so low - not worth delaying vaccination even a few weeks if you have a significant risk of COVID

. New vaccine technology for COVID entering phase 1 - can grow in hens eggs - low cost and licensed for free to weaker economies - end run around vaccine intellectual property restrictions of wealthy countries

. Why the “mark of the beast” doesn’t fit our present day world - and wars or peace treaties or disasters or pandemics don’t mean the world will end

. Seaspiracy fact-checks - most fisheries are managed sustainably or are improving and half our fish already come from fish farms

. Biden is NOT going to mandate any COVID vaccine credential - but getting vaccinated is a wise and sensible thing to do if you can

. If you have a simple password like 123456 - you should change it right away - tips for a more secure password

. YouTube, Facebook and Twitter with the News Eradicator plug in - to help people scared of social media fake news

. Russia’s build up near Ukraine is in response to a Ukrainian build up - and testing new president of the US - not a threat of war

. By this WTO rule countries like Brazil and India could make more COVID vaccines to end the pandemic fast, if wealthy countries stop blocking TRIPS - or - what is OUR solution if not TRIPS or CEPI or the ACT acclerator?

. COVID most likely crossed to humans from the legally farmed wildlife 8000 miles away in southern China - far more likely than a lab escape from a biosecurity laboratory

. USA Can Easily Release 10 Million Unused Astrazeneca Doses To Protect Health Care Workers They Themselves Help Train In Africa

. Daily COVID deaths continue falling in all the most vaccinated countries

. Why you don’t need to be scared about stories of falling sperm count etc

. North Korea ballistic missile tests are not a risk of war - it is to show they have a credible deterrent and to get attention of the US for peace talks

. US urged to loan from AstraZeneca hoard as health workers die in Africa & assist technology transfer to stop pandemic fast

. Bill Gates doesn’t have a “plan to block out the sun” - his fund just financed a small scientific experiment with dropping a kilogram or so of chalk dust from a balloon (weight of a sugar bag)

. Our nearest star cluster- the Hyades - is already spreading out into our galaxy - this is normal and harmless

. Apophis (2004 MN4) has now been removed from the risk list after ultra precise radar observations during 5th March flyby in 2021

. Double Asteroid Redirect Test (DART) is safe - asteroid targeted can’t hit Earth, why they chose it - and this helps us learn how to protect Earth from other asteroids

. Moving to another YouTube channel because of mistaken community strike

. Exciting news from Israel - on track to elimination of COVID - R0 down to 0.62 already - a glimpse of the future for us all

. We CAN vaccinate world against COVID quickly in 2021 with COVAX + doses already secured by wealthy countries - and technology transfer to Africa, Latin America, … and stop pandemic fast

. Scotland under Nicola Sturgeon aim to eliminate COVID from Scotland - this is normal strategy for measles, rubella, SARS, ebola, MERS, polio, it’s our objective for every disease that kills people except flu

. Scotland for the first time say the aim is elimination of COVID - AFAIK first ever break with the flu paradigm amongst decision makers - but needs to be careful with opening schools

. NASA: Asteroid 2010 FO32 passes by at a safe distance of 1.3 million miles - five times further than Moon- no risk of hitting Earth

. Theodore Shoebat’s impossible false prophecy - nothing will happen - short version

. The way we are distributing COVID vaccines is unjust - though some countries are generous (e.g. India gives half its doses to neighbouring countries)

. WHO Q/A - Vaccines are huge part of the solution but won’t end the pandemic on their own - keep doing everything - physical distancing, masks, hand hygiene etc - it’s as good as a vaccine!

. Positive story few have shared - likely headed for a world with fewer rather than more areas of desert and drylands with global warming

. The 2P tweak - Why Pfizer and Moderna are so effective as vaccines - this tweak could be used by other vaccines like Astra Zeneca - and 2nd generation vaccines may use the even more effective Hexapro tweak published July 2020

. European Medicines Agency (EMA) found no increase in overall risk of blood clots after AstraZeneca vaccination - but advise public to look out for these very rare symptoms after vaccination and seek medical help if they occur

. This may help some of you who get scared of false prophets and fake and exaggerated news stories on the internet

. Supermassive black hole in galaxy J0437+2456 is NOT moving towards us - it is actually moving AWAY from us by 10 billion miles every hour - and we are NEVER at any risk from other galaxies

. Positive things happening with the COVID pandemic

. Why not aim for #ZEROCOVID - like we do for #ZEROMEASLES and #ZEROPOLIO? If we succeed the prize is great, if we fail we are still in a good place at the end

. Promising landscape for therapeutics - expect several more by the end of 2021 - but we can’t know in advance that any particular drug will be a winner - there’s a reason we need to do clinical trials for promising drugs

. Theodore Shoebat’s impossible false prophecy - nothing will happen

. Variant first identified in the UK - “100% more deadly” sounds like everyone dies but it doesn’t mean that at all, it’s just slightly more deadly and this can be stopped with public health measures and vaccines

. More excellent vaccine news - Pfizer stops alpha variant B.1.1.7 variant (97% effective) and stops transmission (94% at preventing asymptomatic cases of alpha).

. WHO COVID dashboard now includes vaccine doses

. WHO: not the time to let up - keep up with physical distancing, masks and other individual protection measures, keep up with societal test, trace, isolate, deliver vaccines for the whole world - this is how to end restrictions and lockdowns quickly

. Simple explanation of what Catholics believe about Jesus return - NOT the rapture

. Why Trump will NOT be inaugurated as president on 4th March - more QAnon nonsense

. UN report is about pledges received so far - not yet received from China, US, India, Canada etc (60% of emissions) - but already projecting peak emissions before 2030

. Past failed prophecies: 2̶0̶2̶0̶,̶ ̶D̶e̶c̶ ̶2̶1̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶2̶0̶,̶ ̶N̶o̶v̶ ̶1̶1̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶2̶0̶,̶ ̶̶ ̶N̶o̶v̶ ̶2̶0̶2̶0̶ etc,̶ ̶A̶u̶g̶ ̶2̶7̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶2̶0̶,̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶2̶1̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶2̶0̶,̶ ̶*̶ ̶A̶p̶r̶i̶l̶ ̶2̶9̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶2̶0̶ ̶,̶ ̶F̶e̶b̶ ̶1̶5̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶2̶0̶

. Biden’s military strike againt Iranian-backed militants in Syria is not the start of a war - it is just a response to militants attacking US personnel ten days ago

. 30 democrats are suggesting EXTRA checks and balances to STOP presidents from launching a nuke in peace time

. Why I think the US policy of bringing cases of COVID low and keeping it low leads to #ZEROCOVID

. Let's follow USA counties as some return to zero new daily cases - is #ZEROCOVID in reach for them?

. Cases falling fast in the US and on a typical day over 80 counties have no cases - some with very dramatic falls

. Blackouts in Mexico, Texas, and rolling one hour blackouts in 14 other states - because of unusual cold weather and because Texas didn’t harden its equipment for cold weather

. Just got vaccinated for COVID :) - first dose - 10 days from now will have antibodies to prevent hospitalization and death

. Hurray! WHO have just approved two versions of the AstraZeneca vaccine - produced by South Korea and India

. You can sign the WHO Vaccine Equity Declaration - All health workers and vulnerable populations worldwide need to be vaccinated as fast as possible to save lives

. Asteroid 2001 FO32 passes by at a safe distance in March - NOT AN ASTEROID WARNING -

. Just had your COVID vaccine? Up to 10 days before ANY PROTECTION - and can still get sick - WHO say be even more rigorous about masks, physical distancing etc to prevent the virus evading vaccines #DOITALL

. WHO: the AstraZeneca vaccine has indirect evidence it protects against severe disease even in regions with SA variants - and recommend longer dose interval of 8 to 12 weeks

. 77 counties in the USA are down to NO NEW COVID CASES in the last day - not far from #ZEROCOVID already

. Zero COVID is well within reach - South Africa could be nearly there in 100 days if they kept going

. Let's aim for the Moonshot of #ZEROCOVID - 20% of the world population have already achieved it and the rest have rapidly falling cases per day

. Complex task of tracing origins of COVID back to before Wuhan superspreader event - not likely to originate in the virology lab - blog post written BEFORE the WHO report

. World Health Organization answering questions about COVID variants

. In real life a million to one chance means it is NOT likely to happen

. No, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions can’t end the world - ignore anyone who “predicts” earthquakes and claims the world will end as a result

. Overview of vaccines secured by COVAX to vaccinate the entire world including low and middle income countries

. Why we need to vaccinate when most people have a good immune system already

. Where you find out about vaccines currently in development and approved

. Learning from countries with better responses to the COVID pandemic - this is what we should aspire to and we shouldn’t settle for second best

. COVID vaccines don’t kill people - stories about people dying after vaccination are really vaccinated just before they died

. Many experts say we should aim for #ZEROCOVID - UK has rapidly decreasing cases per day even with new variant - can fall much faster if we #DOITALL - keep going and it can be gone - even with the new variants

. COVID pandemic in the US already has significant falls in cases per day - all states now decreasing

. Sadly the “Doomsday clock” wasn’t moved back - I think it should have been

. Vaccines are very effective at reducing symptoms of COVID - how well do they reduce transmission to others? Won’t know for some weeks - but could reducing symptoms also reduce infectiousness?

. Expect doomsday clock to move back - more properly "symbolic clock with aim of averting disasters

. No basis for claims that Biden is a paedophile

. Fewer bee species in global public records since the 1990s - not certain it’s a genuine signal - and much we can do and are doing to protect bees

, Evidence not particularly convincing that UK variant may be slightly more deadly - highlights need to reduce transmission - countries are already successfully reducing cases per day for both UK and South African variants as for other variants

, 2009 JF1 - yet another harmless asteroid - no NASA asteroid warning

, Why does the antifa dot com website redirect to whitehouse . gov ? - someone willing to spend tens of thousands of dollars on a prank

, Why the date of Jesus return can’t be encoded in the Bible - by what the Bible itself says - Jews are looking for clues for the birth or arrival of their Messiah not Jesus

, A good quality oximeter at home could be a life saver for COVID - no home remedy for lack of oxygen and you might not notice with “Silent Hypoxia” / “Happy Hypoxia”

, Vaccines expected to work with new variants - only gradually evade vaccines - and most vaccine manufacturers can quickly update the vaccines

, President Biden’s day 0 executive orders - re-engage with WHO, rejoin Paris agreement, extend rent moratorium for poor famlies, LGBTQ+ and racial equity and end Muslim travel ban

. WEF: “You’ll OWN nothing and you’ll be happy” about our tendency to RENT things - challenging question about future not a proposed utopia

. Great Reset is a positive thing, a movement to rebuild back better after the crisis - World Economic Forum has no authority to force anything on anyone

. No Trump is NOT going to declare “Global martial law” - there is no such thing, makes no sense - there is no military way for him to stay in power

. “Avoiding a ghastly future” - not a normal scientific paper - activist, exaggerated and leaving out the positive.

. US constitution prevents the government from censoring social media - this is not what is happening with Twitter etc

. No risk from asteroid 2009 KF1 - orbits permanently in the main asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter

. No days are not shorter than at the time of Jesus or Mohammed - they are longer, but shorter than they were in 1900

. Why our sun can’t do a supernova explosion, and our Earth can’t explode

. National guard called to defend Capitol for a safe environment for legal protests- not enlisted soldiers - no Vatican blackout - and Parler removed from Amazon for not taking down posts about assassinating legislators

. Trump’s social media ban is a case of private companies enforcing Terms of Service nothing to do with Democrats or Judiciary

. Counteracting COVID fatigue with implementation intentions - automatic habits like always step back

. Trump or any other president can’t launch a nuke even if he were to go mad

. Assault on the Capitol was a criminal offence by those who lead the assault and planted pipe bombs - and many of them will end up in prison for many years

. Cooking analogy for technobabble - Recipe for truffles made from salt.

. Trump condemns the Capitol protest - no longer says the election was stolen - and commits to peaceful transfer of power

. What just happened in Congress? Short summary for scared people

. Protestors storming capitol - extraordinary scenes but police responded professionally - most protestors peaceful - some tense scenes indoors and one woman killed after a standoff with guns - delay to formality of electing Biden

. COVID19 Market dashboard - enough vaccines preordered for nearly half the world population as of January 5th, 2021

. Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are NOT cultivated in a cell line derived from an aborted fetus - and the Catholic church says it is okay to use them - and what is the situation for Astrazeneca?

. Corals, Amazon rainforest, Australian bush etc, are NOT in danger of sudden collapse - research used "toy models" like the two-state “game of life” - we need to reduce CO2 emissions but also help them to adapt

. US not building up to attack on Iran & Iran doesn’t want to attack the US on Soleimani anniversary

. Good prospects for 2021 - positive things to expect

. Experts for the most part say a longer interval between the two doses is acceptable for the Pfizer / Moderna / Astrazeneca vaccine - but the best way to protect yourself is with physical distancing etc as before

. No the US is not building up to an attack on Iran and Iran doesn’t want to attack the US - they have waited over a year for a new president and can wait another three weeks

. Short debunk of the 8 fake Nostradamus prophecies in the sensationalist press

. Will we be able to eradicate COVID with a vaccine or will it become another endemic disease along with the ones we have already, but one we can manage with vaccination and therapeutics?

. Some of my recent video debunks - added to previous posts

. Yet more fake Nostradamus prophecies for 2021 - Nostradamus has only one dated prophecy for our times, for 1999, and it was false

. Why China won’t invade Taiwan

. New Variants of COVID are the same disease - protect yourself in the same way - continue to #DOITALL - no evidence that it is more severe or evades vaccines and tests find it

. What Biden’s presidency will mean for nuclear disarmament - likely to make the world a safer place

. Renewables set to halve in price again by 2030 and beat nearly all fossil fuels on pricing

. You can ignore ANYONE who says they know when Jesus returns - No dates in Bible, no hints, no puzzles, can’t be anything there about the date of Jesus return

. Fireballs are harmless

. COVID travel bans are not an effective response to variants - by Angela Rasmussen, expert virologist

. I think we will surprise ourselves in 2021 - even worst hit countries are so close to controlling it, vaccines + changing mindset and more systematic measures can push it over and once cases per day fall, they can fall fast

. Why you need to protect yourself and others from COVID

. First vaccination against COVID in Latin America in Mexico - things are looking up - but do continue to protect yourself, even if vaccinated and we can get over this much faster

. Why Trump can’t use martial law to redo the US election - martial law can’t override either civilian law or the constitution

. Could the UK COVID variant B.1.1.7 be spreading because it is better at transmission between human cells rather than between humans?

. Yes the vaccines against COVID will still work with the variants - the virus is not likely to evade vaccines in less than years to decades by analogy with other coronaviruses

. Most don’t know: 10 ways to protect yourself and your loved ones against COVID, and how we can all help stop our outbreaks by following WHO recommendations

. The Gates Foundation is focused on SAVING children with vaccines - it turns out that saving children also helps reduce the number born

. Watch the great conjunction live - and screenshot from closest point (already happened) - this is the real thing (lots of fake YouTube videos)

. UK’s “New variant” - not clear whether it is more infectious - or increase in R0 is the result of human behaviour - not more severe - doesn’t affect vaccines

. None of this Chicken Little bullshit can happen today or any day - checklist for 21st December false prophecy

. Watch live cams to see the sun rising around the world - to confirm we will NOT have three days of darkness

. The Great Conjunction is lovely and not in any way scary - All my December 21st 2020 posts

. More videos to help people scared of the conjunction - it’s something lovely not scary

. Size of the solar system - why Saturn can’t hit Jupiter and neither can hit Earth

. No the universe is not about to turn from 3D to 5D - doesn't make sense.

. The Mayans had an origin story but no ending story - and celebrated their new Baktun in 2012

. Why we can NEVER have three days of darkness

. Great news: COVAX have secured 2 billion doses for 90% of world population covered by COVAX

. 4 Essential things about COVID that most people in the UK don’t seem to know

. December 21st 2021 - lovely sight in small telescope - all the other things about it are hoaxes

. December 21st 2021 - lovely sight in small telescope - Hoax of 3 days of darkness can’t happen

. How well can we vaccinate the world? Assuming most vaccines are approved, we have manufacturing capacity to vaccinate everyone in 2021 already - case of wise use of that capacity

. UK CAN vaccinate everyone in 2021 once the vaccines are approved - but we can stop the virus faster for EVERYONE with targeted vaccination of a few percent WORLDWIDE with COVAX and death rates will go down quickly in early 2021

. Should you quarantine for 10 days or 14 days as a COVID contact? Or 21 days as for Bhutan?

. Maine rumble was a minor earthquake - it was NOT an invasion army of 50,000 Chinese soldiers killed by a US bomb

. Please don’t be scared by Paul (Chicken Little Bullshitter) Begley’s latest false prophecy that the world ends on 21st December 2020 - he is selling tickets for a big event in April 2021

. California are NOT running out of water - “water futures” are just to help farmers cope with fluctuating prices of irrigation water

. No surprise that current emissions are on track for 3 C - similar to Carbon Action tracker - but the next round of pledges in 2021 is likely to bring the target down to 2.1 C or below.

. No the US and Israel are NOT in secret collaboration with a “Galactic Federation” to study the fabric of space-time in a secret base on Mars

. 14 countries have agreed to manage 100% of their marine areas sustainably and set aside 30% as protected areas

. Earth and our sun is in a stable orbit around the galaxy and is NOT headed towards the black hole at the center of our galaxy

. Jupiter Saturn conjunction MIGHT have connection with Bethlehem star and Jesus BIRTH - nothing to do with Jesus RETURN

. How to talk to people who don’t listen, contradict, and argue - on COVID or climate change, politics, and many other things - Mike Ryan of the WHO

. With statements of intent from US and China - “well below 2 C” gets more in reach, down to 2.1 C by 2100

. Moderna - remarkable 100% efficacy at preventing severe COVID in final results

. Blue Whales now back in South Georgia - used to be one of their ancestral homes

. One person can grow or regenerate a forest

. “New World Order” anthem is actually about lockdown, nothing to do with any secret organization - end of Polynesian solidarity concert

. Iran knows the next American president wants dialogue not confrontation - likely slow to act on assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh - WWIII was never a possibility and still isn’t

. Why it helps to detect COVID19 as soon as possible - even before infectious - a negative test does NOT mean you are safe for that day - rapid tests may be useful when tracing is overwhelmed with intense community spread

. FAO food projections for 2020–2021 remain high during pandemic with strong performances from developing countries with end of year 3 - 4 months cereal surplus as usual and how the world can grow plenty of food for everyone into the far future

. Utah monolith likely is an art installation - probably an artist paying homage to John McCracken

. Astrazeneca’s 90% efficacy from a half dose first is a lucky accident - serendipity

. The Great Conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter on December 21st is HARMLESS

. Astrazeneca preliminary data - 90% effective with half strength dose first, 62% effective with full dose first - no hospitalization or severe doses at 131 cases

. No - mRNA vaccines do not rewrite your DNA or RNA

. Why Biden is the president elect and Trump can’t override this without EVIDENCE - America’s elections are governed by the rule of law, democracy and its constitution, not hearsay and rumour

. Why the COVID vaccines will be amongst the safest vaccines ever approved by the time they get to most people - Pfizer are talking about Emergency Use Authorization for most at risk

. COVID vaccines plug holes in our public health armour - don’t need to vaccinate everyone - #DoItAll and get to zero COVID faster

. Good news again - promising for Astrazeneca - Russia’s Gamaleya COVID vaccine 92% effective preliminary data - looks like nearly all vaccines will work

. How to be a superhero to bring transmission of COVID - with a tool kit full of not magical but practical solutions

. Why vaccines are safe - WHO

. How to use second lockdown to bring COVID19 cases WAY DOWN FAST with supported isolation and quarantine - narrow window of time to do this - advice of the WHO

. Second COVID19 vaccine success - Moderna - 94.5% effective - can be stored in a normal freezer and for 30 days in a fridge - promising for the other 9 still in phase 3 already

. 20% of the world population is like this already - without a vaccine - the rest of us need to learn how to do this ourselves

. The USA doesn’t have to do a lockdown in January - it is up to the American people - you can control it now - but if needed - nobody loses their homes, everyone is fully paid and no businesses go bankrupt

. Why experts are saying the US might need another short financially supported lockdown in the spring - but can turn around right now with basic public health measures for COVID19

. Why the COVID vaccines will be amongst the safest vaccines ever approved by the time they get to most people - Pfizer are talking about Emergency Use Authorization for most at risk

. COVID vaccines plug holes in our public health armour - don’t need to vaccinate everyone - #DoItAll and get to zero COVID faster

. Good news again - promising for Astrazeneca - Russia’s Gamaleya COVID vaccine 92% effective preliminary data - looks like nearly all vaccines will work

. How to be a superhero to bring transmission of COVID - with a tool kit full of not magical but practical solutions

. Why vaccines are safe - WHO

. How to use second lockdown to bring COVID19 cases WAY DOWN FAST with supported isolation and quarantine - narrow window of time to do this - advice of the WHO

. Second COVID19 vaccine success - Moderna - 94.5% effective - can be stored in a normal freezer and for 30 days in a fridge - promising for the other 9 still in phase 3 already

. 20% of the world population is like this already - without a vaccine - the rest of us need to learn how to do this ourselves

. The USA doesn’t have to do a lockdown in January - it is up to the American people - you can control it now - but if needed - nobody loses their homes, everyone is fully paid and no businesses go bankrupt

. Why experts are saying the US might need another short financially supported lockdown in the spring - but can turn around right now with basic public health measures for COVID19

. No - temperatures WON’T continue to rise through to 2500 on the 1.5 C path - another bizarre article from Scientific Reports - journal by Nature that posts almost anything submitted with minimal peer review

. Yes we have to keep doing eveything as we step up with vaccination - effective quarantine is essential - but a world wide Vaccine + situation can mean we eliminate COVID19 from the world quickly even if the vaccine immunity period is short duration

. No, COVID19 and other things are NOT “signs of the end times”

. You never need to be scared of a count down timer on a website - 11th November 2020

. Not likely that Trump or Pence really expect to win the legal battles - Trump off golfing and Pence awat for a holiday in an island off Florida

. Wow brilliant! - Preliminary data at 94 infections shows the Pfizer vaccine is 90% effective - far better than was hoped for

. Simpsons Halloween episode about 20th January 2021 is satire - encouraging people to vote

. The winter solstice on 21st December will not harm you in any way - other people’s birthdays, planets close together in the sky, the shortest day, and calendar dates are all as harmless as a daisy

. Biden’s donations text number does NOT mean he is the antichrist - every president gets a “proof” they are the antichrist

. Good summary of sitution for Trump / Biden from the BBC

. Biden as a centrist democrat presidential candidate with a duty of care for all Americans who can work cross party and heal divisions

. Dreams about God are not God speaking to you in dreams

. The US is going to have a peaceful transition - concession speech from Trump or not - but expect a graceful concession once he has tried everything else

. Just harmless solar flares from sunspot group AR2781 - and for solar storms - you wouldn’t even notice one

. Biden doesn’t support “Defund the police” - he supports conditional funding on decency and honorableness and more support for mental health and a focus on rehabilitation after someone serves their term

. Biden or Trump - too close to call - answering some of your fears - and what might happen next?

. Expected “Blue mirage” from early votes reduces risk of clashes - protests planned for election week - and preparation for them by police - answering rumours that scare people on social media

. What is happening with COVID19 in the US? Won’t take much to turn it around - expect action after election day

. Distant planet smaller than Earth in our galaxy - no harm to us

. You need to learn your COVID19 code like you learn your Highway code

. Good things that are happening as we respond to COVID19

. Apophis is safe. It is very easy to deflect

. No risk from “methane bomb” - non notable research - Arctic has been leaking methane for 2 million years

. Why progressives should relax about Amy Coney Barrett - an originalist justice - likely to surprise the presiden

. Suggestion of offer of free accomodation in hotels for COVID19 isolation and quarantine - for those who can’t isolate from the rest of their household, or wish to take least risk of infecting household members

. WHO guidance for self quarantine at home - KEEP AWAY FROM YOUR OWN HOUSEHOLD

. Background information for NASA announcement on Monday - it is about finding more water on the Moon - fascinating topic - nothing to be scared of

. How to turn this around and stop COVID19 - why we should use Finland as a European example to follow not Sweden - but most of all New Zealand / Vietnam / Taiwan / China - and what we all need to do

. Perovskite could halve solar panel prices yet again quickly - solar panels are already competitive with lowest cost fossil fuels - will halve in price anyway eventually without perovskite

. How to motivate your self, and others to act on climate change, biodiversity or anything else - tips from psychology - e.g. for maximum engagement present 3 positive or supporting framings for each climate threat

. What happens if 2018 VP1, tiny asteroid, hits on 2nd November - bright fireball that burns up in the atmosphere

. Great barrier reef lost half its corals - but they have a recovery plan

. North Korea’s “monster ICBM” can’t actually be functional because they haven’t tested it - likely to get attention of next president to resume peace talks

. Dr Tedros explains: allowing a dangerous virus we don't fully understand to run through our society is not ethical - but we have many effective tools to stop it other than a lockdown

. Doing what matters at times of stress - new WHO booklet to help with mental health during COVID19 pandemic

. Attenborough’s “Extinction: the Facts” - fact checked - we are doing so much already to preserve species - need encouragement to do more

. Your vote is safe - voter intimidation is illegal in the US - a Federal crime - if it happens you should report it to 866-OUR-VOTE (866-687-8683), or if it is an emergency phone 911

. Idea of Republican legislature appointing electors to vote for Trump based on election day results ignoring votes after election day - far fetched scenario - helps if media and social media report results clearly

. No need to worry about megatsunami in Canada unless you live in the Canadian city of Whittier or near Barry Am fjord - and monitoring in place

. How mammoths may one day help fight climate change by knocking over on trees in Siberia - meanwhile musk ox, moose and various other animals are taking their place

. No, the Amazon rainforest is nowhere near a climate change tipping point - and even a 5 C warmer world has an increase in bistable tropical rain forest worldwide

. Dr Mike Ryan explaining how COVID19 infects - a “medical lesson”, rather good

. No,, the oil company Exxon don’t have a plan for “surging carbon emissions”

. No, three supreme court witnesses have NOT shown they are willing to throw out mail in ballots

. Worst case in Armenia - Azerbaijan - another proxy war like the one currently in libya - not world war III

. Indoors or outdoors - you need to stay at least 1 meter (3 feet) away to protect yourself from COVID 19 - mask or no mask - infographics

. We need to work together to stop COVID19 with an all of government all of society approach - WHO have been saying this since February

. Trump’s COVID19 disease is natural - he may have got it at the function where he presented Amy Coney Barret as his nominee for chief justice

. For Biden - Trump debates - it’s for the US health authorities to say - but for the debate itself candidates were 2 meters apart

. Too soon to say Trump has the “mild” version - there is only one COVID19 virus, always starts mild - but he has good odds and is getting the best treatment

. Infographic - how to protect yourself from COVID19 - if you do nothing else, do this

. Do everything to protect from COVID19 but most of all do this - keep a distance while talking, laughing, singing, coughing

. President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump both test positive for COVID19 - typically 10 days isolation if mild - wishing both a short convalescence or speedy recovery

. Pope Francis’s October meeting to to help young people to "learn to accept others and their different ways of living, thinking and speaking." Not a conspiracy to force global observance of Sunday as a day of rest

. The fruit of a false prophet is bitter and harms you - do not listen to them.

. If you do one thing to stop COVID19 do this - physical distancing while talking, laughing, shouting

. WHO approves new rapid diagnostics tests for COVID19 - very low cost and a breakthrough for countries struggling with the costs of PCR tests in Africa, Latin America and elsewhere - and stronger economies are using them too

. Please don’t be like Arlyn who lost both her kids as a result of believing a fake Facebook post about the measles vaccine

. Painting city roofs white directly counteracts a significant part of the greenhouse effect, reduces air conditioning and cools cities by reflecting heat back into space

. With China’s new target of zero emissions by 2060, world targets 2.35 °C for the end of the century - a reduction of 0.25 °C (Cambridge Econometrics) - Carbon Action Tracker gives similar projection

. Yes our climate will get warmer, but we already reduced 2100 temperature by at least 1 C, and in 2020s can reduce it much more

. Water in Texas was always safe to drink - the risk was of water getting into noses of swimmers with RARE ameoba that can infect nervous system - one person died - now cleared

. Astrological signs can’t predict the future real world events - it is not a science

. Statement by Mike Ryan about National Lockdowns - a last resort - have we really exhausted test, trace, isolate, physical distancing and public health commitment?

. Long COVID - many mild cases are still sick over 2 weeks after onset - perhaps 10% are ill months later - recovering slowly but not yet certain all return to their previous baselines

. No COVID19 has NOT evolved to evade masks and hand washing - sensationalist reporting of an unpublished preprint about the D614G variant that spread in February to May long before use of masks in the US

. New discovery from Bristol University may be a gap in the armour of COVID19 and help with therapeutics

. As the US reduces its sphere of influence many other countries will take its place - India, Mexico and Brazil for instance

. The COVAX alliance now covers two thirds of the world population (156 economies) with 48 economies expected to join soon

. China’s announcement that they will increase their pledge to zero emissions by 2060 - better than 2 C compatible and much better than their current 4 C pledge

. How a COVID19 vaccine will work - not likely to be 100% effective - that is okay we can still get rid of the virus but have to work together globally

. What the Times Square “climate clock” is missing out when it says we reach 1.5 C by 2027 - 400 Gt of reafforestation / land use change and reductions in CO2 emissions

. This is the main way COVID19 spreads - via droplets that fly to someone else in seconds - many people don’t know and are not protecting themselves properly - just the infographics

. Main way COVID19 spreads - droplet transmission - you need to understand this to protect yourself

. No Iran is not going to make a nuke in two months - only making highly enriched civilian reactor fuel - and Iran is a long term advocate for a verified nuclear weapons free middle East - if Israel would join in

. The US president is well protected - for anyone worried by ricin threat on president Trump - were intercepted long before they got to him

. Death of Ruth Ginsberg - Supreme Court remains independent and a third branch of governmetn no matter who replaces her - don’t vote like politicians - but use best legal judgement

. Last date for countries to join COVAX alliance for global early vaccine distribution - looks good - over 170 already agreed to join

. China aims to pledge for zero emissions mid century - around 1.5 C compatible - under pressure from the EU

. Please ignore awful click bait journalist article about antibiotic resistance by the BBC - it is a known problem with known solutions

. Ignore viral Infodemic post - COVID19 was NOT made by Chinese to kill people - Dr. Li-Meng Yan has lost all the acacemic credibility she may previously have had on the topic in this interview

. Glaciers in Antarctica are NOT tearing loose, doesn’t make sense for a glacier - at most fraction of of a meter change in sea level rise projection, too soon to say if it is an increase or decrease

. Sara Seager’s own ideas on “Our crazy finding suggesting life on Venus”

. Conservation works - out of 63 species of birds and mammals that risked immediate extinction we saved 48 - but we can do better than this and we know how to turn this around

. Life in the Venusian clouds? Or new chemistry nobody has thought of? What does the new phosphine result tell us?

. No realistic possibility of false vacuum decay - your questions answered by an expert - Tommi Markkanen

. PEACE TREATIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST LEAD TO PEACE NOT WAR - NOTHING TO BE SCARED OF

. Alternative pingoes - rare feature and not yet well studied - amount of methane would be low compared to total Arctic emissions and not yet clear it is significant at all or to do with climate change - not a new thing

. Why you don’t need to be scared of transparent “boson stars” if they exist - an unusual alternative explanation for some black holes

. Fires in California are not apocalyptic - they are part of nature and trees are adapted to them from millions of years ago - giant redwoods will soon spring back to life

. Turkish territorial dispute with Greece in Aegian sea - headed for diplomacy not war - Erdogan acting tough to seem strong to his population

. No, animals have not plummeted by 68%.- Living Planet Index doesn’t mean what it seems to mean - very confusing to general public

. Why we absolutely had to stop COVID19 at 0.8% infection fatality rate it is 40 to 200 times more deadly than 2009 H1N1 “swine flu” - and COVID19 has long term effects - but there are MUCH easier ways to stop it than lockdowns

. Yes we might hit 1.5 C for individual years long before 2040 - does not mean we “missed” the Paris goal of an average of 1.5 C over 30 years - and countries have an emissions target not a temperature target

. China’s “doubling of nukes” just a projection for next decade - would still leave China with a tenth of nukes of Russia and US - nothing to be scared of - and doesn’t mean they plan launch on warning

. Yes US and Russia have suspended the INF treaty - but that does NOT mean nuclear war - and what was that about low yield weapons?

. Big black hole of 142 solar masses detected by LIGO is exactly what we expect with heirarchical formation of monster black holes

. 100% Renewable power doesn’t need baseload power, but peaking power - pumped hydro storage easiest - power grid needs rethinking and then you can do it

. New studies of Infection fatality risk for COVID19 - Confirms other studies, your risk is minute if young, but it gets higher over 50 - vast majority survive at all age groups, but for adults it is around 100 times more deadly than the 2009 H1N1 flu

. How to put on, wear and take off a fabric mask - and store in a paper bag or envelope

. 6% of deaths from COVID19 in the US were of healthy people with no other conditions - meanwhile 95% of those who died of COVID19 had it listed as the underlying cause of death (much mis-reported and mis-tweeted CDC report)

. When should and shouldn’t you do an emergancy use authorization of a vaccine that hasn’t yet completed phase 3 trials?

. September5Survivor is just an Alternative Reality Game

. Elon Musk’s Neuralink - needs to be staggeringly safe to be approved for recreational brain surgery - but useful for patients with very severe Alzheimers

. Likely rare case of reinfection by COVID19 in 48 days - second infection more serious than first - message is - if you had COVID19, continue to protect yourself and you will need vaccination

. No the USA is NOT stopping COVID19 through natural herd immunity - though it may be a contributing factor in worst hit areas of New York City

. What are the differences between flu and COVID19

. About how the landscape in cities is constantly changing if you are scared of changes from fires, riots etc.

. View out of a random window in the world during lockdown

. No realistic possibility of a false vacuum collapse - not a concern - and our universe is very young, a baby really

. Together let’s stop the infodemic - example false viral video taken down by Facebook

. Wild polio is now eradicated from Africa - in the future after we eradicate COVID19, there are many other diseases we know how to eradicate from the world - beacon of hope

. Why the WHO say that COVID19 is not airborne in normal situations with good ventilation - and why they should NOT bow to the pressure of activist scientists to declare it as an airborne virus when the evidence is not there

. Yes you can be reinfected with COVID19 - after several months (no surprise)

. Good news in WHO press briefing - lots of progress on COVAX - vaccine alliance to make sure good quality vaccines are available where most urgently needed

. Is Kim Jong Un in a coma? Could be retiring from limelight to avoid blamed for bad economic news - not so much changes if he dies

. Why you don’t need to be scared of the tiny harmless fireball sized asteroid 2018 VP1

. Debunking claim that Bill Gates wants to inject us all with a microchip in a vaccine - this idea fails basic fact check

. WHO advice on use of fabric masks in school

. Canada loses large chunk of its last intact ice shelf - this was expected and we can still aim for 1.5 C

. The solar storm today is HARMLESS - none of the particles will get to ground level - and it doesn’t harm the internet or your computers

. Bruce Aylward - the reason for all these extraordinary public measures to control COVID19 is a failure to do basic public health measures of test, trace and isolate

. Yes Greenland Ice might all melt - but THOUSANDS OF YEARS FROM NOW - and our descendants can stop this happening

. Ways that life and civilizations could continue into the infinite future

. Small hot spots along coastlines briefly get so hot that you would feel like you have a fever if you stay in them for hours - like this since 1970s, it’s 4 C above preindustrial before it affects large areas

. 5th September subreddit is just creepy pasta or an ARG (Alternative Reality Game) - and Williamette dream survey

. Why vaccine development can be so fast for COVID19 - risking billions in funding - not risking lives

. Dr Tedros - “It is in our hands”

. Situation in US looking good - can reduce it right down - all the sun belt states with major outbreaks now decreasing

. Debunked: “Collapse of civilisation is the most likely outcome” top climate scientists - NOT

. What Dr Tedros really said about vaccines - no silver bullet RIGHT NOW (not no vaccine ever) - great hope for future - must also stop COVID19 with test trace, isolate, physical distancing, washing hands, not touching face, masks - do everything

. Explosion in Lebanon in ammonium nitrate factory - mushroom cloud is just pyrocumulus, happens with any very intense fire

. You can’t use science to disprove religon - let’s stand together and work with each other

. There is nothing "end times" about this virus - to help scared religious folk

. Physical distancing protects everyone - but it’s harder for poor people to isolate away from others in the same household.

. US is getting its second peak under control but can do so much better by following what New Zealand did

. What is happening with the USPS (US Postal Service)?

. Experts have NOT achieved a consensus that COVID19 is airborne - WHO report does NOT say it is airborne - it might be in the special situation of crowded rooms with poor ventilation - but detailed investigation of clusters has not yet proven it

. Congress can delay election day (though Trump can’t) - but nobody can change the date that Trump leaves office for his first term and the next president (Trump or Biden) is sworn in

. Why you don’t need to worry about impacts from comets

. Another BS false prophecy from Paul Begley goes viral - “Debris field” about to hit Earth???? Bullshit and baloney

. Excellent WHO Q/A with Mike Ryan and Maria van Kerkhove, answers many of the questions anxious people have about COVID19

. Afraid that Trump is a Nazi or fascist? No - he isn't and can't be that - he is a right wing populist

. Vaccines have higher success rates than most drugs - we can’t know until we get success, but by previous vaccines, there is only a 0.006% chance of all 5 vaccines that reached phase 3 failing

. Big improvements in COVID19 survival amongst hospitalized patients in Scotland

. Choose favourite synonym of "crap"for ideas of Jem Bendell and others predicting collapse of civilization and human extinction from climate change - NOT what the IPCC say.

. Nature paper about coral reef sharks says we can save them.

. Why we won’t have a second Great Depression - remarkable advances in science, epidemiology, economics, and many world institutions that didn’t exist in the 1930s

. “Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity” likely about 3°C as always - no difference to climate budget and Paris agreement 1.5°C well within reach

. Why the Mayans didn’t think the fourth age would end

. 2011 ES4 is harmless - don’t know its orbit well but it is small about size of Chelyabinsk meteorite, can’t hit before 2031 and expected to miss - probably removed from risk list as soon as they see it again

. LAMP - a simple and easy to use test for COVID19 may soon give results in half an hour and let everyone be tested once a week in areas with intense community spread

. Oxford Vaccine - strong immune response - already in phase 3 trials in virus hot spots in Brazil (5,000 volunteers), South Africa (2,000), and the UK, with 30,000 large trial planned in the US for August

. Test, trace, isolate in the Isle of Wight shows how effective it is

. If “planet 9” exists and is a black hole - unlikely idea - it is harmless

. WHO on how to keep COVID19 down while easing lockdown

. Portland arrests were by Federal Customs Officers - protestor was read his Miranda rights and soon released

. Kayleigh McEnany did not say that the US should ignore science when deciding whether to open schools - badly misreported by some media sources

. Nothing will happen on 27th August 2020 - just teasing on Tik Tok

. December and Saturn and Jupiter close together in the sky on 21st December means nothing - can't harm us - just a photo op

. Why you shouldn't listen to any of the predictions of Paul Begley or other Doomsday bullshitters

. NASA press conference about comet NEOWISE is to ask questions e.g. how to spot it before it is gone - no risk at all of hitting Earth

. My non techy read through of an excellent recent review paper on COVID19 on JAMA network

. No Pasor Dana did not dream about our future- short versiont

. Sustainability and planetary protection solutions to the Fermi paradox - "where are all the aliens" - alternative to "great filter"

. No reason to fear aliens - sustainability, biorespoect, renewables - this is the way probably any forward looking ET goes and if they are in our solar system or galaxy already - they have minimal impact

. Dreams are not visions of the future - and being convinced and sincere doesn't make them correct - if you are scared of pastor Dana's dreams - what he dreamt is impossible

. No we are not at risk from diseases from melting permafrost

. Fake calendars - nothing to be scared of

. WHO - surge of cases in Mexico from re-opening - countries must be prepared for this to happen as they ease lockdown and act quickly to stop it

scroll down for COVID-19 posts

. ORCs (Odd Radio Circles) are harmless to Earth

. Global average may exceed 1.5 C for one year - but the IPCC use the average over 30 years

. No risk of human extinction - and so much positive going on

. Comet C/2020 F3 (Neowise) is nowhere near us and not about to hit Earth

. There is no such thing as a “solar micronova”, invented by a crank - “white dwarf micronovas” are real but our sun is not a white dwarf

. No Conjunction on July 4th - just a time for celebration and fireworks and planet parades harmless

. Easy to do a fake UFO video

. Mystery object is either a heavy neutron star light stellar black hole - no risk to fabric of space time!

. 4th July is just a time for celebration and fireworks in the US - and a culture of illegal street fireworks in New York - started earlier than usual this year because of the lockdown

. Rumour about Russia paying Taliban to kill US solders is nothing to be scared of - the Taliban are at peace with US since February - and rumour is likely false, at least, everyone concerned denies it.

. No, fireflies are not going extinct, do risk declining numbers, one particular rare US firefly the Bethany beach firefly some biologists think should be classified as "endangered"

. Heightened fear of EMP attacks is largely based on a potboiler science fiction thriller, not science - and grid is naturally hardened against them, more than previously thought

. Yes New START likely expires in 2021 - no, nothing serious will happen, much like the INF treaty - China's position is much misunderstood

. No Nostradamus didn't prophecy the world would end on 28th June and there isn't any conjunction of Uranus, Neptune and Saturn on that date and "Dark" is a made up story, not a prophecy

. Why 100.4 F (38 C) in Verkhoyansk in summer is not surprising with global warming - the town with the largest temperature range in the world

. Freaked out about "Mayan apocalypse" today? Please learn NOT TO TRUST sensationalist press such as Mirror, Sun, Daily Express etc - their only source was a tweet that the author said was a MISTAKE

. Mayans knew when their 13th baktun started in their calendar just as we knew when 2000 started in our calendar

. What is really happening in CHAZ - the "autonomous zone" in Seattle in support of Black Lives Matter?

. 64% of Americans oppose "Defund the police" but 76% support what it really means - so what is it about?

. No the Mayan 13th Baktun does NOT start on 21st June - Paolo is not mayan and he just made a mistake

. Annular eclipse is harmless, just the moon passing in front of the distant sun

. First casualties since the 1970s in Himalayan border between China and India - both sides working to de-escalate

. Joe Biden's climate plans are for zero emissions by 2050 and there is much to like about them - lots of misinformed criticism

. North Korea demolishes liason office in North Korean territory - sad but not risk of WWIII - pressurizing South Korea to support them

. Bizarre paper that uses a toy model to claim that we will destroy ourselves by cutting down forests - and that ETs do too - actually forest cover is increasing on nearly all continents

. Mayan celebration of new era was SEVEN YEARS AGO on 21st December 2012 in our calendar - NOT June 21 2020 - and they never said anything about the world ending

. The Mayan's celebrated their thirteenth Baktun 8 years ago - and didn't use the Gregorian or Julian or Ethiopian calendars or any calendar based on the birth of Jesus

. No, collapse of civilization is not in IPCC reports at all, never mind "most likely outcome"

. Yes, you are safe from a supervolcano eruption from Yellowstone or any other volcano - likely centuries of warning and none are in the right state for a supereruption

. Why the US civil war can't happen again

. No scientists have not discovered a parallel universe - may be some interaction with the ice

. A rare once per century major solar storm would cause at most short term local power cuts for hours - only one powercut ever in 1989 for 9 hours in Quebec - newer transformers not harmed at all

. How we know the positions of nearby stars and know they can't hit Earth

. No the sun is not entering a "lockdown" - fake news

. Antimatter exists but is harmless - even antistars may be possible but unlikely and harmless to Earth

. No need to worry about "debris field" from comet C/2019 Y4 (ATLAS) - go through 14 comet debris streams every year - meteor showers - Atlas is too far away anyway

. Paper about 3 billion migrating by 2070 little to do with real world migration - based on imaginary population distributed by temperature e.g. high density of population in Arabian desert

. Newly discovered potential black hole in HR 6819 "in our back yard" is far too far away to harm anyone on Earth

. Example of Brazil on transition to more sustainable agriculture

. "Murder hornets" don't attack humans unless disturbed - only honey bees - and bees nests can be protected - Asian Giant Hornet click bait news

. Why the Earth can't fall into the sun

. All those who got terrified of asteroid 1998 OR2 please learn from the safe flyby to listen to astronomers and not to lies published in sensationalist papers like the Daily Express

. Declassified UFOs not aliens - maybe software enhanced radar glitches - and why we don’t need to fear aliens

. Good NASA video and Earthsky article for those panicking about harmless asteroid 1998 OR2

. Why it helps CO2 emissions and biodiversity so much to reduce meat use slightly, reduce meat waste, or change your choice to less land intensive meat

. Why IPBES and IPCC say if you eat meat with every meal, eating less meat (e.g. meatless Mondays) is one of best things you can do to help climate change and biodiversity - OR intelligent choice of meat as a climate carnivore OR reducing meat waste

. TrumpDictator trend on Twitter is satire - US can never become a totalitarian regime

. 1998 OR2 passes by safely 29th April at vast distance

. Kim Jong Un most likely recovering from heart surgery, not dead

. No the Mayan calendar is not about to end AGAIN?!

. Clear skies over Greenland MIGHT mean climate models underestimate sea level rise for 2100 by up to 15 cms (low emissions) or 30 cms (very high emissions) - just an expert suggestion not proof

. Debunk of the "Adam and Eve" story which was classified by the CIA

. Comet C/2019 Y4 (ATLAS) beak up is totally harmless to Earth - though sad for astronomers probably not much to see, fainter comet later this year as it comes closer to sun

. Comet C/2019 Y4 (ATLAS) Is harmless and a potential wonder in the sky to look forward to

. No COVID-19 was not created to distract us from comet C/2019 Y4 (ATLAS) - fake Scott W story

. 1998 OR2 never in risk list - many observations a day from amateurs and professionals - a keen techy amateur can check its orbit

. 1998 OR2 - Yet another harmless asteroid - fake warning in the Daily Express

. Yes big telescopes are still watching for asteroids - those ones aren't closed by COVID-19

. Imaginary friends and Jesus - why young kids in the Bible belt who talk about things Jesus told them are not prophets

. The future we choose - with or without Paris accord - great idea but focus on clean air feeds Trump’s misconception that the Paris agreement is about clean air and clean water!

. Tropical rainforest trees are not increasing in size quite as fast as in the 1990s - but this is just one detail of the global CO2 budget and not a reason to revise anything at this stage

. Turkish action in Syria is not a quarrel between NATO and Russia - no worries about WWIII

. Progress on CO2 emissions in 2019

. UTTER NONSENSE giant asteroid impact in 2036 - no more real than Harry Potter!

. Factual news search (from MediaBias FactCheck)

. New Way Forward Act is not dangerous - criminals still sentenced - about whether or not a legal immigrant gets a second chance to stay in the US after committing a crime

. No need to fear the asteroid 2002 PZ39 - it was removed from the risk table in 2002!

. Guy Mcpherson is a climate JUNK SCIENTIST but a RESPECTABLE ECOLOGIST

. Warm temperatures in Antarctica are dramatic but not surprising

. Why the Senate rejecting witnesses for Trump's impeachment does NOT mean #RIPAmerica

. Debunked: "Predictive Programming"

. Nature article - Climate change ‘business as usual’ story is misleading

. What job can you do consistent with wanting to help with climate change?

. Doomsday Clock - not a time, not a doomsday, no calculation method - just a media event

COVID-19

. Kazakhstan's "unspecified" pneumonias - likely is just COVID19 false negatives, not diagnosed correctly

. How Mumbai's largest slum Dharavi defeated COVID19 - when normal physical distancing and home isolation was impossible

. Why are deaths per day steady from COVID19 while cases per day are rising? - Suggestions from WHO

. WHO say case not yet proven on airborne transmission of COVID19 in crowded situations with poor ventilation, suggests the possibility - and ask for more research

. WHO is examining: Is COVID19 airborne in crowded spaces with poor ventilation? Basic advice the same whatever they decide - not normally airborne

. There isn't any plan to inject us with GPS trackers as part of the COVID19 vaccine

. Where to go for the best overview of the US COVID19 situation

. Report from Independent SAGE with plan for Zero COVID UK

. Two cases of plague in inner Mongolia - can't lead to a pandemic - easily treated with antibiotics

. All the countries winning against COVID19 and nearly there

. Most counties in the US are green - well under control for COVID19

. Yes we can stop COVID19 - we could stop it completely even without a vaccine if we all acted together rigorously

. Pig flu pandemic story is click bait - needs monitoring - been in pigs in China since 2013, common since 2016, and caused no harm yet

. Yes we can suppress COVID19 - with thorough contact tracing - Europe and US took months to adopt it - China adopted it within days, before Wuhan lockdown and WHO stressed its importance already by 23rd January

. No COVID19 is not getting weaker, or stronger, it is just the same and unlikely to change much

. Are Democrat states controlling Covid19 better than Republican states in the US?

. Why you can't control a virus with natural herd immunity

. Overall picture - most US states and territories have steady or decreasing cases of COVID19 - this can be turned around

. No reason to expect "second wave" of COVID19 - current wave could have been stopped - and analogy with 1918 flu is flawed, a different disease

. Dexamethasone is good news for seriously ill patients needing oxygen or ventilation - but you shouldn't self medicate - steroids can make viral diseases worse

. Two useful maps to show which states are best at suppressing COVID19 in the US as they exit lockown

. How some US states are reducing cases rapidly as they ease lockdown - example of Virginia

. Demolishing statues is nothing new - but it's better as a democratic decision of which ones to put on display (can't display everything)

. Bhutan - small country with three quarters of a million people - kept COVID19 out with quarantine and closed borders

. WHO clarification - amount of asymptomatic spread is unknown - some studies say rare some have higher estimates - but what we do know is that test, trace, isolate works

. WHO - Latin America has shown tremendous capacity in past to fight infectious diseases - they can fight COVID19 in the same way if the right approaches are taken in a well coordinated fashion

. The story of New Zealand's last COVID19 patient discharged from hospital

. WHO: Countries facing intense local transmission such as Brazil are in similar situation to Europe earlier - can break problem down and tackle bit by bit

. Coping with anxiety and mental health during the COVID19 pandemic

. What is the Insurrection act - and what is martial law in the US?

. WHO's new guidelines on use of fabric masks

. No you can't catch COVID19 just by walking past someone with the virus however close you get - and there is no evidence yet of getting it from surfaces either - the big risk is from direct face to face contact especially singing shouting, laughing

. Guernsey - in the channel islands - another example to show a small community can totally eliminate COVID19 with test trace, isolate

. WHO committed to test each of 124 (so far) COVID19 vaccine candidates through to failure or success

. Thankful to Chinese for unprecedented Wuhan lockdown containing COVID-19 in January - while continuing to stand up to them on religious freedom, human rights, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South China sea etc

. Idea of sample pooling to speed up covid-19 testing - could test all of Wuhan, 11 million people, with 10,000 tests to find 220 cases - but might miss cases

. Europe and many others behind WHO plan to accelerate vaccine and therapeutics development and make it available to all who need it / want it

. Japan's Tokyo outbreak nearly over as result of localized lockdown - sometimes you need a lockdown as well as test, trace isolate

. How the United States is controlling Covid-19 - even States that opened up "too early" are not seeing a big surge in cases and many are controlling it with test, trace, isolate

. May 17: Germany's R0 >1 was indeed a blip - back below 1 for several days - cases and deaths per day reducing as lockdown eases

. WHO [May 13th]: If we eradicate COVID-19 with a safe and effective vaccine, it will be a beacon of hope for the future of our planet and the way we care for our citizens

. Germany's R0 > 1 is likely just a blip and doesn't mean they face a resurgence

. Why Dr Tedros can't invite Taiwan as observer - the WHO general assembly can but not the Director General - not permitted

. How R₀ works (basic reproduction rate) - and estimating whether COVID-19 cases per day increase or decrease

. Why UK is so cautious - at r0 range 0.5 to 0.9, UK has very little margin to play with

. COVID-19 recession - protecting damage to economy and livelihoods worldwide - many countries will use recovery period to rebuild industry favouring green / renewables / sustainability / nature services / biodiversity

. No scientists have not found a strain of COVID-19 that is more infectious - misleading title to non peer reviewed paper

. WHO (May 4th) - Origins of COVID-19 virus is unknown animal host (not lab)

. US has not yet reached 3000 COVID-19 deaths per day - average of 150 per state - and deaths now declining - comparision with Europe

. WHO (29th April): Sweden is looking in real time at how we adjust our lives to deal with COVID-19 after lock-down

. Amateur hours at Westminster press briefings - why doesn't our government get in real experts on COVID-19 - and publish the science?

. WHO (Wed 29th April) on accelerating vaccine development - may be possible to have it faster than 10 to 16 months from now

. Many vaccines in development for COVID-19 (70+)

. Question for UK Government at next coronavirus press conference

. Crushing a second wave of COVID-19 - and can it even happen?

. WHO current advice on what to do if you are at home with others and have suspected COVID19

. Greece's COVID-19 outbreak well under control - New Zealand and Iceland similar confirming the methods of China, SK and Singapore work in other countries

. Ballpark: 100 UK professors die if 10% are infected with COVID19

. Why many academics in UK didn't speak up about the UK's transition to the delay phase - need for whistleblower type protection of some kind

. Total global number of cases of COVID-19 rising linearly not exponentially - shows a lot of suppression is going on - some regions especially vulnerable

. Fun speculation piled on conjecture piled on speculation - what if there was a sescond milder strain of COVID-19 going the rounds?

. Large scale trials underway to test many drugs for COVID-19

. Data from the Netherlands suggets few children get Covid-19 and no evidence of child to child or child to adult transmission

. We are now headed for a U shaped recession for sure but not a depression - difference is the economy is not permanently damaged

. Petition: Take immediate action to find and isolate COVID-19 cases and recent contacts - published and ready for signing :)

. Andrew Marr interview with Sarah Gilbert about UK COVID19 vaccine trials

. My appeal for the test trace isolate petition was successful :)

. Use of surveillance and monitoring to prevent COVID-19 outbreaks, suppress them, and stop a second wave

. Turns out I can appeal the decision to reject those parliament petitions for Test Trace Isolate and ILI screening for COVID19

. Early COVID-19 antibody surveys need caution - Santa Clara study preprint shows many more infected than expected but most studies show much less infection than expected

. Modeling is just one input among many, one piece of a large puzzle - BMJ

. The WHO and China are NOT in any way responsible for the late responses of Europe and the US

. COVID-19 Nurses in the UK have serious lack of personal protection - we need to fix this

. One World: Together At Home Special to Celebrate COVID-19 Workers - Organized by Lady Gaga for WHO

. Petition to UK government to test trace isolate COVID-19 still in moderation four weeks after submission

. UK non medical labs could be empowered to do 10 million PCR tests for COVID-19 every day - testing entire UK population every week as UK lockdown exit strategy - proposal in the Lancet

. UK health professors request scientific justification for 7 day covid-19 isolation - WHO says 14 days after symptoms resolve

. New Zealand doing really well with COVID-19 - shows value of attacking the virus hard and fast

. Trump releases guidelines on opening up the US economy - looks pretty good

. Idea of microdots record for COVID-9 vaccination - not a cover for a plan to inject everyone with microchips - and how vaccination can eradicate a disease

. Q & A on physical activity at home during COVID-19 - WHO

. COVID19 home isolation for NHS differs from WHO putting other members of household at risk in UK

. Fact checking statements about WHO by the BBC

. Why we MUST wait for RANDOMIZED TRIALS for cures for COVID-19 - but it is BENEFICIAL to self medicate with HARMLESS home remedies to feel better

. At last, UK challenged on science base of 7 day isolation period for COVID-19 - 24 professors of epidemiology and public health sign letter asking for transparency on the evidence

. Dr Tedros is not a medical doctor - he is a microbiologist and disease expert with a PhD in disease medicine

. COVID19: WHO published alert about possible human - human transmission on 5th January, CDC published health advisory on 7th

. WHO press briefing and transcript 13th April [will add summaries soon]

. Cases per day in the US going down - gradually suppressing it - but exit from lockdown needs great care

. Warning, if you have COVID-19 at home - there is no home remedy for low levels of oxygen in the blood

. Why you don't need to worry about martial law in the US over COVID-19

. My Covid-19 tweets - much here to encourage hope!

. We CAN suppress COVID-19 right down - herd immunity to suppress COVID-19 is amoral and may not even work

. If 10% of UK's NHS staff get COVID-19, 250 doctors and 140 nurses may die (approx). We must save these lives. Health of our health care workers should be a top priority

. Covid-19 infection of pets is very rare and not something to worry about

. Can suppress COVID-19 in regions, islands, urban districts until gone - as for Bahrain & Faroe Isles

. How To Protect Yourself From COVID-19 - Also Help Stop It Spreading To Others

. WHO COVID-19 10th April - welcome slowing down in some European countries, Africa of concern - care easing lockdown - infected health workers - and World Food Program shipments of medical equipment and supplies

. Would antibodies mean you are immune from COVID-19? Experts don't know yet

. Faroe Isles - example of COVID-19 case isolation, contact tracing and quarantine done properly

. Why is UK's Covid-19 isolation period so short and why are we not isolating cases from households? Need to examine evidence base

. Yes a pet can get COVID-19 but it is incredibly rare (2 dogs, 1 cat and a zoo tiger)

. This maths model for Covid-19 guides UK policy - its simulated flu differs in almost every detail from the real data

. Using the Simpsons to show why isolating Covid-19 cases and contact tracing protects your houshold.

. WHO Covid-19 transcript 6th April: Presymptomatic and asymptomatic spread

. WHO transcript 6th April: Use of Masks and free live streamed concert organized by Lady Gaga on 18th April

. How to protect yourself from COVID-19 [Dr Bruce Aylward]

. Good video interview with the expert professor Bruce Aylward about COVID-19

. COVID-19: Why UK Is Ignoring WHO Advice - Key Differences Between UK's Simulated Flu And Real World Data

. What Is Contact Tracing And Why Is It So Effective At Stopping COVID-19?

. Why young people should NOT try to get COVID-19 - instead protect yourself

. How contact tracing for COVID-19 saves lives

. Many countries show first signs of suppressing COVID-19 (Video)

. Pressure mounting on the UK government to resume contact tracing

. WHO COVID-19 press briefing on 3rd April - countries must fund core health care measures and protect livelihoods of workers

. The UK's quarantine period of 7 days for COVID-19 is far too short

. IMF's trillion dollar “war chest” to protect jobs in developing countries and finance weaker health care systems during the COVID-19 crisis - speech by Kristalina Georgieva

. Experts weighing in on UK’s idea of antibody certificates - they would not prove you are safe from COVID-19 at current state of knowledge

. Everyone needs to be careful not to get COVID-19 not just elderly people

. Yes China really did manage to keep deaths down to 3000 - they responded far more quickly than the US, that's why

. In the UK and depressed about COVID-19? This may help

. Why We Don't Need To Have A Second Wave Of COVID-19 Or Multiple Waves - It Can Be Stopped

. Why the UK can't become a police state - Sir Robert Peel's principles of law enforcement

. Spain, Italy, Germany and Iceland all well on course to contain their outbreaks of COVID-19 - with a change of direction the UK can too

. COVID-19 is NOT airborne - WHO tweet

. WHO - With countries under lockdown most transmision is now in families - need to find and go after those cases and isolate them from the rest of the family

. Spain showing strong signs that it may be over its peak for COVID-19

. Italy continues to show strong signs of containing COVID-19, down to only 5.6% increase in a day

. UK Can Rise To Challenge Of Mass Testing Of Covid-19 And Contact Tracing At An Unprecedented Scale

. COVID19 does NOT transmit like Flu - Fact Checking UK Covid19 Policy Against Evidence From Science and WHO recommendations

. WHO - COVID19, 27th March - No country can fight this virus alone. We can only fight it together

. Sadly next week will be tough in the UK - maybe it will be the shock to bring us back to contain? Especially as Italy may be well start to see the end in sight for its outbreak

. Good news from Italy: COVID 19 outbreak halted in Italian town of Vo Euganeo at record speed - 90 cases to no new cases in two weeks

. In the UK: Boris Johnson, Prince Charles, and Matt Hancock (Health secretary) all have COVID-19 - and Dr Whitty, chief medical officer, has symptoms and is self isolating

. Our real priorities for COVID19 according to the WHO

. Tweets to Boris Johnson on UK policy on COVID-19 - please retweet and share

. Email to Boris Johnson (PM): Your Covid19 policy is based on a fictional flu pandemic with many differences from the real disease

. Test your understanding: How does UK policy on COVID19 differ from WHO recommendations?

. About viruses, vaccines and antivirals - how is it that 80% of those with COVID-19 get only mild symptoms and nearly all recover?

. Test your understanding: How does UK policy on COVID19 differ from WHO recommendations

. WHO - on Netherlands and UK - precious second window of opportunity to chase after the virus with case finding and contact tracing

. Letter to my MP about UK basing its COVID19 response on a fictional disease

. WHO COVID 19 23rd March: We must attack the virus not just defend against it - you can't win a football game only by defending

. Why Boris Johnson's new COVID19 measure is likely to INCREASE spread - based on a fictional disease

. COVID19 outbreak in Italy is continuing to show signs of slowing down - cases per day may have already peaked

. Why you don't need to panic buy during coronavirus outbreaks - and only need medical masks if caring for someone with COVID-19

. UK Bases Its Coronavirus Policy On Flu instead of data about the new virus - WHO uses evidence based science for COVID-19

. Most people recover from COVID-19

. WHO COVID19 March 20th - Message of courage and hope in what already are difficult times for many - first pandemic in history where we have the power to change the way it goes

. Comparison of advice of the NHS for COVID-19 with advice of the WHO

. Why I am safe from COVID-19 in the UK - to reassure those I help over the internet

. How Singapore controls COVID-19 with rigorous contact tracing and aggressive case finding

. Please try to be peaceful and calming like a lotus amongst the mud and confusion of fake news and false prophecies.

. The coronavirus COVID-19 is NOT AIRBORNE

. Why the UK must act fast now and contain COVID19 in our country for ourselves and for the world

. WHO emphasize test test test for COVID-19 - and immediately isolate all cases, even mild ones - through to 14 days after symptoms cease

. UK must return to its contain strategy now - every day of delay makes it harder to stop

. COVID19 is being stopped - containment is the key - and every day of inaction increases the problem for those countries

. WHO Safe Hands Challenge - 11 Steps Wash For Thorough Protection From COVID19

. COVID19 cases may peak soon in Italy and Iran - in China, South Korea, and much of the Western Pacific it is nearly over - the UK absolutely has to join in - it is losing the plot!

. Only a matter of when, not if, UK has to return to the Contain phase - but leave it late and we may need rest of the world’s help to do it

. Transcript of Professor John Ashton former president of the Faculty of Public Health condemning the UK's policy on COVID19

. Deaths from Aids, Flu, Measles far greater than for COVID-19 - and why COVID-19 cases per day in Europe might peak soon - apart from the UK

. Why the British Government - unlike most other countries - is not constantly reminding you to wash your hands, not touch your face etc

. What are the economic effects of COVID-19?

. No Sylvia Browne did not predict COVID-19

. WHO COVID-19 March 13 2020

. Deaths in Italy from Covid19 - similar to China - higher case fatality rate is due to more elderly patients affected

. The UK government must immediately return to the contain phase for covid-19 - draft petition to the UK government

. Boris Johnson (UK) Please Follow WHO Expert Advice NOW To Contain COVID-19 And Detect Mild Cases - Delays Cost Lives

. How to protect yourself from COVID-19 - and help stop spread to others and the world - if everyone did this the epidemic would soon stop

. WHO declare Covid19 as a pandemic that CAN BE CONTAINED - not a question of if we CAN but if we WILL

. If Covid19 is a pandemic it is the first one that can be contained - WHO briefing on Covid19, 9th March 2020

. Why COVID-19 can be stopped even with so many countries reporting cases, some in the thousands - it is all about the reproduction number R0

. Coronavirus Can Be Controlled - No Country Should Allow Uncontrolled Spread - Harms Your Citizens And Other Countries Too - WHO

. Dr Tedros, Director General of WHO continues to emphasize we can stop and contain covid 19 - not time to let up on our efforts

. 5th March COVID19 - WHO - continue to stress containment - Iran doing a good job - Need to drive down, slow and stop transmission

. No the first of two strains of Covid19 is NOT more deadly! More like the same model of car with a different number plate

. Covid 19- Good news from China - 11 provinces now at lowest “green” level of risk - Encouraging signs from South Korea - WHO don’t think containment should be abandoned

. UK moves to "delay" phase - but start of delay phase is the same as the WHO guidelines - they want to delay it for 6 weeks to the end of the flu season

. Death rates and mortality rates of COVID-19 compared to seasonal flu

. What are the differences between Covid 19 and flu Q/A - WHO

. FINDING and CONTAINING lots of cases of COVID19 now is GOOD! - WHO

. WHO COVID19 press conference 3rd March 2020

. Total currently sick of COVID19 as of March 3rd 2020

. WHO press conference 3rd March 2020 - they repeat many times that containment of COVID19 is still possible

. No way that 250,000 get COVID19 in Scotland - wash hands before touching your face and keep 2 meters away from people who cough and you won't get it

. The news not shared on mainstream TV - China has nearly contained COVID19 and the rest of us can too

. COVID19 - Together we're powerful. Containment starts with you. Our greatest enemy is not the virus. It's fear, rumors and stigma. Our greatest assets are facts, reason and solidarity. Dr Tedros - WHO press conference

. You won't get COVID19 if you take the right precautions

. Nigeria - first sub-saharan African case of COVID19 was expected and they were ready for it

. WHO press conference - With the right measures COVID19 can be contained

. COVID19 - What you must do to stay safe if you are in an infected areaCOVID19 - WHAT YOU MUST DO IF YOU ARE IN AN AFFECTED AREA

. Why the WHO are not calling COVID19 a pandemic

. No the CDC are not saying a pandemic is inevitable, and the experts say we can STOP a pandemic

. WHO key message from investigations in china - this virus can be contained - will give all countries hope, courage and confidence - and big donation from EU and why the Iran / Italy / South Korea outbreaks can still be contained, not yet a pandemic

. COVID19 in Singapore shows there can't be a hidden population of symptomless superspreaders

. Narrowing window of opportunity for COVID19 but there is still time to prevent a pandemic - first cases in Iran of special concern

. WHO progress on malaria - eliminated or nearly eliminated from many countries - no cases in China last year, and Paraguay, Argentina and Algeria malaria free

. Good news about Covid19 in China from largest clinical study of this disease to date

. Spike of over 14,000 new cases go back to the start of the outbreak, because of a new way of reporting - many may not be COVID-19 - and evidence that the number of cases they are missing may not be that large

. Debunked - what did Leung mean when he said that the coronavirus could spread to 60% of humanity?

. Debunked: The Chinese are NOT burning thousands of bodies in crematoriums in Wuhan - the SO2 is from a steel works!

. Lie Wenliang died - whistleblower warned about new disease one day early - however Chinese reported to WHO as soon as automated disease detecting system was triggered

. WHO press briefing on coronavirus - can still be contained, $625 million support for countries with poor health systems are key - with preliminary transcript (unofficial)

. Worldwide cases of coronavirus NOT doubling every 5 days - well contained at present - WHO's top priority is to prevent an epidemic / pandemic in Africa

. Expect Coronavirus deaths to rise rapidly for a month - to perhaps 1000 to 3000 - then slowly level off if contained - ignore FALSE PREDICTION that millions will die

. Where to go for reliable sources on the Coronavirus COVID19

. WHO declares global emergency, to protect least developed countries, coronavirus is NOT a pandemic - and you can protect yourself

. WHO RECOMMENDATIONS AND ADVICE FOR CORONAVIRUS

. No epidemics outside China yet - mainly cases from China - Could China be concealing a larger problem for the coronavirus - NO

. WHO declares global emergency, to protect least developed countries, does NOT mean coronavirus is a pandemic

. No Coronavirus is not man-made or a bioweapon - we know from its gene sequence

. Expect the deaths from Coronavirus to reach hundreds, to over 1000 even when successfully contained - doesn't make it personally dangerous - chance of epidemic outside China is weak

. Chinese coronavirus does NOT match fictional pandemic with 65 million dead - Event 201 - never meant as a predition of a future disease

. Ignore figure of 190,000 possibly infected by coronavirus by 4th February - authors themselves say figures are too high - preprint, not peer reviewed

. Coronavirus - not a significant risk outside China and you can prevent infection even in Wuhan with right precautions

. Latest on coronavirus - new cases were expected and nothing to worry about - death rate remains low and human to human infection remains rare

. Update on Chinese coronavirus - not very infectious - like a bad case of flu but much less contagious - probably originates from snakes

. Chinese virus is like a bad case of flu - but much less contagious

Before COVID19

. Meme to help people - including kids - who trust fake news on the internet

. Audubon birds study - not true that 2/3 of birds in North America risk extinction - just risk significant change of range (e.g. move further north)

. Why climate models running "hot" don't mean our budget for 1.5C is used up

. Theory of time slowing down is about a harmless 9% slow down since the universe began - and not experienced as any change

. Dare to Hope - Climate Restoration - Three ways to get CO2 levels back to pre-industrial 300 ppm by 2050 - They potentially pay for themselves

. Scary atom bombs post is just saying parts of the ocean have warmed by over a degree since 1960 (smaller regions have cooled by more than a degree in the same time period)

. If Betelgeuse goes supernova it would be harmless - a new bright star in the sky - as bright as a crescent moon or half moon

. Positive articles on climate change if you feel it is hopeless

. Why you shouldn't listen to Jean Dixon’s 2020 predictions - she could not see the future

. Why the year 2038 problem is nothing to be scared of - only going to affect ancient embedded chips way out of date

. Ukraine flight misidentified as cruise missile - probably because of a transponder glitch leading to Tor anti-aircraft system identifying it as a threat

. No Nostradamus did not prophecy that Trump would be re-elected or California fall into the sea in 2020

. Astronomers predict wondrous "guest star" bright as Sirius, perhaps bright as Venus, ~2083 - HARMLESS TO EARTH

. Another fake news asteroid story for harmless and small 16 meter asteroid 2019 YB4 that can't hit Earth, never even been in the risk list

. What job can you do consistent with wanting to help with climate change?

. Another TOTALLY FAKE asteroid warning story - NASA has not issued any warnings

. Video debunks of the Montaigne false prophecy for 21st December

. UK Election results are a victory for "One Nation Conservatism" not Republican politics

. Not the world 4 C warmer - confused imagination by author of book on mapping methods - so what really happens at 4 C warmer?

. Kim Jong Un skips 2020 New Year Speech - Still leaving door open for US to respond and move forward

. Nothing scary about interstellar Comet Borisov - so far away it would take 38 years on a 747 non stop to travel the same distance around Earth

. You can't sell your soul to the devil

. Controversial study suggests sperm count declining from normal to normal with no noticeable effect on male fertility - other evidence suggests an increasing sperm count

. New 'impossible black hole' is harmless

. Rising to the challenge of zero emissions aviation

. Claim Of Climate Tipping Points That Erase CO2 Budget Adds No New Research To IPCC Findings - Annotated Nature Comment

. What we need to do for the 1.5°C path in graphs - with new pledges in 2020 and 2025 - and new UN emissions gap report 2019

. Polar bears are not at risk of extinction - they do face challenges in a warming world

. No neutrinos can't mutate - why 2012 was nuts and adding 7 years to 2012 doesn't mean anything will happen in 2019

. Koalas not functionally extinct - 60 to 70% reduction of local population in New South Wales for a decade or two but 350, or 1000 koalas is not a lot out of 300,000

. Debunked: Time Travelers on YouTube - internet copycat meme

. How the greenhouse effect really works - and why there is a negative greenhouse effect over Antarctica

. Clathrate gun / methane bomb effectively disproved - less than human methane emissions and not known if Arctic will be a net source or sink

. Short debunk of Arctic Albedo effect

. Videos of good things that are happening in the world for climate change and biodiversity

. Why is there smog in Delhi? - it's because of burning rice stubble and local laws

. Why do some Christians (minority within a minority) keep posting saying the world will end soon, often with dates?

. UK moths and butterflies - some declines but not as dramatic as the news suggests

. Short debunk of Jem Bendell’s Deep Adaptation and Rupert Read's blog post

. Even worst worst case climate change scenario is not Human extinction or collapse of civilization - science needs to be evidence based

. Daily Express Fake asteroid meme - 2014 JO25, 2014 AG5 - NEVER IN RISK LIST - Bennu is far future and Apophis half a century away both expected to miss and easy to deflect

. ‘Mammoth’ Asteroid 2006 Wh2 was never in NASA risk list and is fake news

. Bennu can’t hit Earth before 2178 and we CAN deflect it in that far future - though we are close to certain it misses

. YouTube's new rules are mainly about removing purchase links from ads targeted at children of 13 and under - they’d much rather do nothing but have to do it for COPPA

. How Did The New York Times Get 'How Scientists Got Climate Change So Wrong' So Wrong?

. No scientists have NOT proved that human extinction is extremely likely or that it will happen at all

. 11,000 scientists sign climate change paper with exaggerated claims without checking cites - hits headline news

. List of the articles in my Debunking Doomsday blog to date

. Chukchi Sea Ice melt - not a global issue but important to locals

. US Alone Gives Notice To Withdraw From Paris Climate Accord - Not For Pittsburgh City - Agreement Remains Strong (with Meme)

. Sensationalist Press misunderstand gravitational keyholes and the Yarkovsky effect - borrowed words - treat like space portals and Star Trek Impulse drive!

. List of articles in Doomsday Debunked by topic

. No cities WON’T be erased by 2050 - New elevation data shows millions more are ALREADY living below sea level than previously thought - protected by dikes

. Carbon loss from felling intact forests underestimated six-fold, but reforesting abandoned agricultural land leads to rapid gains

. How to check an asteroid story with my new Sentry table interface - 2019 UJ3

. 2010 GD37 is now REMOVED from the risk list.

. Debunked: The myth of green growth - Financial Times magazine

DOOMSDAY FEARS

. How to deal with doomsday fears once you have the debunk - need to stop searching

. Share your Doomsday Fear story

. Polls of Doomsday Debunked

. Why do so many people believe these doomsday stories - even though they seem incredible?

. Do you want to add your personal story about your Doomsday fears?

. No governments do not hide news of future disasters

. Are you an orang utan or a chimpanzee? Common misunderstandings when talking about doomsday fears with people who are autistic, Aspergers, or very empathic and imaginative

. Magical thinking is normal, even JPL flight directors and ISS astronauts do it!

. Breathe in and out slowly and deeply and other ways to calm a panic attack

CLIMATE CHANGE

. Andrew Neil vs Extinction Rebellion with accurate climate science - no answers on their claim that billions will die or their 2025 deadline - so what would they do if more clued up about climate change?

. Twitter Panic Over 5 Square Meters Of Bubbling Methane - Natural Arctic Methane Increase Is Comparable To Human Emissions

. 12 Simple lifestyle changes to help reduce global warming and biodiversity loss

. IPCC special conference on the Ocean and Cryosphere

. Climate Action Summit - expect many positive initiatives to be unvelied

. What the World Meteorologial Society Report did NOT say - two alarming articles about climate change in the BBC and Scientific American - who sadly now run Climatewire click bait climate news

. Why the scenario of "Day after Tomorrow" can't happen - what really happens if the gulf stream and the AMOC slows down

. Do not adjust your set :) - why we shouldn't adjust the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity yet despite the new research - it may well still be 3 C

. No we have not had 20 years of failure to act on Climate

. How long does it take for the Greenland ice to melt completely?

. Debunked: Climate change: Electrical industry's 'dirty secret' boosts warming - it's only 0.11% of the UK's greenhouse gas emissions

. Did global warming make hurricane Dorian worse? Possibly - but more confidence that hurricanes like this will be more common in past than in future

. Some of the worst doomsday fear fact checking errors in the mainstream press - most are about climate change

. Why we are at no risk of 'losing the Amazon' as a whole

. How well are countries doing with their 2015 Paris pledges?

. What happens to beaches and sand dunes as sea levels rise? They just move - but by more than you'd expect, retreat by 150 meters for each meter of sea level rise (150 feet for each foot of rise) though very variable and some are even gaining land

. We do not risk mass amazon dieback - what is meant by critical point for forest fragmentation?

. Are countries keeping our 2015 Paris pledges?

. Wildfires in Amazon nothing new - much more will happen at 3°C if we get there, but we do not lose the Amazon entirely even then

. Potential for carbon capture from giant kelp farming

. Rising water stress is leading to a situation with a steady increase in greening instead of an accelerating increase in greening - and the promise of seaweed (VPD or Vapor Pressure Deficit)

. Philip Alston’s report focuses on integrating human rights protection into climate action - nothing new about climate science

. North Sea Dogger Bank wind turbine project could supply more power to the EU by 2045 than coal does now

. What the IPCC really said in the recent report on Climate Change and land - serious challenges but we are already doing a lot and we know what to do - their main message is that the sooner we act the better

. What are the long term effects of Greenland and Western Antarctica melting - and how will we cope in places like Florida, Greenland and Bangladesh?

. What does 0.5 mm sea level rise in July mean - despite twittersphere and blogosphere alarm - not likely to beat 2012 record - long term predictions unchanged

. Sustainable continuing economic growth on a finite planet - how is that possible?

. ‘Arctic on fire’ is normal, part of nature - moose, bears, voles, foxes, owls, birds of prey all depend on wild fires

. Ethiopians collaborate to plant 353 million trees in twelve hours - world record - aim is to plant 40 trees each this summer for a total of 4 billion trees - can we follow their example in the UK and elsewhere?

. China to Increase 2015 Climate Pledges in 2020, Support Green Climate fund- Maintain Biodiversity & May Peak Emissions Early 2020s

. Why An Ice Free Summer Arctic Will NOT Have The Same Effect As 25 Years Of CO2 Emisisons

. Challenges for combining climate change mitigation with biodiversity - not a 'tame' problem - examples of problems and solutions we are working towards in the UK

. Should IPCC speak up about FALSE Doomist Rhetoric of 12 years to save planet (and now 18 months) - Paper in Nature

. Wind farms and solar farms need to be sited carefully to protect wild birds, bats and insects - but biggest risk by far is … the domestic cat! Responsible for 63 extinctions, wind farms for 0 extinctions

. Ursula von der Leyen’s proposed green new deal will make Western Europe the first 1.5°C compatible continent if passed

. Prince Charles’s 18 months comment out of context - he was saying that substantial initiatives are underway as part of the many things we are doing that can help to decide our future in a positive way!

. Climate analogues for city planning by 2050 - e.g. London like Barcelona - most are climates someone else already has (at a 2°C rise) - but some tropical cities have bigger changes from wet to dry season than any city today

. New study does NOT conclude that we have too many fossil fuel power plants and vehicles to stay within 1.5°C

. Yes our generation’s children are headed for a world with nature and wonder in it - and their children too

. This is just a heat wave - all heat wave related deaths are preventable - and our future is a very habitable Earth!

. Debunked: Blue ocean event - Earth will not suddenly warm up and go ice free year round if Arctic goes ice free for a month in summer

. Philip Alston’s report is important for its focus on integrating human rights protection into climate action - nothing new about climate science

. How can Indians prevent future water shortages? Big report for 23 cities

. Accelerated Himalaya glacier melting confirms previous results - projections are for increased water through to 2050, after that reduced - needs adaptation and resilience even at 1.5 C

. No the IPCC does not err on the side of least drama, just follows scientific method

. Annotated mistakes and exaggerations in ‘The poisons released by melting Arctic ice’ - BBC Futures

. Greenland is losing a lot of ice this summer - but gained a lot last winter - what does it mean for sea level rise - and what do rising seas mean to the world?

. Should farmers stop keeping livestock to save the planet? Answer - it is complicated - Criticism of Cowspiracy

. Climate Change Will NOT End Civilization By 2050 Or Make Humans Extinct - Australian Report Had NO Scientific Peer Review

. ‘Global risk of deadly heat’ is about heatwaves that already affect 30% a year - elderly and vulnerable should take precautions

. The IPCC’s own worst case climate change example - a 3°C rise by 2100

. No Scotland does NOT face a climate apocalypse

. Do renewables for power generation take up more land area than fossil fuels? Well - not really!

. No need to worry about late sowing in the US

. Climate Change usually means a change to a climate someone already has, example, Florida to Mexico

. No Scotland does NOT face a climate apocalypse

. Do renewables for power generation take up more land area than fossil fuels? Well - not really!

. No need to worry about late sowing in the US

. Climate Change usually means a change to a climate someone already has, example, Florida to Mexico

. Debunked: the number of phytoplankton in the oceans have decreased by 40% - out of date research from 2010

. Australia will still be strong in renewables after ‘losing’ the climate vote - and each government is only for three years

. We can grow enough food for everyone through to 2100 and beyond on all scenarios

. This is normal - every May, CO2 levels are highest on record and highest since the Pliocene

. IPBES cochairs and press conference with transcripts

. Let’s save a million species, and make biodiversity great again - UN report says we know how do it

. NOT going to run out of topsoil in 60 years - most soils lifespans 100+ years and many thickening - some going from deserts to fertile soil

. Absurd blog post at Arctic News predicting a ridiculous 10 °C rise in global temperatures by 2026 - using a POLYNOMIAL to EXTRAPOLATE!!!

. Leaked report on impact of climate change in Canada - actually is nothing new - just sensationalist reporting

. Deep adaptation - climate change paper which is just: ‘Crap’

. No we are not headed for an ‘Uninhabitable Earth’ - debunked: David Wallace-Wells’s book and articles such as ‘The end of the world and you are responsible’

. UN Environment’s Sixth Global Environmental Outlook - outline the paths we need to follow for a healthy planet and healthy people in the future

. What did the research about “cloudless skies” really show?

. What have researchers found out about rain in Greenland in winter?

. Yes kelp and seagrass also have issues similar to coral bleaching - but are only vulnerable near the warm edge of the species rangee

. Remarkable progress on Climate action in two years - 2 °C rise is well within reach, 1.5 °C we can get to with prompt action - and current policies are for 3 °C, well below business as usual

. UN report is far from bleak - an encouraging survey of measures being used to preserve biodiversity - many knowledge gaps and issues but also much we can do

. Arctic Canadian and Siberian permafrost carbon release significant but exaggerated in news stories - fraction of a degree rise in worst case - and can even be a carbon sink instead of emitter

. Do climate scientists err on the side of least drama? New paper being discussed on twitter - nothing to be scared of

. Does it matter about huge hole beneath fast melting Antarctic Thwaites Glacier?

. Heard Of This Small But Hugely Carbon Negative Country? Suriname In Amazonian Rain Forest - From Today's Talanoa Story Dialogs

. No we won’t have large scale water wars - price of water is too low, below price of desalination for long distance transport - sometimes countries with shared rivers have conflicts but most water issues are resolved amicably with water agreements

. What the IPCC report actually said

. New president of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro wants to remove protections from the tropical rainforest - how much can he do?

. Yes, We Can Rise To The IPCC Target To Keep Global Warming Within 1.5°C (2.7°F)

. Clathrate Gun Hypothesis is effectively debunked now

. List of climate change / global warming doomsday debunked posts - also about resource depletion (this is incomplete)

. Heat waves in summer are normal - climate prediction - more and hotter heat waves on average - more risk fo wildfires - and drought

. Yes emissions are expected to rise or stay the same for a while on all scenarios - Yes we are able to ramp down to zero emissions

HUMAN EXTINCTION OR COLLAPSE OF CIVILIZATION

. Even worst worst case climate change scenario is not Human extinction or collapse of civilization - science needs to be evidence based

. Elon Musk and Jack Ma not population experts - Population is NOT going to collapse rapidly in the next 20 years

. Simplified ‘toy models’ of Earth’s future without social processes often bleak - can be sustainable with zero emissions if you add them in

. Debunked: That we risk societal collapse as a result of climate change - what could David Attenborough have meant? - perhaps ‘climate slogans’?

. Debunked: Humans extinct in 100 years - old interview with Frank Fenner - NOT TRUE

. Debunked: computer predicted end of civilization in 2040

. Honey bees are NOT going extinct - NONSENSE (falsely attributed to David Attenborough and Einstein)

. Debunked: world to end in one of three horrible scenarios in mathematical model by Adam Frank

. Could anything make us extinct in this century? Answer No

EXTINCTION

. OOPS - Puerto Rican insects in the forest canopy increase with warmth - not decline - and frogs like the warmth too

. New research does NOT mean a world without insects

. Debunked: No the German research doesn’t mean that we face an “insect apocalypse”

. Some UK mammal species risk regional extinction in next century - much done to save them - you can help too (Honest headline without clickbait)

. No Conker tree is NOT really at risk of extinction - is about native original distribution in Greece, Albania and Macedonia

. No there is no risk of widespread common species in the US going extinct in new bird survey - and the 3 billion bird species lost figure is on rather shaky ground

. The supposed mass extinction beginning in 2100 in NY Post article unfolds over 10,000 years and is just one idea of one scientist published in 2017

. Widely misreported paper does not mean that 88% of all freshwater creatures of over 30 kilograms have gone - the Living Planet Index emphasizes changes in small populations

. Great tits do NOT risk extinction from climate change - are of least concern and increasing - what did the paper really say?

. Positive news - conservation projects in Australia

. Japan to resume commercial whaling - no risk of whale extinctions from this

. Nearly 600 plants extinct means - 0.15% of all plant species - and most plants can be saved from extinction in seed vaults - Annotations for BBC article that is scaring people

. No, Koalas are not ‘functionally extinct’

. The Svalbard seed vault is an extra backup able to restore world agriculture just by itself - and it is fine - ignore the silly clickbait titles

. Why you don’t need to worry about the ‘Great Dying’ - it’s about the Permian extinction 262 million years ago

. We aren’t in the middle of the sixth mass extinction - we are at the start of what would be a mass extinction if it continued at this rate for 1000 years- but already doing a lot to end and reverse biodiversity loss - we can stop this!

ASTEROIDS

. Another very random harmless NASA asteroid warning - this time Fox News

. Why we know for sure that 2007 FT3 will miss - actually it is probably nearly as far away as the sun

. About ATLAS - how we spot many asteroids days or weeks before they get here

. 2019 RA - tiny harmless asteroid never in risk list - scary nonsense in International Business Times - nor was 2019 GT3 or 2019 QZ

. 2000 QW7 - Another random completely harmless asteroid

. I did NOT warn of ocean boiling asteroid - explained JUPITER PROTECTS US - Daily Express UTTER NONSENSE - NO ASTEROID WARNINGS of any size

. Apophis is easy to deflect and can’t hit for decades - and Didymos is no threat selected precisely because it is non threatening - ridiculous Daily Express click bait headlines

. Why NASA expects the NO HAZARD asteroids to miss, even when they have exact dates and times for the only time they can hit

. 1990 MU and 1998 OR2 - Two more harmless asteroids in the sensationalist press

. 2007 FT3 - yet another harmless No Hazard asteroid hyped up by the sensationalist press

OTHER COSMIC

. New study is consistent with earlier research that we are safe from superflares

. Can superflares happen on our sun - latest research says no - only bright flares equivalent to our sun’s output for a tenth of a second

. Why we are safe from anything happening in the center of our galaxy

. No a bright laser can't 'tear' the fabric of space-time - and space-time isn’t really a fabric at all

. No, we are not really falling into the Great Attractor - it is traveling away from us faster and faster, currently around 4000 km/ sec - just - not quite as fast as expected

. No the Earth is not at risk of being turned into strange matter

. No danger at all from thin 'Local Fluff', ‘local bubble’, or ‘local ribbon’ interstellar clouds that Earth may go through soon

. New harmless asteroids scaring people, 2019 OD can’t hit ‘till 2088, expected to miss then too - 2015 HM10 removed - 2010 PK9 and 2019 OE were never in risk list

NORTH KOREA

. North Korea's climate change and biodiversity policies - the conditional plans are actually close to 1.5 C compatible if they had the finance for them

. No way North Korea attacks anyone - could be missile fired into sea harmlessly - or satellite launch - or perhaps a positive development - diplomacy continues

. Nothing to worry about engine test - North Korea stepping back from a deal much like Trump did - not going to lead to war

. North Korea’s “Christmas gift” - they are keeping the door open for talks - maybe the alternative is a geostationary satellite launch? No risk of WW III ever

. Kim missiles test as background for future tough negotiations

. North Korea announces that it wants to talk to US - just before short range missile tests which do not go against promise to Trump

. Trump steps into North Korea and invites Kim Jong Un to visit the White House

. No need to be concerned yet by North Korea doing some rebuilding work in its missile test site - to prepare for dramatic pictures of them blowing it up??

. Trump Kim meeting broken off - it’s not nearly as bad as it seems. More of a failure of a major agreement than a major disagreement.

. What has the Kim - Trump summit achieved?

. What can a Trump - Kim summit achieve?

. Trump Kim talks? Hollywood style movie, grand gestures, real progress, unified Korea civilian nuclear and space program??

. What if the Kim Trump meeting goes wrong? Preparations behind the scenes

. Why there never was any chance of NK fighting a world war against the US & why peace is possible

. Why there is no need to be worried by US intelligence that NK is continuing “business as usual” with its nuclear facilities

. Kim Trump meeting back on track for 12th June - surprise NK announcement, Moon return visit to Kim in NK, and warm response by Trump

. Debunked: “A failed Kim - Trump summit would be a catastrophe”

. No need to worry about the Trump - Kim talks - brinksmanship not a break up yet - UPDATE talks cancelled for now

. No Trump and Kim aren’t about to go to war, Not likely they cancel the peace talks in June

. Why it’s okay that North Korea say they have to trust the US to denuclearize

. Why US can’t attack North Korea without warning its civilians in South Korea - Hopes for Winter Olympics talks - and wish of both Koreas for reunification

. Why Trump can’t really be planning a surprise attack on North Korea - unless he evacuates US civilians from South Korea first

. Did you know: North Korea is not communist - nobody else wants them to have nuclear weapons - and their leader is not mad

. Debunked: North Korea plan to set off a supervolcano eruption by dropping a nuclear bomb on Yellowstone

. Can Trump order a nuclear attack on civilians in North Korea in peace time without Congress approval? General Kehler says no.

. Why North Korea is not about to invade South Korea - or the US invade NK - and why you don’t need to be scared of a NK hydrogen bomb test in the Pacific

. North Korea Update

. Tense situation concerning North Korea

WORLD WAR III

. World War III unlikely - trend in opposite direction, to smaller wars and fewer casualties not large ones - and reduced tendency for the great powers to fight each other

. Iran and Israel like rutting stags - they are careful not to escalate - not a risk of world war

. No a limited military strike on Iran would not lead to WW III - and is also unlikely to happen - Trump has found a neat way out

. Pakistan and India are sabre rattling - real issue is the Chinese - Pakistan economic corridor for oil giving China access to the Indian sea

. Trump CANNOT START A NUCLEAR STRIKE in peace time and there is no evidence of a mental health disorder

. Why hackers can't cause WWIII

. US and Russia withdrawing from INF treaty is not all about Europe - it's likely mainly to do with China

DEMOCRACY AND HUMAN RIGHTS

. Rise in populism not fascism - covers right wing, centrist, left wing, cross party and single issue politics

. Despite what many think, Trend is towards more democracy and income inequality average is unchanging worldwide

. Answer to worries about self driving cars and not being able to drive for yourself in the future - that is science fiction at present

·No the US / Australia / the West are NOT going to adopt a social credit system as a result of trials of facial recognition software - for criminal investigations by police

WAR

. Syria risk is for only a tiny percentage of the ISIS fighters

IRAN

. Iranian Death to America explained - doesn't mean what it seems to

. No US casualties at base, Iran appears to be standing down - NEVER was any risk of WW3 or the draft

. Yes Iran did a ballistic missile strike against US bases in Iraq - no US killed, some injuries - just retaliation not war - no risk of WWIII

. Mark Esper US secretary of defense says they killed Soliemani because of an imminent risk to US citizens within days - this makes a difference to the legality under international law of armed conduct

. Why Trump would lose votes if he started a major war with Iran

. A heartening story of a different kind of war in Iran - against desertification

. No Iran have not put a $80 million bounty on Trump's head

. Yes Trump said the US would target Iranian cultural sites but No - it is not credible that Generals and the Department of Defence target such sites - it is a war crime

. Iran did NOT threaten to kill UK troops - and Hezbollah will not target US civilians either

. There is no way you are going to be drafted in the US - and why a war would NOT help Trump get re-elected - the opposite.

. Simple answers to why we don't risk WWIII

. No Iran is not withdrawing from the deal - yes it is removing restrictions on uranium enrichment levels - but not actually increasing uranium enrichment further right now

. US killed Soleimani confirmed - big step in for tat with Iran - open war unlikely - no WWIII

. No - Iraqi protests at US embassy do not risk a war with US and Iran

. No - Iraqi protests at US embassy do not risk a war with US and Iran

. The US under Trump and Iran both want a deal

. Iran and Israel like rutting stags - they are careful not to escalate - not a risk of world war

. No a limited military strike on Iran would not lead to WW III - and is also unlikely to happen - Trump has found a neat way out

. Latest in Iran - UK to set up combined force with Europe to protect shipping - distancing itself from US - and how the UK could be an intermediary for eventual discussions between the US and Iran

. Some progress towards preserving Iran deal - Europe enables first sanction avoiding transactions with Iran just before it reaches 300 kg low enriched uranium

. US - Iran situation is not a personal risk for most people - even for sailors working on tankers in the region

. Latest on Iran - Trump seems to have ordered a strike on key military installations then canceled it

. Iran shooting down RQ- Hawk drone - not something to worry about but it shows its capabilities

. Another update on Iran - president Hassan Rouhani says they will not wage war against any Nation - and the US and everyone else concerned also say they do not seek conflict with Iran

. This is from some time back, but it gives the president’s of Iran’s views...

. Worst case for US - Iran - targeted strike on nuclear facilities

. Battle to prevent ‘deep fake’ is not the end of the internet

. Why the US can’t invade Iran

. No need to worry about oil tanker incident in gulf or Oman - no way that Iran and US will start a war - and nobody else would directly support either side in such a war

. No the US is not going to invade Iran - no achievable military objective

. No, the US and Iran are not about to go to war

. Don’t worry about the Iran guestures - they don’t want to start a nuclear war - it is all an attempt to find a way to sell oil to Europe.

. Trump and Rouhani (Iran) trade angry tweets - just posturing and groundless threats

. What next now that Trump has withdrawn from Iran deal? Deal continues for now - NOT WAR

YELLOWSTONE

. Why we don’t need to worry about the Steamboat Geyser in Yellowstone - a chance to see it if you visit Yellowstone, that’s all

. No, Yellowstone is not going to erupt as a supervolcano soon. No, it can’t destroy mankind!

. No - NASA do not have a risky plan to drill into Yellowstone potentially triggering an eruption

. What really happens if Yellowstone erupts as a supervolcano, or if some other supervolcano erupts?

. Debunked: North Korea plan to set off a supervolcano eruption by dropping a nuclear bomb on Yellowstone

. Campi Flegrei is not ready to collapse - thousands of years into the future most likely - also not quite a supervolcano

. We would have ample warning of a supervolcano eruption - centuries, or thousands of years

EARTHQUAKES

. Small earthquakes and movement of Garlock fault don't increase the risk of the California Big One

. No a magnitude 7.1 earthquake in Mexico does not mean the world will end - Nibiru myth gathering has as much logic as a bowerbird finding bright objects to line its nest

. Debunked: Every time we have a cluster of earthquakes, we must have a planet approaching Earth to cause them

. Earthquakes in California have no relevance at all to the New Madrid fault and earthquakes in Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama and Missisipi

. Small California earthquakes do not mean ‘Big one’ is more likely - a tsunami is not likely - megatsunami impossible - nothing can make California sink into the sea

. Small Earthquakes in the UK are normal

. Debunked: Earth’s rotation slowing down to cause extra earthquakes next year - sensationalized

. We are NOT having more earthquakes than usual - Earth is NOT going to crack open - and Nibiru is NONSENSE :) - also has a section on PROTECTION AGAINST EARTHQUAKES

. Why do we get earthquakes? Hint - it’s not because of Nibiru

. Debunked: End of world from ‘Earthquake swarm’ - Nov 17 or 19

. Debunked - California could fall into the sea or the Earth split open through earthquakes or continental drift

INTERNET LEGISLATION

. Yes Facebook can be ordered by the EU to remove illegal content for all its users worldwide - but ONLY IF it is ILLEGAL worldwide - EU court rules

. How bills pass into law in the US - and an executive order is NOT a law

. No need to worry about Call of Duty and other violent games being banned in US after Trump's speech

. Why Josh Hawley's bill about an alert after 30 minutes of social media use can't pass - he can't be serious

FALSE PROPHECY

. Viral Batshit crazy bullshit idea that freemasons will kill all white people north of the equator on 3rd November 2019 - most freemasons are white and live north of the equator :) - please don't try to make sense of this - it will mess with your mind

. Short explanation of why the Earth's crust can't slip - and why Montaigne's ideas are nuts

. Are you scared by a random future date someone shared? Perhaps this will help

. Warning about scam rapture site kbwealth4u - trying to sell you gold - DO NOT BUY IT

. Nothing to worry about with grasshoppers in Vegas or locusts in Yemen

. Past failed prophecies for 2019: M̶a̶r̶c̶h̶ ̶2̶1̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶ ̶-̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶9̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶ ̶-̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶3̶0̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶ ̶-̶ ̶J̶u̶l̶y̶ ̶2̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶ ̶-̶ ̶J̶u̶l̶y̶ ̶1̶2̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶ -̶J̶u̶l̶y̶ ̶1̶7̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶,̶̶ ̶A̶u̶g̶u̶s̶t̶ ̶1̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶,̶ ̶S̶e̶p̶t̶e̶m̶b̶e̶r̶ ̶2̶4̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶,̶̶-̶ ̶S̶e̶p̶t̶e̶m̶b̶e̶r̶ ̶2̶9̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶ ̶-̶ ̶N̶o̶v̶e̶m̶b̶e̶r̶ ̶3̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶

. Another very silly rapture prophecy for July 17, 2019

. The Simpsons is just humour and it doesn’t predict the future - e.g. it was natural to do a joke about Trump after he said he was thinking about running for president, as a showy figure just about everyone in the US had heard of

. The Brazilian Spiritualist Chico Xavier did not make this prophecy for <future date> - that we would join a peaceful galactic federation of advanced civilizations if we avoid nuclear war

THIRD TEMPLE AND JERUSALEM

. Why we don’t need to worry about a Jewish “third temple” or war between Israel and Palestine

. Jerusalem unrest about rights of Palestinians to self govern - not sacred sites or ‘Prophecy’

. Debunked: Idea: world is going to end soon because Trump recognized Jerusalem as capital of Israel

. The world is not about to end because of an urban fox that was seen in Jerusalem near to the Temple Mount

. 14th May - main event, US unveils plaque on old office building in Jerusalem

MISCELLANEOUS

. No, 500,000 people are not going to storm area 51, it’s just an internet joke

US CIVIL WAR

. Trump being silly again - the US would not break up in a civil war if he is impeached

BREXIT

. No Deal Brexit averted - diplomatic sources say EU poised for 3 month extension if Boris Johnson's deal doesn't go through

. What would the effect be of a “No deal” Brexit? Nuisances but not catastrophe

NIBIRU

. Short summary, why Nibiru is impossible

. Who else says Nibiru is nonsense?

. Short summary of why Nibiru is impossible - indeed, absurd - or any other planet flying past or hitting Earth

. Example of ridiculously silly Nibiru story for June 30

. Debunked: world to be hit by Siberian snow due to Nibiru - DUH - this is winter

. For REAL astronomers, Nibiru is FICTIONAL . If they say Nibiru is REAL, they are NOT A REAL astronomer

. How big our solar system is - NO EXTRA BIG PLANETS out to PLUTO and ‘NIBIRU’ is BONKERS

. Why Astronomers LOL at ‘Nibiru’

. Nonsense ‘Nibiru’ - like heavy penguins with tiny wings flying over central park in New York

. Another nonsense Nibiru story. The world is not going to be hit by an exploding planet in December

. The “Goblin” is not evidence of ‘Nibiru’ though it may be evidence of a planet that orbits permanently way way beyond distant Pluto

. Debunked: Nibiru SPOTTED? Bizarre 'red planet' appears beside moon sparking doomsday fears - just an offset double reflection of some sort

. Debunked: When will ‘Nibiru’ get here according to physics

. Isaac Newton predicted that Jesus would return AFTER 2060 (later revised to AFTER 2016) so NOT a prophecy - and ancient out of date protestant theology, rather than science

. Debunked: Shocking video shows Nibiru heading to Earth - Offset double reflections

. Asteroid resonances - why ‘Nibiru’ is impossible

. World will NOT END in December - Simple Tip - if a Story is about ‘Nibiru’ its NUTS unless it is a debunk

. Debunked: a planet orbiting a distant star is ‘Nibiru’ and endangers Earth

. Debunked: winged ‘Nibiru’ (Jet contrails) according to Yuval Ovadia

. Why a Mars sized ‘planet X’ which might exist way beyond Neptune is not Nibiru - and list of my Nibiru debunking posts

. Debunked: A comet will hit Earth and is a fragment of Nibiru - C/2017 K2 and A/2017 U1

. Nibiru is not in any constellation

. Nibiru is not in the Bible

. Why Nibiru is utter codswallop, bullshit, balderdash, humbug, poppycock, baloney, hogwash, hooey, rot, rubbish - and that means David Meade’s prophesies are too

. Debunked: Why is the sun red and the sky an orange colour? Does this mean the world is about to end because of ‘Nibiru’?

. If “Nibiru” were real and passed through our solar system - the chaos after one flyby

. Debunked: 2012 TC4 is “Nibiru” and will hit Earth

. No NASA CAN’T hide astronomical information about our sun, stars, planets, comets or asteroids - tens of thousands of professional astronomers and hundreds of thousands of amateurs keep a close eye on the day and night sky

. Venus is Nibiru :) At least the ancient Sumerians would have said so

. Why we’d spot “Nibiru” at least a decade before it got here - and it’s an impossible orbit anyway

. Debunked: David Meade has “revealed” the location of Nibiru - it’s in Virgo - and recomendations

. Do you now see that Nibiru is Impossible? Zoom in on Mars.

. Debunked: Brazilian senator Telmário Mota claims that NASA told him Nibiru will crash into Earth.

. If Nibiru was a real planet would we see it by now?

. When the sun rises or sets I see red clouds or a red sky in the opposite direction from the sun. Is this Nibiru or has it always done this?

. Debunked; NASA ‘hiding Red Dragon formation in space that PROVES planet Nibiru will destroy Earth’

. Comparing How David Meade Says he Found a New Planet With How Astronomers Do It

. Why Nibiru is as Daft as an Extra Continent in the Pacific

. Debunked: There is a planet Nibiru within striking distance of Earth and due to hit us / flyby in the near future

. Debunked: David Meade secret photos of Nibiru

. Why Nibiru is as daft as a Hippo in my Kitchen

. Debunked: Nibiru on its way after being seen during solar eclipse

. Debunked: We need to find a way to deflect “Nibiru” - and how did this modern myth get started? (talks about Nancy L eider and Zecharia Sitchin)

. Will the August Eclipse show Nibiru? No - but you get to see four bright planets, including Mercury which is normally hard to spot :)

. Debunked: The world will end because ‘It’s a sign’ (als

. Nemesis does NOT exist, it is a disproved theory that predicted a possible mass extinction 15 MILLION YEARS in the future

. Analogy of an African elephant with Planet X / Nibiru

. Debunked: NASA or other organizations have huge mirrors in space that hide Nibiru and create a fake sun, in order to avoid scaring us (‘sun simulator’)

. Debunked: Planet 9 is Nibiru (Again)

. Debunked: TRAPPIST 1 is Nibiru

. Debunked: this bank note shows the orbit of “Nibiru”

.No, NASA or other organizations do NOT have huge mirrors or lenses in space that hide Nibiru and create a fake sun (‘sun simulator’) - indeed this is impossible to do with our technology

. Debunked: One of Trumps first actions on becoming president was to sign executive orders about Nibiru

. Debunked: Earth will be visited in 2017 by ancient beings from Nibiru who visited us before thousands of years ago

. Debunked: Nibiru fragment to strike Earth in February

. Debunked: Because Eris is further away from New Horizons than it is from Earth, therefore it is Nibiru and is about to hit Earth and is causing climate change and earthquakes

. Debunked: Rich people are buying bunkers to escape from Nibiru

. Is Nibiru a Hoax? (Answer YES!)

. Debunked: Nibiru will hit or fly past Earth in September (or October or November) 2017 - David Meade’s “prophecy”

. Debunked: The Vatican built a huge telescope, one of the largest in the world, to track Nibiru

. Debunked: You should always read both sides of the argument about Nibiru - or indeed anything

. Debunked: ALMA’s Gna (if it exists) is Nibiru

. Debunked: This is a leaked video from NASA showing how Nibiru is about to disrupt the entire solar system

. Why so many people post sightings of “Nibiru” - and why not “Santa” instead?

. Debunked: Nemesis or Tyche is Nibiru

.Wormwood” in the Bible could mean almost anything - but not an asteroid, planet or star and not Nibiru which is impossible

. No, astronomers such as Robert Harrington do NOT get murdered by the secret agencies for talking about Planet X - his theory was disproved before he died and he died of throat cancer

. Debunked: Those who say Nibiru is real say that we should be scared and worried - are they right?

. Nibiru Debunked: Yes, we deserve to know the truth about Nibiru

. Debunked: This is a “Winged planet” and is Nibiru - and “missing section” in Google Sky

. Debunked: Nibiru is at coordinates …

. Debunked: The US government is building vast underground bunkers to escape from Nibiru

. Nibiru Bullshit Tester - How to check if they know anything about astronomy

. Debunked: Everyone who says Nibiru is not real is lying

. Debunked: This tablet from the ancient Sumerians depicts 12 planets including Nibiru

. Debunked: Carlos Muñoz Ferrada discovered Nibiru

. Debunked: Niku is Nibiru

. Nibiru is so scary because it isn’t real - what can you do to prevent something that isn’t real?

. Debunked - Nibiru will hit Earth between January and March 2017 - or any range of dates like that

. Why the idea of Nibiru seems non refutable - and how does astronomy really work?

. Debunked: The IRAS infrared satellite found Nibiru in 1983

. Where can I get support if I’m scared of Nibiru / Doomsday maybe even suicidal?

. Debunked: Nibiru has been found on Google Sky

. Debunked: How can it be false when so many people share photos of “Nibiru”

. Debunked: Nibiru is invisible because it is a brown dwarf or made of dark matter

. Debunked: A planet in a 3600 year orbit can hide behind the sun for years on end

. Debunking: Think how stupid you will feel if Nibiru is real - example of computer programmer

. No, NASA has NOT been tracking “Planet X” for decades - “X” here means unknown - just hypothesized - many “planet X”s including the one that became Pluto - they can’t come closer than Uranus though Pluto does cross Neptune’s orbit in a resonance

. I understand that Nibiru is not real but still feel scared all the time - what can I do?

. Debunked: The government is deliberately flying planes back and forth in front of the sun to obscure evidence of a second sun or a planet Nibiru which otherwise you’d be able to see at sunrise and sunset. - this is about the idea of hiding the sun with contrails

. Debunked: Nibiru will hit Earth on [Insert Date here]

. No, NASA is NOT getting ready to Capture Planet X / Nibiru on Camera - just using photographs to search for a hypothetical planet that might orbit permanently well beyond very distant Neptune (UPDATE: didn't see anything yet)

. Debunked: Doomsday Stories like Nibiru must be true because lots of people believe they are true

. Debunking: You can’t trust anyone except the Nibiru people - everyone else is a paid shill of the government or in some other way motivated to propogate falsehoods

. Debunking: Planet 9 is Nibiru

NOT YET PUT INTO THESE CATEGORIES

. Another unreliable article from Techdirt - about draft EU e-commerce directive update

. If strong AI was possible - future AI more like Marvin in Hitchhiker’s guide than Terminator

. Nothing to worry about - New CASE law before Congress could simplify small copyright claims - is opt out

. No, scientists are not opening a portal into a ‘mirror universe’

. Study about possible asteroids in Taurid stream helps protect us from asteroids - and if they exist - none can come near us this time

. On Magnetars, muons, gamma ray bursts, black holes and Phil Plait’s now out of date book

. Withdrawn report about US tactical nukes not a big deal - US, Russia and Pakistan already have them - to deter invasion by overwhelming conventional forces

. No the world is not going to end because of fish in sink holes near the Dead Sea

. Josh Hawley’s bill on Section 230 to force social media to be ‘politically neutral’ is just a political statement - not expected to pass

. No need to worry about effect of Article 13 / 17 on fan art

. No need to worry about Antila 2, it passed through our galaxy a billion years ago

. 2006 QV89 asteroid - NO HAZARD - most likely next impact splosh in pacific - shorter version of article, in pictures

. Asteroid 2006 QV89 Classified NO HAZARD - Expected To Miss - Most Likely Next Asteroid Impact - Harmless Splosh In Ocean

. Plan to alter Earth’s orbit - this is far future and nothing to be scared of - Annotated Daily Express

. No Jesus did not appear in Argentina

. Understanding the NASA Sentry Earth impact montoring table

. Why we have a problem with sensationalist news in Google News, Apple News and Facebook Trending

. Grey whale is not even classified as threatened any more - and prospects are good in a warming world

. Debunked - 2028 false prophecy about a 6000 year old world created by God for entertainment because he was bored

. 24 ways the world is getting better - good news journalists rarely share

. There are a few places without an elected government, Northern Ireland doesn't have a government ...

. Yes the Moon is shrinking, very slightly - this is harmless and interesting

. No risk from something ‘punching a hole’ in our galaxy - distant, harmless and even beings living there probably never noticed

. Why the US is not headed towards civil war

. Debunked last pope prophecy - an early example of fake news (1590)

. NO Trump can’t stay in power if he is voted out in 2020 - US constitution and three branches of government prevent it

. Asteroid strike on twitter for 2019 PDC on April 29, 2027 is a FICTIONAL EVENT - like Dungeons and Dragons

. Ambiguous Rapper lyric does not mean all US citizens will die in 2020

. A closer look at TERREG EU removal order for terrorist content - Internet digital rights are okay

. Debunked: Nancy Pelosi and Elizabeth Warren want to destroy the internet by revoking section 230

. No need to be scared of Tim McHyde’s dreams about 2022 and 2026 (which you need to pay $10 to read)

. Black hole photo - cool physics - a day astronomers will remember for centuries - nothing to be scared

. Why you don’t need to be scared of the EU TERREG draft directive to help stop extremist videos

. Ronald Weinland - false prophet J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶9̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶9̶ pay no attention to him

. On 10th April ESA may release first photograph of a black hole - Sagittarius A - far away and harmless

. Killer frog disease - the declines peaked in 1980, it’s nothing new.

. Random harmless asteroid picked up by the sensationalist press - 2014 MV67

. About article 13 - not going to kill the internet - that’s just hyperbole and hysteria

. Why a rogue planet, black hole, neutron star or star would be easy to spot long before it could get here

. No we won’t have large scale water wars - price of water is too low, below price of desalination for long distance transport - sometimes countries with shared rivers have conflicts but most water issues are resolved amicably with water agreements

. New video - Did you know, NASA have NEVER issued any ASTEROID ALERT - with text of video

. Rabbi Chaim Kanievsky’s prophesy for March 21 is a prophesy of peace and he does it most years, often many times a year

. Relaxing videos for the easily panicked - guided meditations, self hypnosis, meditation and ambient sounds

. Did you know, NASA have NEVER issued any ASTEROID ALERT - most likely future warning: Tiny Asteroid to Splosh Harmlessly in Pacific Ocean

. Some past asteroid impact fake news stories

. Some of the telescopes looking out for asteroids every single day

. What next with the India / Pakistan conflict? Not risking nuclear war, that’s highly unlikely

. Why you don’t need to be scared of asteroid 2006 QV89

. Asteriod 2010 GD37 (1.26 km) is NOT EXPECTED TO HIT EARTH in December 2019 - and NO, NASA did not issue an impact warning!

. There is a useful analogy in this rather alarmist article, if we correct it we can maybe get a be...

. Trump won’t have unlimited powers - his emergency powers have to be declared and it is likely to have legal challenges and Congress can stop the emergency

. Nothing to worry about - yes a Rabbi Kanievsky says that their Messiah is about to arrive - he says that just about every year and for Jews it is a message of hope for a future of great peace and happiness worldwide

. Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD) does kill deer but there is no evidence of it harming humans - and it is nothing to do with zombies

. Two astronomers think that June may be a good month to look for small asteroids, probably passing by further away than the moon - nothing to be scared of

. A Daily Express random harmless asteroid alert - 2019 CB2 - nothing to worry about at all

. Does it matter about huge hole beneath fast melting Antarctic Thwaites Glacier? No this is already known but studying it can tell us details about how much sea level rise to expect

. Scientists expected warmer water below Thwaites glacier in Antarctica

. In real life a million to one chance means it is NOT likely to happen - why you don’t need to worry about false vacuum, black holes etc

. False prophets are ‘paper tigers’ - no need to worry about them

. Nothing to worry about ‘Big Rip’ or Dark Energy’s strength increase

. Yes the US has suspended the INF treaty - but that does NOT mean nuclear war - and about the low yield weapons

. Relax, 2002 NT7 will not hit Earth on 1st February - it is already millions of kilometers away and flying further away every day

. No need to worry about a black hole jet at center of galaxy pointed our way - loads of dust and gas in between

. Doomsday clock announcement - the “new abormal” - and about the power of the internet for good as well as fake news

. Background to: Big rise in atmospheric CO2 expected in 2019

. What is the doomsday clock going to do? Please don’t be scared either way.

. Why are there no annoucements about 2002 NT7 from NASA? Because it is harmless and uninteresting to them

. We do have an asteroid detection system. That is how the astronomers found 2002 NT7. Using LINEAR...

. What to expect for this lunar eclipse

. Asteroid searches still continue during the shutdown

. No need to be scared of a plague of locusts in Mecca - they are harmless

. New Zealand Tsunami or Megatsunami?

. Debunked - Russian torpedo supposed to create megatsunamis - more like a big splash - our nuclear weapons don’t have enough power for ocean crossing tsunamis

. Why you don’t need to be scared of the Apophis asteroid in 2029 or 2036 and easy to deflect before 2060 - NOW REMOVED

. No, the world is not going to end during the next lunar eclipse (‘blood moon’) - Paul Begley at it again

. Update on 2002 NT7 - flew past at a great distance, 16.50 UTC today 13th January - that's further away than Mars at its closest

. Debunked, David Montaigne’s claim that the world will end in December 2019 due to planets passing in front of distant stars

. No, the large magellanic cloud will NOT wipe out all life on Earth two billion years from now.

. Why you don’t need to worry about asteroid 2002 NT7

. No need to be scared of US government shut down or national emergency

. The conjunction of Venus with the Moon is harmless, just the Moon passing between us and the very distant Venus

. No, a second big bang is not about to rip our universe in half - click bait Daily Express sensationalism

. Asteriod 2017 Rh26 removed from the impact risk monitoring list

. Debunked: Agenda 21. Left wing governments DO NOT have a plan to depopulate the world

. No need to worry about the “mysterious seismic wave”

. No, the world is not going to explode because of sea water sinking into subduction zones

. What is that very bright light moving across the sky silently? Spotting the ISS

. Why you don’t need to be scared of the Apep potential gamma ray burst star - not pointed our way

. How to avoid fake doomsday news

. Nothing to worry about - ‘Dark matter hurricane’ - if it exists, has blown through Earth for all human history and we don’t notice a thing

. Breaking Israel News - sensationalist Israeli paper with stated aim to repackage Jewish prophecy to appeal to Bible belt Christians to bring money from them to Israel

. Did a solar sail from an extra terrestrial civilization fly past us last year - is that what Oumuamua is? Just a rather far fetched but entertaining article in Scientific American by Harvard researchers

. Many religious views about the world ending or not

. You don’t need to be scared the world will end because of a dream by a six year old child

. US to withdraw from INF nuclear treaty - NOT START OF A WAR - what’s next and what’s the background to Trump’s announcement?

. Yes YouTube was down for 90 minutes - nothing to worry about, just a nuisance

. Why we don’t need to worry about the flyby of Gleise 710, over a million years into the future.

. Why you don’t need to worry about the “spooky skull” asteroid- flies past millions of miles away

. EAS message will Just be: “THIS IS A TEST of the National Wireless Emergency Alert System. No action is needed.”

. What did Ambassador Hutchison really say and what did it mean about “take out” the Russian weapons?

. Debunked: Earth to shrink to 330 feet as result of particle experiment

. Why you don’t need to be scared of Jakob Lober’s prophecy of the world ending 2000 years after Jesus died (He didn’t actually say 2033)

. Neutrino bursts in Antarctic ice may lead to exciting discoveries about distant objects in our universe - nothing to worry about - first instance of a “neutrino telescope”

. Past dates debunked to cross out: ̶A̶u̶g̶u̶s̶t̶ ̶4̶t̶h̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶8̶; ̶J̶u̶l̶y̶ ̶2̶1̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶8̶; ̶J̶u̶l̶y̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶8̶; ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶2̶4̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶8̶; ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶2̶1̶,̶ ̶2̶0̶1̶8̶ …..

.Chance” of false vacuum collapse (Higgs vacuum decay) so small - in ordinary language it is not realistic and not possible - helping you to understand how scientists speak

. Why the sunspot solar observatory could not have spotted an asteroid - it was shut down because of a criminal investigation by the FBI of an individual at the observatory

. Debunked: FBI shut down solar observatory because we are about to have a super flare - JUST NO!

. Debunked: FBI closed down solar observatory to hide the sun?! Or for aliens?! - NOT - so what is it?

. No president Trump didn’t set a date for the rapture - he subscribes to the ‘Prosperity gospel’ - not a believer in the third temple prophecy

. No the world will NOT end because a Red cow (heifer) is born in Israel or sacrificed in Israel - a common breed of cow is red - Jewish temple is about a future of peace - Israel government won’t permit it because of risk of building in wrong place

. Debunked: No we are not on track for end of world by 1972 computer model (Limits to growth)

. You can’t trust ‘Fox news’ on doomsday related topics - as bad as the red top tabloids - proved without going into politics

. Debunked: “Gravitational waves could collide sucking Earth into a black hole” - nothing to do with either Earth or our known universe

. Debunked: 7 dates when the world will probably end (NOT)

. How we know 2002 NT7 will not hit Earth on 1st February 2019 - and it is normal for asteroids to be removed from the Sentry Earth Impact Monitoring table

. What is the fuss about 5g and can it harm us?

. Debunked: that the world will end under the current Pope Francis

. Blocked from editing Wikipedia indefinitely, but saved from a site ban

. Will the year 2038 problem with times cause issues?

. Just in the middle of a really silly tiresome thing on Wikipedia, sorry everyone!

. Roger Penrose’s circles in the sky from a previous universe (if they exist) - fun - not scary

. Ethos, Pathos and Logos - three ways of persuading people and how this helps with Doomsday Debunking

. Debunked: Air force silent after huge meteor hits near US military base

. Debunked: Earth is running out of resources to sustain life

. Distant planet larger than Jupiter is harmless to Earth. 4–5 times further away than nearest stars

. Not as scary as it seems: Planet at risk of heading towards “Hothouse Earth” state

. Debunked: Steven Fletcher’s false 4th August prophecy - from Kevin Heckle’s Astronomical Discovery in Revelation

. Debunked - Russian unstoppable nuclear torpedo

. Debunked: Why does Google Translate sometimes translate nonsense into end times messages

. Governments can’t and don’t hide news of upcoming distasters - just a movie “trope”

z Why you don’t need to worry about the planets “lining up” - total tides a few mm, a little over 0.7 mm extra for every ten meters of sea level rise from the sun and moon

. Why you don’t need to worry about archaeologists opening a Black Sarcophagus in Egypt

. Comet C/2017 S3 green ball size of Jupiter - is harmless to Earth

. Eye of God and God walking in clouds - just examples of Pareidolia - picking out patterns

. Staring at the sun is bad for your eyes - so what do you do if you are scared we may have a second sun?

. No, Vesta is not going to buzz or hit Earth. It is not going to be a brght yellow star in the sky. You will need a telescope to see it

. Debunked: World to end on July 27 because of a “blood moon” again - just the moon passing through shadow tinted by sunrise and susnet

. Debunked 5 asteroids and a neutron star headed for Earth - not true - nearly every sentence in this video is mistaken and it is scaring children as young as 7

. June 24 prophecy yet again - utter nonsense

. Debunked: world to end on 70th Jubilee Pentacost June 21 2018 (or some time in the fall 2017 or 23rd September 2015 or …)

. Tips for Biblical false prophecy debunkers for Doomsday Debunked

. Please don’t take Shane Dawson’s upcoming video about human extinction seriously - actor and comedian who doesn’t check things

. Tips for Doomsday Debunked debunkers

. End of world dialogs between anxious (but joyful) Zoe and laid back Sam from AD 52 to AD 10 million :).

. Daft origin of Mathieu Jean-Marc Joseph Rodrigue’s 24th June date in early versions of his blog post

. Now you too can make a random false prophecy of silly or fun things - this time with count down timer

. Debunk for ANYONE who says the world will end on some date based on the Bible - try your hand at a random false prophecy yourself

. For an Earth resident to be scared of ‘Planet 9’ hitting Earth is as absurd as a skyscraper resident being scared of a collision with blue whales

. Suggestion for a way to use failed prophecies to innoculate yourself against the next false prophecy

. Now you too can be a "Random False Prophet" of a tartan planet buzzing Earth, a hailstorm in your local park, or the antics of a cute kitten

. Why you NEVER need to worry about stories about monster black holes

. The Hawaii eruptions are normal - nothing to worry about

. Gaps in the clouds or clouds lit up by the sun are not planets buzzing Earth

. No need to be scared of Yanny versus Laurel - started as question by high school student Katie Hetzel and retweeted by Chloe Feldman- not a government cover up

. Why put your faith in false prophets of doomsday - would you put your faith in false prophets of hailstorms?

. Trump’s Christianity - the Prosperity Gospel - not a believer in the 3rd Temple prophecy - and Pompeo and Pence’s beliefs>

. Note to doctors - False Doomsday panic attacks result from believing extraordinarily scary fake news - not delusions - more likely Generalized Anxiety Disorder than Schizophrenia

. Why you can ignore all date setting prophecies based on the Bible - no dates in it

. Debunked: That antibiotics will stop working in the future

. Debunked: giant cracks, in deserts and Antarctic ice sheets, mean the poles have shifted and the world will end - NOPE

. Debunked: Bible says world will end on May 20 2018 Pentecost

. Will you be forced to have a “mark of the beast” chip implant to buy anything - and is this the end of the world? Answer: NO and NO

. How to check if an asteroid impact story is fake - colour coded alert levels

. Yes, Near Certainty Hit By Tiny Asteroid Within Centuries - Chance It Hits You Miniscule - $50 Million Could Retire 70% Of Risk

. Why you can safely ignore the April 23 Doomsday from the Daily Express

. Daniel 70 week prophecy date setting debunked - and 14th May 70th Jubilee of Israel not end of world

. Debunked: Just before Stephen Hawking died he warned of an alien invasion this year - NO!

. Debunked: Albert Pike predicted both world wars with uncanny accuracy and predicted ww3

. Why we don’t need to worry about artificial intelligence

. County Bluff’s latest troll - if you forget even your name as you fall asleep - this is normal. It happens every night

. So now you are celebrating surviving the end of the world - but expect after effects for a few weeks

. What are Trolls? 43 6f 75 6e 74 79 42 6c 75 66 66 20 69 73 20 61 20 74 72 6f 6c 6c

. 18th April date in #strayedaway story from self admitted troll promoting soundcloud album

. Beware of trolls - strayedaway is a simple prank that went wrong, not an Alternative Reality Game (ARG) and nothing to do with Cicada 3301

. More about Syrian strike - one time shot, Russians confirm they were not targeted, meeting of UN security council today

. US strikes - very limited and response from Russia not likely

. How a message wrapped in a puzzle can make you gullible to trolls - examples of Stopswitchproxy, County Bluff and Strayedaway

. Why you don’t need to be scared of asteroids - far less risk than lightning or even the very rare risk of death from a giant hailstone

. David Meade once more - April 23 - this time covered by Fox News, shame on them!

. Richard Hass on the Syrian situation and US military intervention

. Debunked - the idea that a NATO co-ordinated millitary strike on Syrian airbases will lead to WW3

. Why we don’t need to fear an alien invasion

. The absurd story of #strayedaway - FAKE FAKE FAKE!

. Proof that twitter user Ty@HOMOC1DE is not the same as the original Ty@strayedaway

. No, President Erdogan of Turkey is not the “Anti-Christ”

. Tiaongong-1 latest prediction

. Twitter storm still continuing - strangest thing about #strayedaway is that anyone fell for the prank

. Debunked: 4 hours to the end of the world - not true!

. The Strayedaway MH370 voice mail prank by 15 year old girl - some of the absurdities including co-ordinates in the middle of the land!

. Debunked: Daily Mail story about Tiangong -1 space station crashing to Earth with toxic chemicals

. 18th April prophecy is fake - from 80 year old researcher Ludwig Schneider who had lapse of memory about Judah ben Samuel

. John Bolton as new security adviser - will this make Trump more likely to start a war?

. Debunk of creepy MH370 voice mail SOS - evacuate etc (3)

. No need to fear universe may end in collision with bubble of nothingness (false vacuum from collapse of Higgs boson)

. Dr Claudia Albers is not a top physicist - she’s an ex physics lecturer who has gone a bit dotty

. Debunked v2 - prank: sDanger SOS it is dire for you to evacuate be cautious they are not human - NONSENSE

. Debunked: Daily Express click bait title about nerve agent episode in the UK to start WW3

. Earth pays no notice to the many false prophecies of its immediate demise

. Debunked - prank: sDanger SOS it is dire for you to evacuate be cautious they are not human - like pink suitcase street theater

. Ignore fake doomsdays from Next News Network

. Debunked: end of world because Billy Graham has died - and daft David Meade again

. Debunked - Bible says Damascus will be destroyed and cities in Syria deserted for ever

. Debunked: Nuclear Winter and Radioactive Fallout myths - Nuclear winter is out of date science - and most radioactivity is gone in hours to days - and most of what is left is very localized

. Debunked - David Meade at it again

. What President Putin actually said - not threatening war but continuing the idea of their nuclear deterrent as a way to preserve peace

. Debunked: Globalization might cause a nuclear war

. Baba Vanga NEVER MADE any of those predictions and Nostradamus NEVER MADE predictions for any year after 2000 - Nostradamus made one prediction for 1999 which failed

. Debunked: Nuclear Winter

. Quick “it’s trash” checklist for fake doomsdays

. Debunked - that we are at danger from hypervelocity stars - or colliding galaxies - and some other absurdities from cracked . com

. Debunked - Daily Express story that a 40 meter asteroid passing harmlessly at a distance of tens of thousands of miles risks ending the world

. Charles Hapgood’s out of date theory - no the Earth’s poles can’t shift suddenly

. Earth’s magnetic poles CAN’T swap suddenly, often swap slowly over centuries and this CAN’T make parts of Earth uninhabitable

. Short summary - why the super blue blood moon on Jan 31 can’t harm us

. The Doomsday Clock is more accurately a ‘Symbolic clock for averting disasters’

. A lunar eclipse is just the light from sunsets and sunrises shining on the distant Moon - and it is so far away that at the speed of Concorde it would be a week of flying, day and night to get there - nothing to be scared of!

. Why a super blue ‘blood’ red (or sunrise or sunset red) moon is nothing to worry about

. Why ‘Potentially Hazardous Object’ Asteroid 2002 AJ129 is no risk at all to Earth

. Debunked: Bible predicts Armagedon on June 24 2018 - No - it doesn’t

. Awful FALSE Christmas Eve video claiming a small nuclear exchange will plunge the world into a deep freeze -25 C average temperatures - by director general of Futurism

. Most Christians say the rapture is a false doctrine - and why you don’t need to be scared of a ‘rapture’ if you aren’t a Christian - or indeed, if you are

. Could the interstellar asteroid Oumuamua be an alien probe? No not likely everything can be explained naturally

. Is the NASA Kepler announcement anything to worry about? No - perhaps planet around nearby dim star?

. Why fires in California are part of the natural order and not a sign the world will end.

. Being scared doesn’t mean there is anything to be scared of - and how to get out of the prophecy trap

. Debunked - the Moon isn’t real - it’s a ‘Moon simulator’

. Debunked: 5 times more likely to die of human extinction than a car accident

. Debunked: Ice Apocalypse - Rapid collapse of Antarctic glaciers could flood coastal cities

. Debunked: not 1 in 20 chance of humans facing “Apocalyptic” climate change - actually is action plan to help prevent worst effects

. Debunked: Asteroid Phaethon headed for Earth on December 16 before Christmas

. What is causing loud booms recently? Hint - they are not part of an announcement that the world is about to end

. Debunked: Gliese 710 threatens Earth 1.3 million years into our future and is the first of many such stars

. Can Apophis hit Earth in 2036? Answer NO - Recycled Ancient ‘News’ In ‘Tabloid Fish-Wrapper’

. More reassurance for those scared by Terral Croft’s fantasy

. What Terral Croft says will happen - ‘Black star’ on FAR SIDE OF SUN - not ‘Nibiru’ buzzing Earth

. Debunked Terral Croft’s ‘Black Star’ false prophecy again

. STOP PRESS: Earth Buzzed by Surprise Tartan Planet NOT Black Star

. Debunk of video of talk by Jason Martell

. Shows how anyone can type anything into a YouTube video or live feed title.

. How to add and block sources in Google News

. Debunked: Doomsday warning to humanity is signed by 15000 scientists

. Asteroid 1950 DA will NOT end civilization in 2880 - not large enough, pretty certain to miss, easy to deflect

. I’m afraid of dying, can you help?

. My letter for the petition: “To Google - please do something about the nonsense in Google News!”

. Debunked: Top Story in Google News that Earth is endangered by a large planet orbiting a distant star

. No, we are NEVER in any danger from an alignments of planets - and Patrick Moore’s April’s Fool Prank - less than a mm of tides for each 10 meters of tides from the sun and Moon

. Debunked: 10 Times The World Almost Ended By Accident

. Why do people make so many fake doomsday prophecies and predictions?

. Debunked: Stephen Hawking’s predictions of the world ending

. Debunked: That we are at risk from a plague outbreak in Madagascar which turns people into zombies

. We can never have a “Zombie Apocalypse” - zombies are fictional

. Debunked: Earth at danger from X-rays from a ‘hole in the sun’

. Debunked: Sounds of trumpets in the air are a sign the world is about to end

. Why we don’t need to fear ‘The zombie star that wouldn’t die’ IPTF14hls

. Debunked: Stephen Hawking says Earth will become blazing ball of fire by 2600

. The EXPRESS often runs 2 or 3 FAKE DOOMSDAY STORIES PER DAY

. Three more absurd articles in the Express claiming the world will end next year

. Debunked: Stephen Hawking says that AI could be the best, or worst, thing to happen to humanity - and the idea that chatbots like ‘Sofia’ are intelligent

. New: Google News Without All The Nonsense - Top Astronomy News - Top Space Mission News - Top Science News

. Google News Without Fake News

. Pastor Paul Begley’s latest false prophecy

. Answer to question: Why don’t you get scared by all the end of the world stories you debunk?

. Debunked: that we need to worry about a false vacuum decay

. Debunked: End of world from ‘Black Star’ on November 19

. What’s the background to all this news about possibly the first interstellar asteroid A 2017 / U1

. Astronomy Bullshit Tester - how to deal with the flood of fake “astronomy news” on Apple and Google News

. Daily Express, Daily Star, Mirror, Sun, Planet X News, all publish FAKE PROPHECIES. Google News doesn’t have a fake news filter

. Debunked: A Nearby Neutron Star Collision Could Cause Calamity on Earth

. Debunked: ‘It should NOT EXIST’ Hadron Collider scientists fear universe could DIE at any moment

. Review of David Meade’s book - “Planet X - The 2017 Arrival” - a plagiarized scrap book

. Please don’t try to make sense of David Meade’s prophesies

. David Meade’s book content - draft

. Debunked: At risk from megatsunami from the Canary Isles - La Palma

. How to avoid the Daily Express (also the Sun, Daily Star, etc)

. Debunked: Apocalypse WARNING: Earth will CRACK sparking end of the world on HALLOWEEN

. For those scared of David Meade’s October dates

. How we know David Meade is a “Prophet for Profit”

. Latest on 2012 TC4 - passing at 72% of the distance to the Moon

. Trump: “Must it be today Jesus? Three years left of my presidency!” David Meade’s bonkers prophesies for October

. David Meade’s response - ‘Your letter indicates you have not read my book at all’

. Email to David Meade: ‘Effects of your prophesies on young children who become sick and suicidal’

. David Meade and Daily Express etc are Prophets for Profit - and what to do if you are still scared

. Debunking ‘Prophet for Profit’ Matt Rogers - why pink sunsets are normal - and how the Earth’s pole shifts only slowly over 26,000 years.t

. Debunked: Why is the Moon so large and why does it move so quickly through the sky?

. .Prophesy by the “Three sisters of Fatima” has already been fulfilled according to the Catholici church - and only recognized by Catholic church

. YouTube channels to avoid - constantly post fake end of world videos

. There is no astrology in the Bible - it even warns against it

. Why nothing can eclipse the sun today, 5th October

. What to do if someone shares a photograph of what they say is a second sun

. Debunking: End of world date setting and numerology

. Tips from CBT - might help some of you to deal with doomsday anxieties

. Why it’s normal to see the Moon in daytime and other fun facts about moon phases

. How is it that anyone could believe we have two suns? Or the poles shifted or an extra planet in our solar system?

. Where can I find science and astronomy news that doesn’t over exaggerate effects on humans of anything potentially harmful like super volcanoes, earthquakes, asteroids, supernovae etc etc?

. Debunked: David Meade saw his sign on Sept 23 where he lived

. What is this - sunrise with what looks like a second sun rising? (includes explanation of offset lens reflection)

. About the Daily Express

. David Meade’s latest prediction - Gna is not a threat to Earth

. David Meade’s daft near future predictions - reality check for those of you scared of new dates in October

. David Meade’s Book ranking high on Amazon

. Views on Rev 12 by Catholics, Quakers, Church of England, Church of Scotland, and Evangelical Churches

. Draft letter to the Guardian to propose an op ed for Guardian Opinion

. Seven tips for dealing with doomsday fears

. Nonsense of Time Zones for David Meade’s prediction

. World Didn’t End - And No End of World Streaming from ISS - FAKE NEWS ALERT

. Summary for those still worried

. Ambient sounds for relaxing sleep

. Who is David Meade and why is his “prophesy” news?

. A Constellation giving birth to a son then wandering in a desert??

. What is the background - what does the Bible say and why can’t everyone agree?

. Total eclipse: 21st, Harvey hit Texas: 25th, flooded Houston: 26th. Luke 21: 25–26 is about the End of Days - Does this mean the world is about to end?

. Have astronomers found “planet X” and is it about to hit Earth?

. Why It Is Absolutely Fine Not to Listen to Bullshitters

. This 23rd prediction thing is not particularly Christian!

. Why David Meade Hasn’t “Predicted the Future Using Signs and Numerology”

. The world is NOT going to end on 23rd September - FAKE PROPHET ALERT

. Debunked: NASA has confirmed planet X and it is about to hit Earth or fly past Earth

. Debunked - World to end on September 23 - and Hurricanes + fires + earthquake in Mexico prove it.

. Debunked: If I can just get past the next “End of the World” prediction then I will be able to forget about it

o goes into numerology and spurious coincidences)

. Debunked: If a planet was about to hit Earth in a month or two from now, it would be visibly larger than the Moon already

ANSWERS FROM HERE ON ARE IN THE PDF AND SINGLE WEB PAGE

. Why the eclipse this August is a wonder of nature and not something to be scared of

. Debunked: hidden asteroids in new branch of Taurid stream will devastate Earth

. Debunked: Asteroid called 3BC2017 will kill millions in June

. Debunked: Mysterious 'anomaly' linked to ancient apocalyse mass extinction discovered in The Falklands

. Debunked: Our sun was born with an “evil twin” which may have wiped out the dinosaurs

. Review of End Day (2005 BBC docudrama) - Megatsunamis, Asteroid Impacts, Particle accelerator strangelets / black holes / vacuum bubble

. Debunked: Stephen Hawking says humans have only 100 years left on this planet

. Debunked: 'This is NOT a hoax' Asteroid strike will kill millions in JUNE, shocking video claims

. Debunked: Horacio Avila Villegas prophecy that we will have a nuclear war in October 2017 because of a vision by the three Fatima sisters a century ago

. Debunked: A huge black hole 8 billion light years away endangers Earth

. Paul Lavoilete’s Galactic superwave theory is junk science - we’d spot such an event in another galaxy to the most distant regions of the universe - none out of a trillion galaxies is doing this - and it makes no physical sense

. Debunked: We are headed towards a new ice age (Grand Solar Minimum)

. Why a bright light shining on clouds during a sunset is not a passing planet

. Debunked: Scared because the Sun and Moon rise at different times in different places each day, and sometimes the Moon is visible in daytime.

. What it would be like if we really had two suns (or three in this case)

. Debunked: No the Large Hadron Collider will NOT create mini black holes that will destroy the world - if it ever makes them they must be produced harmlessly in the atmosphere all the time

. Debunked - The obituary of the teenage girl who committed suicide in 2011 is fake

. Debunked: birds singing at night are a sign the world will end

. Why you probably don’t have a “phobia” if you are scared of asteroid impacts, two suns, Nibiru, etc

. Debunked: Mountain sized asteroid 2014 UR116 headed towards Earth

. Debunked: No, we are NOT headed for a magnetic pole shift in less than centuries and it won’t do much whenever it happens - our descendants wlll need slightly better protected satellites and more sun block cream on sunny days during the reversal

. Debunked: 2016 WF9 to hit Earth and trigger mega-tsunamis February 16th or 25th 2017 - says Dr Dyomin Damir Zakharovich

. No, Earth is NOT threatened by a supernova - we know the local stars well and there are no stars that can go supernova close enough to harm us

. Debunked: Doomsday becoming one minute closer

. Why we don’t need to be scared of the “Doomsday clock” (short version)

. Debunked: No, Russia is NOT building a cobalt bomb - NO WAY to make the entire East coast of the US uninhabitable for decades - and closest to a true “doomsday” weapon but it wouldn’t work and nobody has made one

. List of news sites that have run false reports that Earth is about to be hit by an asteroid

. List of newspapers that run fake or unchecked Doomsday “news”

. Debunked: World to end on Friday 13th because of a Full Moon and Venus at its brightest (NOT) for eight years, both in the sky together.

. Debunked: World To End After Two Snowy Days In Salento, Puglia, Southern Italy, Tears On Macedonia Icon

. Debunked: NOT TRUE that a new supernova star will appear in the sky in 2022 and be a sign of the end of the world - prediction was NOT even a supernova - a red nova, faint as the pole star - and prediction retracted - mistake in the data

. Are we in danger from “Hidden monster black holes found near the Milky Way” - NO!

. Quick way to cross off fake doomsday news sites and video channels from your list of reliable sources on astronomy

. Debunked: Dire predictions for 2017 by Nostradamus

. Fake doomsday and disaster news from 2015 through to 2017

. Debunked: Melissa Huffman did a video of Planet X

. Debunked: Earth is threatened by a flow of interstellar helium 3 and helium 4 around Christmas every year

. Debunked: Asteroid 2012 DA to hit Earth in 2020

. Debunked: NASA researcher says humans face possible future extinction from asteroid impacts - 96% of species extinct equates to 0% chance of humans extinct

. Debunked: 2002 NT7 is going to hit Earth in 2019

. Debunked: Earth faces a century of 400 giant impacts starting in 2017

. Debunked: Pastor Paul Bagley predicts FALSELY that Magnetar SGR 1806-20 is going to send a gamma ray blast on 26th December 2016 which will be devastating to Earth

No - a gamma ray burst can’t harm us never mind make humans extinct - the 3 candidates are so far away they need narrow beams even to harm the ozone layer, and are all pointed away

. Debunked: “Doomsday” clock, Brexit “Doomsday” and use of “Doomsday” as hyperbole

. Debunked: Trump (or any other president or president elect) is the Anti Christ

. Bullshit Detector Plugin for Chrome for Fake News Sites

. Debunked: Doomsday scenarios predicted using an Ouija board

. Baba Vanga from the Balkans NEVER MADE these predictions (e.g. that President Obama would be the last US president)

. Debunked: Paul Cox said that we have two suns

. Nostradamus’s only prophecy for our times for July 1999 DID NOT HAPPEN - the other “prophecies” are all FAKE - and we don’t use prophecy any more as it doesn’t work

. Debunked: The Doomsday argument

. Debunked: Have these three sisters predicted the Apocalypse

. No, Earth can’t be struck by a huge asteroid hundreds of kilometers across

. Debunked: Mysterious sphere spotted in NASA’s Sun Images

. Debunked: A nuclear war would make Earth uninhabitable - and humans extinct

. Debunked: If we cut down all the forests we will run out of oxygen to breathe - they are not the “lungs of the planet” in any literal sense

. Debunked: NASA has found a brown dwarf in our solar system

. Yes we can feed everyone, world population is levelling off in the near future - not true that the world is over populated and growing too fast

. Debunked - Stephen Hawking puts an expiry date on humanity

. Debunked - an alignment of the visible planets behind the sun on 23rd September 2017 is a sign of the end of the world.

. Debunked - The world will end because the Bible (or some other sacred book) says so

. Debunked: Supermoon on 14th November 2017 is the beginning of the end of the world

. Debunked: Global warming IS NOT a terrifying apocalyptic scenario - NO RISK OF ANYTHING LIKE VENUS - MISTAKEN story in the Independent

. Debunked: How can the videos and photos be hoaxes when so many people believe them?

. No ancient civilizations did NOT learn about extra planets from ancient alien astronauts - ancient civilizations didn’t even know about craters on the Moon, rings of Saturn etc - or how to do simple maths like ratios or negative numberss

. Debunked: Climate change will make the world too hot for humans

. We are several dozen light years ABOVE the galactic plane and won’t cross it for AT LEAST 30 million years - the Earth does NOT pass through the galactic plane during winter solstice

. The real cause of most of the mistaken photos of “Nibiru” next to the sun - or a second sun - offset double reflection

. Debunked: The eclipse in the US in August 2017 will mark the start of the end of the world

. Debunked: NASA warns that 1000 asteroids might hit Earth in the next five years

. Dazzathecameraman’s amusing parody about HCT2014 (Huge Chocolate Teapot)

. Likely hundreds of billions of years before any rogue planet, neutron star, black hole, brown dwarf or star comes anywhere near to us (even as far away as Neptune)

. Debunking: Inuit elders say that the Earth’s poles have shifted position

. Universe will NOT end soon, with a Big Rip, Big Crunch or Big Freeze - all are at least many millions of generations and billions of years into the future”

. Debunked: This is a photograph of two suns

. Doomsday Debunked Kindle Book Draft Cover

. Debunked: Why the World will End Surely on 31st October 2017? 17th February 2017? 31st October 2016? 29th July 2016? Shocking Facts

. Debunking: Stephen Hawking Says Universe is on the brink of instability and could collapse - metastable, in a false vacuum state.

. Debunked: We are endangered by “Star Quakes”

. Debunking: a president of the US could order a nuclear attack at a moments notice on a whim

. Debunked: NASA says that Earth will enter total darkness for 15 days in November

. How did we miss the Chelyabinsk asteroid?

. Debunking: All going to die as a result of impact of Asteroid 2009ES or 2000 ET70 or [insert name of asteroid here] or a “Level 3 Planet Cracker”

. Halley’s comet can never hit Earth on its current orbit - stable for thousands of years - most likely evaporates away - or ejected within 10 million years - Oronids meteor shower is just pieces from its tail blown away by pressure of sunlight.

. Debunking: NASA is hiding astronomical information about extra planets and extra suns in our solar system and even an entire extra solar system

. Debunk: Planet 9 is tilting our solar system

SOLAR STORMS

. What would the effects be of a major solar storm? Short term local power cuts for hours - not widespread blackout for months

. Only of interest to geeks - slight change in slow drift of magnetic north pole towards Siberia from Canada of no consequence - sensationalized as “erratic” motion of Earth’s magnetic field

. Earth’s magnetic field will NOT reach zero this century - decreasing at 1% per century, 5% last century - would take centuries to reach zero - but is not like the magnetic field before the last two reversals

. Debunked: A Solar Storm Put A Crack In Earth's Magnetic Field

. Could our Sun explode? And what would the effects be of a major sola

. r storm?

. Debunked: US civil war, EMP pulse and major solar storm all to happen on November 4th

. Debunked: devastating solar storm to hit Earth on March 18

. NO - Solar Storms can’t end all life on Earth or do anything to us except short term localized power cuts and some effects on satellites and over the horizon radio

. Doomsday Debunked - kindle book - or Read it online on my website (free)

ARCHIVES AND BROWSING OFFLINE

The older articles are available as a single web page, here - it takes a while to load : Debunking Doomsday - Quora and pdf here (80 MB). Many of the earlier ones in this list are included in my Doomsday Debunked - kindle book - or Read it online on my website (free).

You can make your own more up to date version of those pages yourself at any time using the instructions here: How to backup all your quora content to a single page on your computer - as either a web page or a pdf

You may also find the free service Pocket useful for offline browsing - save individual pages to Pocket and then you can read them at any time whether or not you are online.

. Pocket a

PERMISSIONS

You are welcome to use these in the same way I do. Copy and paste, or link to the answer, or both. Released under CC by SC NA - so non commercial share alike attribution. I’ve done it like that so that I can use them for my kindle book. So you can modify them and use them as you please, but not commercially and have to attribute me.

However, if you are just answering a comment on a news site or a youtube video, don't feel you have to attribute me in a situation like that :). Just copy and paste as much of the material as you need for your response. It’s more like, e.g. if you copy one of these posts into a blog, then you need to attribute me as the author and link back. It’s also to protect me if someone tries to make this material into a book to sell without my permission.